Lloyds shares: are they worth buying for the dividend?

Lloyds (LON: LLOY) shares currently yield more than 6%. But if you’re thinking about buying the stock for the dividend, there are things you need to know.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Lloyds Bank (LSE: LLOY) shares are popular among income investors as they offer a high dividend yield. Currently, the FTSE 100 stock offers a prospective yield of a spectacular 6.4%, which is no doubt appealing when you consider the low interest rates offered on savings accounts.

However, as experienced investors know, there’s more to dividend investing than just yield. When investing for income, it’s also important to analyse dividend coverage and dividend growth. You want to make sure that the dividend is sustainable and that it will provide protection against inflation going forward. With that in mind, let’s take a closer look at Lloyds shares to see how the dividend stacks up.

Solid coverage

Looking at dividend coverage, Lloyds’ dividend appears to be relatively safe. As the table below shows, the bank’s dividend coverage ratio was 1.71 last year and this year, analysts forecast a ratio of 2.28.

  FY2017 FY2018 FY2019E
Earnings per share (p) 4.40 5.50 7.67
Dividend per share (p) 3.05 3.21 3.36
Dividend coverage ratio 1.44 1.71 2.28

Generally speaking, a dividend coverage ratio above two is good. This indicates that earnings comfortably cover the dividend and that there’s a low chance of a dividend cut. Overall, I’m happy with the level of dividend coverage that Lloyds offers.

Healthy dividend growth

Examining dividend growth, I also like what I see. Over the last three years, Lloyds has increased its payout by 43% from 2.25p to 3.21p, which is an impressive level of growth.

  FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019E FY2020E
Dividend per share (p) 2.25 2.55 3.05 3.21 3.36 3.53

Looking ahead, analysts currently forecast dividend increases of 5% this year and next year. Clearly, the trend is up, which is what you want from a dividend-investing perspective. If the payout keeps rising, it should provide inflation protection.

Risks

Moving on to risks, is there anything that could impact Lloyds’ ability to pay its dividend?

In Lloyds’ case, there are a number of risks that do concern me. For starters, the bank is highly exposed to the UK economy meaning a Brexit-related economic downturn could hit profits. This could threaten the dividend.

In addition, competition from FinTech companies is another issue to consider. Today, digital banks and FinTech start-ups are completely overhauling the banking industry and if the traditional banks aren’t careful, they could lose customers. This could potentially impact profits and dividends over the long run.

Valuation

Finally, turning to the valuation, Lloyds shares currently trade on a forward-looking P/E ratio of a low 6.8. That’s less than half the median FTSE 100 forward P/E of 14.2. In my view, that valuation is attractive.

Good dividend stock?

All things considered, I think Lloyds shares look attractive from a dividend-investing perspective. The yield is appealing, dividend coverage is healthy, and the payout looks set to grow in the years ahead.

That said, given the uncertainty over Brexit and how this will impact the UK economy, there are other dividend-paying companies that I’d buy before Lloyds at the moment.

Edward Sheldon owns shares in Lloyds Banking Group. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Senior woman potting plant in garden at home
Investing Articles

Thinking of stuffing a SIPP with high-yield shares? 3 things to consider

A SIPP filled with shares offering juicy dividends can seem tempting. Christopher Ruane explains some potential pros and cons of…

Read more »

ISA coins
Investing Articles

Does this weekend’s ISA deadline make now a good time to start buying shares?

With a key ISA deadline looming this weekend, does it make a difference whether someone starts buying shares now or…

Read more »

National Grid engineers at a substation
Investing Articles

If inflation soars, can the National Grid dividend keep up?

With the risk of higher inflation getting stronger, our writer weighs up whether the National Grid dividend might earn the…

Read more »

Lady taking a bottle of Hellmann's Real Mayonnaise from a supermarket shelf
Investing Articles

Could getting out of the food business help the Unilever share price?

Unilever and McCormick today announced a transformational corporate deal. Our writer weighs some of its attractions and risks.

Read more »

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

Why did Raspberry Pi shares just jump 35%?

Raspberry Pi shares have been in the doldrums in the past 12 months. But is that all changing, after a…

Read more »

Businessman hand stacking money coins with virtual percentage icons
Investing Articles

How much second income could investors earn with 9% dividends from Legal & General shares?

Investors looking to build up a second income portfolio have a good few FTSE 100 shares with big dividends to…

Read more »

Rolls-Royce engineer working on an engine
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Rolls-Royce shares just 2 years ago is now worth…

Rolls-Royce shares have fallen some way back from a recent 52-week peak, as global events impact them and the firm…

Read more »

Mixed-race female couple enjoying themselves on a walk
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Barclays shares just 2 years ago is now worth…

When Barclays shares fall, you've got to ask yourself one question: do you feel... like a long-term investor who just…

Read more »