You can get decent investing results by collecting dividends from high-yielding stocks and reinvesting them to compound your gains. However, that strategy only works well as long as the stocks you buy and hold have sustainable dividends.
Is financial firm Standard Life Aberdeen’s (LSE: SLA) 6%-plus dividend yield sustainable? This table summarises the recent financial record:
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2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
|
Net cash from operations (£m) |
(2,899) |
(1,261) |
(2,264) |
736 |
2,194 |
|
Profit before tax (£m) |
423 |
422 |
415 |
789 |
964 |
|
Adjusted earnings per share |
14.2p |
15.8p |
13.5p |
29.4p |
30.1p |
|
Dividend per share |
15.8p |
17.03p |
18.36p |
19.82p |
21.3p |
The dividend rose almost 35% over the last four years. Net cash from operations swung from big negative figures to a positive number in 2017 that comfortably covered profits and drove up earnings. I think the erratic cash flows speak volumes about the cyclicality of the insurance sector.
Big changes on the way
Maybe such volatility in the cash flow account is one reason that Standard Life Aberdeen is getting out of operating in the insurance business. The firm plans to sell its UK and European insurance business to Phoenix Group in a move that will propel the company towards becoming what chairman Sir Gerry Grimstone describes as “a capital-light investment company.”
The firm plans to return to shareholders around £1.75bn of the £2.3bn or so cash that will be generated from the sale and to invest the rest into the ongoing investment business. The deal will also leave Standard Life Aberdeen holding around 20% of Phoenix Group’s shares, thus extending an existing long-term partnership between the two firms. Standard Life Aberdeen will retain its UK retail platforms and financial advice business, and the two firms aim to work together with Standard Life Aberdeen being Phoenix Group’s asset management partner for the business acquired by Phoenix.
Such major change in the operational set-up comes hard on the heels of Standard Life’s 2017 merger with Aberdeen Asset Management, so if you are a shareholder, I don’t blame you if you feel a little unsettled at the moment. I reckon the state of flux is one reason for the stock looking a little out of favour with investors right now.
Standard Life Aberdeen’s dividend sustainability score
Let’s look at three different features to judge whether the company’s dividend seems sustainable with each indicator scored out of a possible five points:
- Dividend cover: adjusted earnings covered last year’s dividend just over 1.4 times. 2/5
- Cash flow: operating cash flow easily covered profits in 2017 but has been volatile. 3/5
- Outlook and trading: recent trading has been good and the outlook is optimistic 5/5
Overall, I score Standard Life Aberdeen 10 out of 15, which makes me a little cautious about the sustainability of the firm’s dividend, particularly with the imminent big changes to its business model. Just like the insurance sector, asset management is known for its cyclicality, which could lead to volatile share price movements and variable dividend payments in the future. So I remain wary about using Standard Life Aberdeen as a vehicle for long-term income generation from the dividend.
