4 reasons why I think the Diageo share price could rise

The Diageo share price is rising. And I think now is a buying opportunity. Here I take a closer look at the company.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

There’s some momentum behind the Diageo (LSE: DGE) share price. As I write, the stock is up over 8% in the past month and more than 18% in the last year. Of course, there is no guarantee this will continue. But I think the stock could rise further. And here are four reasons why I’d buy.

#1 – Diversified portfolio

Don’t put all of your eggs in one basket. I think this is a great piece of advice when its comes to investing. The same applies to firms such as Diageo.

One of the reasons why I like the company is because of its diversified beverage portfolio. It has over 200 brands including Johnnie Walker, Smirnoff and Guinness. This means that the firm has spread its risk and should cater for all consumer tastes.

I think what has been driving the Diageo share price recently is the easing of lockdown restrictions. As more people socialise they are likely to eat and drink out. This means that drinks will be consumed and Diageo is well positioned to capitalise on this.

#2 – Emerging markets

A large proportion of revenue is derived from emerging markets, which I think is a key growth driver. In fact, approximately 19% of its 2020 full-year sales came from the Asia Pacific region and 12% from Africa.

There is a growing middle class in these emerging economies. Especially in countries such as China and India. Drinking some of Diageo’s beverages such as its whisky is seen as a sign of social status.

This is working in the company’s favour and consumers are willing to pay more for its premium brands. I reckon this is likely to continue and should boost the Diageo share price in the long term.

#3 – Acquisitions

Part of the beverage company’s investment strategy is to acquire brands to expand its overall portfolio. Earlier this month, it purchased Loyal 9 Cocktails, a rapidly growing spirits-based ready-to-drink firm. And in March, it acquired Far West Spirits LLC, owner of the Lone River Ranch Water brand. 

So what does this mean for Diageo? Well, it further diversifies its global portfolio and puts the company in a very competitive position. To me, its pleasing to see that it’s using the pandemic as an opportunity to consolidate within its sector.

#4 – Dividend

While capital appreciation in Diageo’s share price is important for me, I also like income. The stock generates a dividend yield of over 2%, which so far has been covered by its earnings.

Of course, there’s no guarantee that these income payments will continue. But what gives me some comfort is that Diageo has a long-term track record of paying its dividend.

Risks

The downside is that the stock is expensive and has a price-to-earnings ratio of 30x. The Diageo share price is also likely to be sensitive to any Covid-19 setbacks.

Any delays in the vaccine rollout or the easing of lockdown restrictions will mean that people are less likely to socialise and have a drink. Hence the company’s revenue and profitability could be hit.

But I reckon that sometimes it’s worth paying for a quality stock like Diageo and so I’d buy it.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Nadia Yaqub has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Diageo. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Down 17% in a month and yielding 7.39%! Is this FTSE 100 share a screaming buy for me?

When Harvey Jones bought Taylor Wimpey last year he thought this FTSE 100 share was a brilliant long-term buy-and-hold. Has…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how I’m using a £20k ISA to target £11k+ in income 30 years from now

Is it realistic to put £20k in an ISA now and earn over half that amount every year in passive…

Read more »

Young black colleagues high-fiving each other at work
Investing Articles

If I could only keep 5 UK stocks from my portfolio I’d save these

Harvey Jones is running through his portfolio of top UK stocks to see which ones he couldn't bear to do…

Read more »

Midnight is celebrated along the River Thames in London with a spectacular and colourful firework display.
Investing Articles

I’m aiming for a million buying unexciting shares!

By investing regularly in long-established, proven and even rather dull businesses, this writer plans to aim for a million. Here's…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 things to consider before you start investing

Our writer draws on his stock market experience to consider a few vital lessons he would use to start investing…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Will this lesser-known £28bn growth stock be joining the FTSE 100 soon?

As the powers that be plan a reorganisation of Footsie listing rules, this massive under-the-radar growth stock could find its…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Fools wouldn’t touch these 5 FTSE 350 flops with a bargepole – how come I own 3 of them?

Harvey Jones took a chance on three struggling FTSE 350 stocks in the hope that they'd stage a dramatic recovery.…

Read more »

Young black colleagues high-fiving each other at work
Investing Articles

How I’m trying to make a million from passive income

Invest as much as possible, regularly, and use the passive income to plough back into more shares. Here's how millionaires…

Read more »