Can the BT share price continue to rise?

The BT share price rose about 75% in the past year. Royston Roche makes a deep dive analysis of the stock.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The BT (LSE: BT.A) share price rose about 75% in the past year. The company has been one of the best-performing stocks in the FTSE 100 index this year.

reviewed the company earlier this year. The stock is up around 40% since I purchased it for my portfolio. Here, I would like to analyse the company to decide whether to hold or sell my shares.

BT company’s fundamentals

BT’s fiscal year 2021 revenue fell 7% to £21.3bn. This was in line with the management’s estimates of the impact of Covid-19. Net profit dropped 15% to £1.47bn. The company’s adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation) came at £7.4bn, which was in line with the management estimate of £7.3bn to £7.5bn. Overall, in my opinion, the financial results were good. 

Should you invest £1,000 in BT right now?

When investing expert Mark Rogers has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for nearly a decade has provided thousands of paying members with top stock recommendations from the UK and US markets. And right now, Mark thinks there are 6 standout stocks that investors should consider buying. Want to see if BT made the list?

See the 6 stocks

Next, the company’s modernisation programme is progressing well. It delivered gross annualised savings of £764m in the first year with an associated cost of £438m. It has a target to save £2bn with an associated cost of £1.3bn over a period of five years.

The UK government has increased its investment focus in the telecom sector. Also, Ofcom recently published the outcome of the Wholesale Fixed Telecoms Market Review, which was in favour of the company. It will give the company greater regulatory certainty and confidence to earn a fair return on its Fibre to the Premises) investment. 

BT was also able to get an additional 5G spectrum for £475m. The price was lower than the previous estimates. So, the company was able to get a refund of £227m. This will help the company’s efficient rollout of 5G services and increased the cash available for investment.

BT is considering selling BT Sports. Since its launch in 2013, it has increased its visibility in homes and pubs. However, it has been a drag on the company’s profits. The move is aimed to focus on BT’s core telephone business and investments in the full-fibre and 5G networks. This, in my opinion, will also increase profits.

The BT share price – risks to consider

The company has a net financial debt of £11.7bn compared to £11.3bn at the end of March 2020. I think this debt is high for the company. It has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.43. This is a bit of concern for me. 

The telecommunications markets are mature and highly competitive. This could put pressure on the company’s profits. It faces tough competition from Sky, Vodafone, and Virgin Media, among others. Not to mention the huge capital investments required to update with the latest technology. 

Final view

Taking all things into consideration, I think the positives outweigh the risks for the company. I believe that the BT share price will continue to rise and I have no plans to sell my shares today. 

Investing in AI: 3 Stocks with Huge Potential!

🤖 Are you fascinated by the potential of AI? 🤖

Imagine investing in cutting-edge technology just once, then watching as it evolves and grows, transforming industries and potentially even yielding substantial returns.

If the idea of being part of the AI revolution excites you, along with the prospect of significant potential gains on your initial investment…

Then you won't want to miss this special report inside Motley Fool Share Advisor – 'AI Front Runners: 3 Surprising Stocks Riding The AI Wave’!

And today, we're giving you exclusive access to ONE of these top AI stock picks, absolutely free!

Get your free AI stock pick

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Royston Roche owns shares in BT Group. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

3 reasons Tesla stock may be a long-term bargain

This writer is keen to buy Tesla stock at the right price. He doesn't think it's there yet -- but…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Nvidia stock is a lot cheaper than before – or is it?

Nvidia stock has been caught in the whirlwind of market volatility. This writer has been waiting to buy, so might…

Read more »

Top Stocks

3 FTSE stocks Fools are eyeing up for choppy markets

A selection of companies listed on the UK stock market on the watchlists of four Foolish investors.

Read more »

Young Black man sat in front of laptop while wearing headphones
Investing Articles

A £10,000 investment in Rolls-Royce shares last week is now worth this…

Harvey Jones says Rolls-Royce shares couldn't escape the volatility of recent weeks, but wonders if the recent dip is a…

Read more »

The flag of the United States of America flying in front of the Capitol building
Investing Articles

Prediction: in 2 years these S&P 500 stocks will be much higher than they are today

These two S&P 500 stocks have been beaten down in recent weeks. But Edward Sheldon expects them to move much…

Read more »

Investing Articles

10% yields! Why a volatile stock market is great news for passive income investors

The recent stock market volatility has given passive income investors the chance to earn double-digit returns. But they still need…

Read more »

Close up of manual worker's equipment at construction site without people.
Investing Articles

Down 65% from its highs, this FTSE 250 stock is one to consider buying low

Shares in a strong FTSE 250 company going through a cyclical downturn have caught Stephen Wright’s attention as a potential…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£20,000 invested in a Stocks and Shares ISA 5 years ago is now worth…

Stocks and Shares ISA investors have reaped enormous returns since the pandemic, but how much money have they actually made?…

Read more »