This Covid-related AIM stock is up 700% in 1 year. Should I buy it now?

Jonathan Smith reviews Avacta Group, an AIM-listed stock he’s thinking of buying that’s involved in the development of Covid-19 test kits.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

A lot of focus since the start of the pandemic has been on large pharmaceutical companies trying to find a vaccine. But aside from this, there are other companies involved in the virus fight in other ways. For example, Avacta Group (LSE:AVCT) is involved in manufacturing rapid result testing kits. This AIM-listed stock is one I’m seriously considering buying now. The share price performance has been very strong over the past year, but has it got further to run or am I buying at the top?

What is Avacta?

Avacta is a UK-based healthcare business involved in the production and development of drugs, along with diagnostics to help provide more information on existing treatments. It also has several joint ventures, which isn’t uncommon in the medical world. For example, it’s collaborating with Cytiva to make rapid-response Covid-19 test kits. At the same time, it’s working with the University of Glasgow on virus research.

Unfortunately, financial results to the middle of 2020 didn’t make for great reading for the stock. An operating loss of £8.1m grew from a £6.6m loss for the same period in 2019. However, this can largely be attributed to its big R&D investments. The investment and fundraising during this period is one reason I’d look to buy the stock now. 

Despite the loss recorded, Avacta managed to raise over £50m in new funds to help support key initiatives. That shows me investors believe in what the business is doing. It also leads me to conclude that I could look past the losses, with towards potential profits in the long term when the fruits of the R&D hopefully come through.

An AIM stock that’s aiming high

Another reason I would look to buy the stock now is potential ongoing gains from Covid-19 testing kits. It’s not unrealistic to think that such kits are doing to be in high demand for years to come. Avacta is currently at the stage of trying to get full clinical validation for its rapid test. In a statement released in late February, it said that “in the UK, the Department of Health and Social Care is a potential customer and partner in the rollout of such a validated test.”

No numbers or revenues have been discussed at this time, but a project with the Government would be very good news for the business. Obviously, this speculation has already seen the share price move higher. It’s up 50% in the past month alone following this news coming out. I missed the boat here, but still think it has room to move higher given the potential market for distribution of the kits. 

Buying a stock that’s risen 700% in a year is risky. I get this. AIM stocks in the past have burnt several friends badly and speculation can drive prices to unsustainable levels. If I buy the stock now and final trials flop, I could be looking at a large loss. I’m also aware that many other companies (some much larger) are competing in this space. Avacta is a small fish and could easily get muscled out of the way.

I acknowledge the risks, but  feel the rewards could be big and would still look to buy the stock now, ahead of any potential major rollout of the Covid-19 kit.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

jonathansmith1 has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Person holding magnifying glass over important document, reading the small print
Investing Articles

Just released: our top 3 small-cap stocks to consider buying in October [PREMIUM PICKS]

Small-cap shares tend to be more volatile than larger companies, so we suggest investors should look to build up a…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How I’d use an empty Stocks and Shares ISA to aim for a £1,000 monthly passive income

Here's how using a Stocks and Shares ISA really could help those of us who plan to invest for an…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This FTSE stock is up 20% and set for its best day ever! Time to buy?

This Fool takes a look at the half-year results from Burberry (LON:BRBY) to see if the struggling FTSE stock might…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This latest FTSE 100 dip could be an unmissable opportunity to pick up cut-price stocks

The FTSE 100 has pulled back with the government’s policy choices creating some negative sentiment. But this gives us a…

Read more »

A young woman sitting on a couch looking at a book in a quiet library space.
Investing Articles

As the WH Smith share price falls 4% on annual results, is it still worth considering?

WH Smith took a hit after this morning’s results left shareholders unimpressed. With the share price down 4%, Mark Hartley…

Read more »

Investing Articles

The Aviva share price just jumped 4.5% but still yields 7.02%! Time to buy?

A positive set of results has put fresh life into the Aviva share price. Harvey Jones says it offers bags…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Can a €500m buyback kickstart the Vodafone share price?

The Vodafone share price has been a loser for investors in recent years, and the dividend has been cut. We…

Read more »

Frustrated young white male looking disconsolate while sat on his sofa holding a beer
Growth Shares

3 mistakes I now avoid when choosing which growth stocks to buy

Jon Smith runs through some of the lessons he's learnt the hard way over the years about what to look…

Read more »