Is the BT share price primed to smash the FTSE 100?

G A Chester discusses the investment outlook for ‘bargain-basement’ BT Group – CLASS A Common Stock (LON:BT.A) and a broadband peer you’ve probably never heard of.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

If you’re looking for stocks with market-beating potential, I believe there are good reasons for thinking FTSE 100 telecoms giant BT (LSE: BT-A) could deliver the goods.

As well as discussing the investment outlook for this blue-chip stock, I’ll also look at the prospects of a small-cap broadband peer you’ve probably never heard of. The company in question is AIM-listed Bigblu Broadband (LSE: BBB), whose shares are up 2.2% today on the back of annual results this morning.

Entrepreneurial team

Bigblu — formerly called Satellite Solutions — was founded in 2008. Acquisitions and organic growth have enabled it to become a leading player in its field. This field being the provision of alternative super-fast satellite and fixed wireless broadband solutions for those consumers and businesses unserved or underserved by fibre broadband in Europe and Australia.

In today’s results, for its financial year ended 30 November, it reported a 13% increase in total customers to 113,000, and said it “remains confident of growing its customer base to 150,000 by 2020.” It reckons it has an addressable market of 27m customers in Europe and 1m in Australia, who are “trapped in the ‘digital divide’ with limited or no fibre broadband options.”

At a share price of 116p, the company has a market capitalisation of £65.8m, which is a cheap-looking 1.2 times the annual revenue of £55.4m reported today. This top-line number was 26.1% ahead of the prior year (including acquisitions), and 8.2% higher on an organic basis. The company is currently loss-making (£13.3m last year), but with increasing economies of scale and “the largely fixed operating cost structure of the business,” future revenue growth should translate rapidly into rising bottom-line profitability.

Obviously, at this stage Bigblu is a higher-risk investment proposition. However, I like the look of the business and the entrepreneurial founders-led management team. I’d be happy to buy a small initial stake in the company today, with a view to increasing it, if the business develops according to plan.

Man for the job

I’ve long believed BT hasn’t made the most of its scale and competitive advantages in key areas. I also think it’s yet to really exploit the potential of its acquisition of EE. However, I’m very optimistic that new chief executive Philip Jansen could be the man for the job, and I rate the stock a buy today.

Previously, as chief executive of payment processing company Worldpay, Jansen led an overhaul of its technology infrastructure and invested boldly in a number of key areas for growth. Following the company’s merger with US peer Vantiv, he led the integration of the two businesses, before being poached by BT.

At a current share price of 223p, BT trades on just 8.3 times forecast earnings for its current financial year (ending 31 March), and sports a running dividend yield of 6.9%. The board has previously pledged to maintain the dividend for this year and the year to March 2020. However, I think it would be prudent, if you’re considering investing — particularly for income — to work on the basis of the dividend being rebased in fiscal 2021.

This is because I think it likely Jansen will want to invest for growth. Currently, after dividends, pension payments, and spectrum costs, there isn’t too much free cash flow left for investment. A rebasing of the dividend from the current £1.5bn to say £1bn would help Jansen pursue a bolder growth strategy.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

G A Chester has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Bearded man writing on notepad in front of computer
Investing Articles

Could a 2025 penny share takeover boom herald big profits for investors?

When penny share owners get caught up in a takeover battle, what might happen? Christopher Ruane looks at some potential…

Read more »

Young woman working at modern office. Technical price graph and indicator, red and green candlestick chart and stock trading computer screen background.
Investing Articles

3 value shares for investors to consider buying in 2025

Some value shares blew the roof off during 2024, so here are three promising candidates for investors to consider next…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Can this takeover news give Aviva shares the boost we’ve been waiting for?

Aviva shares barely move as news of the agreed takeover of Direct Line emerges. Shareholders might not see it as…

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 cheap FTSE 250 growth shares to consider in 2025!

These FTSE 250 shares have excellent long-term investment potential, says Royston Wild. Here's why he thinks they might also be…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

Has the 2024 Scottish Mortgage share price rise gone under the radar?

The Scottish Mortgage share price rise has meant a good year for the trust so far, but not as good…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Will the easyJet share price hit £10 in 2025?

easyJet has been trading well with rising earnings, which reflects in the elevated share price, but there may be more…

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 FTSE shares I won’t touch with a bargepole in 2025

The FTSE 100 and the FTSE 250 have some quality stocks. But there are others that Stephen Wright thinks he…

Read more »

Dividend Shares

How investing £15 a day could yield £3.4k in annual passive income

Jon Smith flags up how by accumulating regular modest amounts and investing in dividend shares, an investor can build passive…

Read more »