Why these two FTSE 250 dividend growth stocks could beat the market in 2019

Two out-of-favour FTSE 250 (INDEXFTSE: MCX) firms Rupert Hargreaves is betting on for 2019.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Shares in food producer Greencore (LSE: GNC) are leading the market higher today after the company announced a significant cash return to investors. 

After selling its US food division in November for a total of $1.08bn, management informed the market at the beginning of December that the business would be returning some of these funds to investors. The group has decided to return a total of £509m by way of a tender offer at 195p per share, an 18% premium to the company’s closing price of 166p on Wednesday.

The maximum number of shares Greencore will buy as part of this tender offer is 261m, approximately 37% of its share capital.

Slimming down 

Greencore decided to sell its US business after a period of disappointing performances from the division. Management decided it was better to exit the US than try and turn the business around, which seems to have been a sensible decision. 

The group is now a stronger and leaner business, with management focused on growing operations here in the UK. “We will now focus all of our attention and resources on the significant growth opportunities that we see in the UK, both organic and inorganic,” Greencore’s CEO, Patrick Coveney told investors in the full-year results release.

Now the group has put its US mistake behind it, I think the stock is well placed to outperform in 2019. The shares are currently trading at an undemanding forward P/E multiple 11.7, and the tender offer should neutralise any drop off in earnings that comes as a result of selling the US business. 

On top of this, the stock supports a dividend yield of 3.4%. Management froze the per-share payout for the past three years as the company needed the extra cash to pay down debt. But now debt is under control, I can see payout growth resuming in the years ahead. 

Overall, after a year of consolidation, it looks to me as if 2019 will be the year Greencore makes a comeback.

Market-beating yield 

Another FTSE 250 dividend stock that’s on my radar for 2019 is Phoenix Group Holdings (LSE: PHNX). 

Phoenix is an exciting business. The firm acquires closed life assurance funds and then manages them through runoff. As the company specialises in this business, it can achieve economies of scale smaller peers cannot, which makes it the consolidator of choice in the industry.

The business model is also highly cash generative, which is great news for dividend investors. The company returns virtually all cash generated from operations to investors. For example, last year it distributed 45.1p per share, giving a dividend yield of 8%. This year, analysts have pencilled in a total distribution of 46p, providing a dividend yield of 8.2%.

Usually, a near-10% dividend yield would be a strong indication that the market believes the payout isn’t sustainable. However, in this case, I think the yield is so high because the market doesn’t understand Phoenix’s business model. It looks as if the distribution isn’t covered by earnings per share, but because of the way Phoenix accounts for profits, this metric is relatively misleading. Last year, the payout was covered several times by cash produced from the runoff of closed life assurance policies. I reckon this trend is set to continue.

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended Greencore. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

A handsome mature bald bearded black man in a sunglasses and a fashionable blue or teal costume with a tie is standing in front of a wall made of striped wooden timbers and fastening a suit button
Investing Articles

Is NIO stock the next Tesla?

The NIO share price is up by more than 100% in the past year. Might this Chinese EV firm be…

Read more »

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing Articles

Is this the beginning of a stock market recovery?

Dr James Fox explores whether a stock market recovery is truly on the cards after the US struck a deal…

Read more »

Smiling white woman holding iPhone with Airpods in ear
Investing Articles

Up just 1%: what’s going on with Tesco shares now?

Dr James Fox takes a closer look at Tesco shares after the stock rose less than the rest of the…

Read more »

Rear view image depicting a senior man in his 70s sitting on a bench leading down to the iconic Seven Sisters cliffs on the coastline of East Sussex, UK. The man is wearing casual clothing - blue denim jeans, a red checked shirt, navy blue gilet. The man is having a rest from hiking and his hiking pole is leaning up against the bench.
Investing Articles

How much do I need in a Stocks and Shares ISA to reach a £2,027 monthly passive income?

The new financial year is under way and that means new allowances for the Stocks and Shares ISA! How much…

Read more »

UK coloured flags waving above large crowd on a stadium sport match.
Investing Articles

Why is everyone suddenly buying this dirt-cheap growth stock?

This beaten-down UK growth stock has suddenly become the centre of attention as investors target its recovery potential. The Iran…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Investing Articles

Why is everyone buying Rolls-Royce shares?

Rolls-Royce shares jumped 10% today, even giving mining stocks a run for their money as the FTSE 100 index suddenly…

Read more »

Shot of a senior man drinking coffee and looking thoughtfully out of a window
Investing Articles

Up 8%: what’s going on with Lloyds shares today?

Dr James Fox takes a closer look at one of the stock market's biggest gainers on Wednesday 8 April after…

Read more »

piggy bank, searching with binoculars
Investing Articles

Fresnillo share price rebounds as a FTSE 100 top mover after a 30% sell-off — what’s next?

The Fresnillo share price has surged today — Andrew Mackie asks whether this FTSE 100 mover is signalling a turning…

Read more »