One dividend growth stock I’d buy ahead of FTSE 100 member Rolls-Royce

Does FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE:UKX) turnaround Rolls-Royce Holding plc (LON:RR) deserve a buy rating?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Engineering firm Weir Group (LSE: WEIR) was 5% higher at pixel time, after issuing a solid trading statement and announcing a $1,285m deal to acquire US mining equipment firm ESCO Corporation.

Weir specialises in equipment for the oil, gas and mining industries. It’s already made a strong recovery from the recent downturns in both sectors. Today’s news means that the firm will increase its focus on the mining sector, which is already its largest customer.

Let’s take a look at trading first and then see how the ESCO acquisition might fit into the picture.

Sales up by 22%

Orders rose by 22% during the first quarter, compared to the same period last year. The mining business performed well, with orders up by 13%. However, the oil and gas division rocketed ahead of this with a 50% surge in orders for pumping equipment, mostly from US shale drillers.

The company was already expected to do well this year and at this point, full-year forecasts have been left unchanged. However, I suspect that if this strong momentum continues through the first half, full-year forecasts could be notched higher.

What about the acquisition?

ESCO Corporation is a market leader in “surface mining ground engaging tools”. The company’s products include the giant buckets and shovels used by miners to dig huge holes in the ground.

The $1,285m purchase price equates to 12.6 times ESCO’s 2018 forecast earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA). That seems fully priced to me, but if the mining market continues to expand for the next few years, the deal could prove to be quite reasonably priced.

It’s quite a big acquisition for Weir, and the firm intends to use a mix of shares, cash and debt to fund the transaction. The group’s slowest-growing division, Flow Control, is also being placed up for sale.

A lot of new shares will be issued to help fund this deal. Full-year earnings forecasts are likely to change significantly as the new shares and ESCO’s earnings are factored into analysts’ projections.

However, my view is that Weir probably remains good value on a three-to-five-year timescale.

Flying high already

I’m less convinced by the investment case at FTSE 100 engineer Rolls-Royce Holding (LSE: RR). The group recently announced the sale of its L’Orange fuel injection business for £610m, which will reduce debt levels and make cash available for other acquisitions.

However, the latest news from the company suggests that challenges remain in its jet engine business. Around 380 of its Trent 1000 engines require additional inspections due to potential problems with the “Package C compressor“. This will have a cash impact.

The additional cash cost hasn’t been specified, but Rolls has admitted that it plans to delay certain non-essential spending in order to avoid cutting its full-year guidance.

My view

Chief executive Warren East seems to be doing a good job of transforming this complex business. I’ve no doubt Rolls-Royce will make a full recovery. My concern is that the shares already look quite fully priced, trading on 27 times 2019 forecast earnings.

It’s not clear to me if the company’s profits can return to the levels seen in the past. If they do, the shares could be good value at present. I’m not entirely convinced, so I’m happy to stay on the sidelines and risk missing out.

Roland Head has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Weir. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

ChatGPT thinks these are the 5 best FTSE stocks to consider buying for 2026!

Can the AI bot come up trumps when asked to select the best FTSE stocks to buy as we enter…

Read more »

Investing For Beginners

How much do you need in an ISA to make the average UK salary in passive income?

Jon Smith runs through how an ISA can help to yield substantial income for a patient long-term investor, and includes…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 FTSE 250 shares to consider for income, growth, and value in 2026!

As the dawn of a new year in the stock market approaches, our writer eyes a trio of FTSE 250…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Want to be a hit in the stock market? Here are 3 things super-successful investors do

Dreaming of strong performance when investing in the stock market? Christopher Ruane shares a trio of approaches used by some…

Read more »

Two white male workmen working on site at an oil rig
Investing Articles

The BP share price has been on a roller coaster, but where will it go next?

Analysts remain upbeat about 2026 prospects for the BP share price, even as an oil glut threatens and the price…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Prediction: move over Rolls-Royce, the BAE share price could climb another 45% in 2026

The BAE Systems share price has had a cracking run in 2025, but might the optimism be starting to slip…

Read more »

Tesla car at super charger station
Investing Articles

Will 2026 be make-or-break for the Tesla share price?

So what about the Tesla share price: does it indicate a long-term must-buy tech marvel, or a money pit for…

Read more »

Portrait of elderly man wearing white denim shirt and glasses looking up with hand on chin. Thoughtful senior entrepreneur, studio shot against grey background.
Investing Articles

Apple CEO Tim Cook just put $3m into this S&P 500 stock! Time to buy?

One household-name S&P 500 stock has crashed 65% inside five years. Yet Apple's billionaire CEO sees value and has been…

Read more »