Forget the Tesco share price, I’d buy shares in this growing firm instead

Tesco plc’s (LON: TSCO) turnaround looks stale to me, but I think this firm’s growth story has further to run.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

It’s always tempting to go for a share with a name that’s familiar to most people, such as Tesco (LSE: TSCO), which has a big market capitalisation close to £21bn and resides in the FTSE 100 index.

However, Tesco operates in a difficult sector and faces big competition from many angles. There’s precious little to differentiate the firm’s offering from that of others, such as J Sainsbury, Asda, Lidl, Aldi, WM Morrison and others. At the local level, customers often have many choices about where to shop and could turn their backs on Tesco at any time if they become unhappy with the service.

Past its use-by date?

I think such market dynamics look set to keep Tesco’s profit margins in check and its growth options limited. Right now, the firm is rebuilding profits after a dreadful period of trading, but I reckon there’s a limit to how far the firm can go in terms of a turnaround. To me, the time for investing in Tesco for its turnaround potential has passed and I see the company as unattractive as a dividend investment or as an ongoing growth story because of the commodity-style nature of its business model.

Instead, I’d rather invest in a fast-growing company such as AB Dynamics (LSE: ABDP), the designer, manufacturer and supplier of advanced testing systems and measurement products to the global automotive industry. Today’s blistering full-year results couldn’t be more different from anything Tesco is likely to report at this stage in the supermarket chain’s life. Indeed, Revenue rose 51% compared to the year before, cash flow from operations shot the lights out by moving more than 370% higher, and diluted earnings per share elevated a healthy-looking 70%. The company’s progress reflects in cold, hard cash too, with the net cash figure increasing 66% to almost £16m.

Vibrant trading

The company’s founder and non-executive chairman, Tony Best, explained in the report that even though the firm is reporting “very strong growth,” the rate of incoming orders is running “ahead of sales.”  This happy situation has led to a “healthy order book,” which provides good visibility for the new trading year. I reckon the firm’s growth looks set to continue. City analysts following the firm think so. They’ve pencilled in an increase of 21% for earnings for the current year to August 2019.

Best said that the company plans to support its growth in the coming year by investing in new product development, marketing, and the service and support function. The firm is also investing to grow its “overseas footprint” and opened a facility in Germany during the period. Such investment will provide some constraint to the operating margin, we’re told, but the outlook is positive and the company is well positioned to deliver a year of solid progress.” 

Meanwhile, there’s a new man at the helm. The chief executive, Dr James Routh, started on 1 October and change like that could usher in a new burst of energy to keep the growth story boiling. I think the stock is attractive and the firm’s strong trading niche looks set to drive the growth story further.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Kevin Godbold has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended AB Dynamics and Tesco. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

happy senior couple using a laptop in their living room to look at their financial budgets
Investing Articles

How’s the dividend forecast looking for Legal & General shares in 2025 and beyond?

As a shareholder, I like to keep track of the potential dividend returns I could make from my Legal &…

Read more »

artificial intelligence investing algorithms
Investing Articles

Could buying this stock with a $7bn market cap be like investing in Nvidia in 2010?

Where might the next Nvidia-type stock be lurking in today's market? Our writer takes a look at one candidate with…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Is GSK a bargain now the share price is near 1,333p?

Biopharma company GSK looks like a decent stock to consider for the long term, so is today's lower share price…

Read more »

Snowing on Jubilee Gardens in London at dusk
Investing Articles

Could December be a great month to buy UK shares?

Christopher Ruane sees some possible reasons to look for shares to buy in December -- but he'll be using the…

Read more »

Young mixed-race couple sat on the beach looking out over the sea
Investing Articles

Sticking to FTSE shares, I’d still aim for a £1,000 monthly passive income like this!

By investing in blue-chip FTSE shares with proven business models, our writer hopes he can build sizeable passive income streams…

Read more »

Growth Shares

BT shares? I think there are much better UK stocks for the long term

Over the long term, many UK stocks have performed much better than BT. Here’s a look at two companies that…

Read more »

British Pennies on a Pound Note
Investing Articles

After a 540% rise, could this penny share keep going?

This penny share has seen mixed fortunes in recent years. Our writer looks ahead to some potentially exciting developments in…

Read more »

Silhouette of a bull standing on top of a landscape with the sun setting behind it
Investing Articles

Is the S&P 500 going to 10,000 by 2030? This expert thinks so

One stock market strategist sees animal spirits taking hold and driving the S&P 500 index even higher by the end…

Read more »