This Covid-related AIM stock is up 700% in 1 year. Should I buy it now?

Jonathan Smith reviews Avacta Group, an AIM-listed stock he’s thinking of buying that’s involved in the development of Covid-19 test kits.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

A lot of focus since the start of the pandemic has been on large pharmaceutical companies trying to find a vaccine. But aside from this, there are other companies involved in the virus fight in other ways. For example, Avacta Group (LSE:AVCT) is involved in manufacturing rapid result testing kits. This AIM-listed stock is one I’m seriously considering buying now. The share price performance has been very strong over the past year, but has it got further to run or am I buying at the top?

What is Avacta?

Avacta is a UK-based healthcare business involved in the production and development of drugs, along with diagnostics to help provide more information on existing treatments. It also has several joint ventures, which isn’t uncommon in the medical world. For example, it’s collaborating with Cytiva to make rapid-response Covid-19 test kits. At the same time, it’s working with the University of Glasgow on virus research.

Unfortunately, financial results to the middle of 2020 didn’t make for great reading for the stock. An operating loss of £8.1m grew from a £6.6m loss for the same period in 2019. However, this can largely be attributed to its big R&D investments. The investment and fundraising during this period is one reason I’d look to buy the stock now. 

Despite the loss recorded, Avacta managed to raise over £50m in new funds to help support key initiatives. That shows me investors believe in what the business is doing. It also leads me to conclude that I could look past the losses, with towards potential profits in the long term when the fruits of the R&D hopefully come through.

An AIM stock that’s aiming high

Another reason I would look to buy the stock now is potential ongoing gains from Covid-19 testing kits. It’s not unrealistic to think that such kits are doing to be in high demand for years to come. Avacta is currently at the stage of trying to get full clinical validation for its rapid test. In a statement released in late February, it said that “in the UK, the Department of Health and Social Care is a potential customer and partner in the rollout of such a validated test.”

No numbers or revenues have been discussed at this time, but a project with the Government would be very good news for the business. Obviously, this speculation has already seen the share price move higher. It’s up 50% in the past month alone following this news coming out. I missed the boat here, but still think it has room to move higher given the potential market for distribution of the kits. 

Buying a stock that’s risen 700% in a year is risky. I get this. AIM stocks in the past have burnt several friends badly and speculation can drive prices to unsustainable levels. If I buy the stock now and final trials flop, I could be looking at a large loss. I’m also aware that many other companies (some much larger) are competing in this space. Avacta is a small fish and could easily get muscled out of the way.

I acknowledge the risks, but  feel the rewards could be big and would still look to buy the stock now, ahead of any potential major rollout of the Covid-19 kit.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

jonathansmith1 has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Surely, the Rolls-Royce share price can’t go any higher in 2025?

The Rolls-Royce share price was the best performer on the FTSE 100 in 2023 and so far in 2024. Dr…

Read more »

A young woman sitting on a couch looking at a book in a quiet library space.
Investing Articles

Here’s how an investor could start buying shares with £100 in January

Our writer explains some of the things he thinks investors on a limited budget should consider before they start buying…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Forget FTSE 100 airlines! I think shares in this company offer better value to consider

Stephen Wright thinks value investors looking for shares to buy should include aircraft leasing company Aercap. But is now the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Are Rolls-Royce shares undervalued heading into 2025?

As the new year approaches, Rolls-Royce shares are the top holding of a US fund recommended by Warren Buffett. But…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£20k in a high-interest savings account? It could be earning more passive income in stocks

Millions of us want a passive income, but a high-interest savings account might not be the best way to do…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 tried and tested ways to earn passive income in 2025

Our writer examines the latest market trends and economic forecasts to uncover three great ways to earn passive income in…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s what £10k invested in the FTSE 100 at the start of 2024 would be worth today

Last week's dip gives the wrong impression of the FTSE 100, which has had a pretty solid year once dividends…

Read more »

Investing Articles

UK REITs: a once-in-a-decade passive income opportunity?

As dividend yields hit 10-year highs, Stephen Wright thinks real estate investment trusts could be a great place to consider…

Read more »