The BHP share price soars after strong FY21 report. Is now the time to buy?

The BHP share price has risen after nearly doubling profits since 2020. Here, I examine if I should consider making an investment.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The BHP (LSE: BHP) share price gained some serious momentum on Tuesday. At the time I’m writing, the share price has jumped by around 7% and has risen by 32% since this time last year. 

The rise in price has followed the release of BHP’s very solid looking FY21 report. Here’s why I’m considering buying shares in this blue chip FTSE 100 share. 

BHP profits jump by 80%

BHP Group is a global resources and mining company involved in producing commodities such as metallurgical coal, copper, uranium, and iron ore. According to BHP Chairman Ken MacKenzie, BHP’s diversified portfolio is one of the reasons why its FY21 report is so strong.  

The company’s profits from operations has risen to US$25.9bn, up 80% from 2020, and net operating cash flow was up by 73% to US$27.2bn. BHP has also managed to reduce net debt by more than half from US$12bn in 2020 to US$4.1bn in 2021. 

The company is rewarding investors on the back of these results. The BHP board announced that shareholders will receive a record final dividend of US$2 per share. This brings BHP’s total return to shareholders to over US$15bn for the past year. 

The FY21 report also said that BHP is continuing with its plan to avoid future high carbon emission penalties by offloading its petroleum business to Woodside Petroleum. This could avoid any potential losses if petroleum reserves become an obsolete asset. 

I think these factors are good indicators for investors that BHP could continue to be a world leader in the mining resources industry. On top of that, the dividend share increase is a tempting incentive for me as a passive income investor. 

Risks for the BHP share price

There could, however, be a stunt in BHP’s revenue growth as China is planning to reduce emissions and costs from importing iron ore. For instance, China’s biggest steel producer, Baowu, has announced that it plans to cut production. Not to mention this could also be part of a much larger trade war between Australia and China. 

While the price of iron was holding above US$200 per tonne between May and July this year, China’s steel squeeze has been followed by a drop in the price of iron to US$167 per tonne. As China is one of the biggest export targets for Australia, this could seriously hurt Australian-owned BHP. 

Time to buy?

I’m tempted to make an investment based on BHP’s outstanding FY21 report, because it could be set for another year of high performance. But, the cut-back in iron ore is a major concern for me as China has a strong influence on the Australian export market. Iron ore pulls in the highest amount of revenue for BHP. It accumulated to US$34bn between 2020 and 2021. Therefore, I’m unwilling to invest until the effects of China’s pullback are realised. 

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

John Town has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Here’s the BT share price forecast up to 2027

After a long slide, the BT share price has finally started to pick up a bit in 2024. And analysts…

Read more »

Investing Articles

If I’d invested £10,000 in a FTSE 100 index fund 5 years ago, here’s how much I’d have now

The FTSE 100’s recent performance isn't quite what it was back in the 90s. But it still hosts several fantastic…

Read more »

Frustrated young white male looking disconsolate while sat on his sofa holding a beer
Investing For Beginners

Why I believe this cheap stock is fundamentally doomed

Jon Smith points out a cheap stock that he's personally not going to get involved with due to a risk…

Read more »

Shot of a young Black woman doing some paperwork in a modern office
US Stock

How an investor could aim for a million buying only 8 shares

Jon Smith reveals how someone could aim for a million pound portfolio by considering a mix of growth stocks, including…

Read more »

Environmental technology concept.
Investing Articles

Back at its 2019 level, has the ITM share price fallen too far?

After a rough couple of years, the ITM share price is now back to where it stood in 2019. As…

Read more »

Man writing 'now' having crossed out 'later', 'tomorrow' and 'next week'
Investing Articles

Here’s how Warren Buffett says he’d start investing today

Warren Buffett says if he was starting again with investing, he’d try to find undervalued opportunities where other investors aren’t…

Read more »

Happy parents playing with little kids riding in box
Investing Articles

2 FTSE 250 dividend growth stocks I’m considering for passive income

Paul Summers thinks the best dividend stocks to buy are those that consistently return more money to investors every year.

Read more »

Investing Articles

The Compass Group share price looks ready for growth after positive 2024 results

The Compass Group share price is up 4% today following positive full-year results. Our writer considers its prospects in 2025…

Read more »