Can the Premier Oil share price reach 150p in 2018?

Does Premier Oil plc (LON:PMO) have further gains ahead after a strong performance in the last year?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The last year has been an encouraging one for oil producer Premier Oil (LSE: PMO). The company’s share price has risen from 64p to around 120p, with its operational and financial performance improving.

Of course, the company has benefitted significantly from a rising oil price. It has boosted the outlook for a range of oil and gas stocks, and has caused investor sentiment to improve.

Looking ahead, could the company’s share price gain another 25% to reach 150p? Or, is a FTSE 250 stock that offers fast-rising earnings a better investment opportunity for the long run?

Improving outlook

The recent trading update released by Premier Oil showed that the company is performing relatively well. It has been able to increase production and is on track to meet its guidance for the full year. Rising production plus a higher oil price has meant that its financial performance is also on the up. The business expects to generate significant free cash flow in the second half of the year, and this is due to be used to reduce its debt. Doing so could create a stronger business which has a more sustainable growth outlook.

Investment potential

With Premier Oil expected to generate earnings per share of 11p in the current year, it trades on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just under 11. This suggests that even though its valuation has risen sharply in the last year, it may still offer a wide margin of safety. That’s especially the case since it is forecast to post a rise in net profit of 10% next year. This could stimulate its share price performance and means that even if it surges 25% higher to 150p, it would still offer good value for money.

As a result, the company appears to have further upside potential following an impressive performance in the last year. While the oil price could be volatile, the risk/reward prospects of the stock seem to be positive.

Fast-rising earnings

Also offering an upbeat outlook at the present time is FTSE 250 stock Electrocomponents (LSE: ECM). The multi-channel distributor released an impressive set of full-year results on Thursday which pushed its share price around 10% higher. Its revenue increased by 12.8% to £1.705bn, with all five of its regions delivering double-digit like-for-like growth.

Alongside this, its gross margin increased to 44% as a result of progress on price and discounting initiatives. This helped to push its earnings per share up by 35.2% on an adjusted basis. And with earnings growth of 13% forecast for the current year, followed by growth of 10% next year, it seems to be in the middle of a purple patch.

Electrocomponents also announced the acquisition of IESA, the leading corporate MRO, on Thursday for a total consideration of £88m. It expands the company’s existing e-commerce offer and platform technology capabilities, while also enhancing its service offer to corporate customers. As a result, the prospects for the business seem to be improving, and its share price performance could remain impressive.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Peter Stephens has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

One English pound placed on a graph to represent an economic down turn
Investing Articles

FTSE 100 shares yield under 4%. Here’s why that matters!

A higher dividend yield and share price growth do not necessarily come together. So, why is this writer happy to…

Read more »

Bus waiting in front of the London Stock Exchange on a sunny day.
Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d start buying shares with £5 a day

Our writer uses his market experience to consider how he might start buying shares from scratch today, for just a…

Read more »

Investing Articles

By investing £80 a week, I can target a £3k+ second income like this

By putting £80 each week into carefully chosen shares, our writer hopes to build a second income of over £3,000…

Read more »

Dividend Shares

Here’s a simple 4-stock dividend income portfolio with a 7.8% yield

With these four British dividend stocks, an investor could potentially generate income of around £780 a year from a £10,000…

Read more »

A young black man makes the symbol of a peace sign with two fingers
Investing Articles

2 FTSE shares that could get hit by Trump tariffs

Many FTSE shares rely on the US for business and the potential introduction of tariffs on foreign imports could hurt…

Read more »

Young female business analyst looking at a graph chart while working from home
Investing Articles

Finding shares to buy can be complicated. Here’s a lesson from the US election

Identifying shares to buy is difficult. But Stephen Wright thinks monitoring what directors buy might be an under-appreciated source of…

Read more »

Investing Articles

What makes a great passive income idea?

Christopher Ruane earns passive income by owning blue-chip shares like Legal & General. Here's the decision-making process that helps him…

Read more »

Midnight is celebrated along the River Thames in London with a spectacular and colourful firework display.
Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d try and use an ISA to become a multi-millionaire!

Could our writer build his ISA to a multi-million pound valuation? Potentially yes -- and here is how he'd go…

Read more »