Why the BAE share price could continue rising after 40% gain

BAE Systems plc (LON: BA) appears to offer further upside due in part to improving market conditions.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Since September 2015, the BAE (LSE: BA) share price has gained around 40%. That’s a stunning rate of growth after what had been a difficult number of years for the business. A challenging trading environment during the era of austerity had meant that demand for its products had come under pressure.

Now, though, the company appears to have a brighter future. Spending on the military looks set to rise across the developed world, while a relatively efficient business model could mean that further share price gains are ahead. As such, now could be the perfect time to buy the defence company.

Improving prospects

With the developed world now experiencing improved economic performance following the financial crisis, defence budgets look set to increase. A period of cuts for the military may now be at an end, and this could lead to a potential tailwind for companies across the sector.

Of course, Donald Trump’s election as US President could prove to be a key growth catalyst for companies operating in the industry. He has been clear on his desire for higher spending on defence for a significant period of time and with it now becoming a reality, the prospects for the sector appear to be stronger than they have been since prior to the financial crisis.

Total returns

While BAE has risen by 40% in the last couple of years, the company continues to offer a relatively wide margin of safety. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15 suggests that it is fairly priced given its forecast earnings growth rate of 7% for the next financial year. And with it currently yielding 3.9% from a dividend, which is covered around twice by profit, its total return potential seems to be high.

Certainly, defence stocks are not immune to the volatility seen in the wider market in recent months. However, with that potential tailwind, they could perform better than the FTSE 100 over the medium term.

Impressive performance

Also offering strong growth potential after a period of gains is property fund manager and investor First Property Group (LSE: FPO). Its shares have risen by 177% in the last five years, with an impressive financial performance likely to have been a key catalyst.

The company released a positive trading update on Monday, with it announcing that profit, before tax, for the year to 31 March is expected to be in line with market expectations. During the year, the company was able to deliver a 31% rise in funds under management, with almost all of the growth  resulting from new property investments in the UK.

Looking ahead, First Property Group is expected to report a rise in its bottom line of 4% in the current year. While not a particularly high rate of growth, its P/E ratio of 9 suggests that it could offer upward re-rating potential. And with a dividend yield of 3.5%, which is covered 3.6 times by profit, its total returns could continue to be high over the coming years.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Peter Stephens owns shares of BAE Systems. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Road trip. Father and son travelling together by car
Investing Articles

A 10% dividend yield? There could be significant potential here to earn a second income

Mark Hartley delves into the finances and performance of one of the top-earning dividend stocks in his second income portfolio.

Read more »

happy senior couple using a laptop in their living room to look at their financial budgets
Investing Articles

Charlie Munger recommended shares in this growth company back in 2022. Here’s what’s happened since

One of Charlie Munger’s key insights is that a high P/E ratio shouldn’t put investors off buying shares if the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

What might 2025 have in store for the Aviva share price? Let’s ask the experts

After a rocky five years, the Aviva share price has inched up in 2024. And City forecasters reckon we could…

Read more »

Hand of person putting wood cube block with word VALUE on wooden table
Investing Articles

Trading around an 11-year high, is Tesco’s share price still significantly undervalued?

Although Tesco’s share price has risen a lot in the past few years, it could still have significant value left…

Read more »

Passive income text with pin graph chart on business table
Investing Articles

£11,000 in savings? Investors could consider targeting £5,979 a year of passive income with this FTSE 250 high-yield gem!

This FTSE 250 firm currently delivers a yield of more than double the index’s average, which could generate very sizeable…

Read more »

Young Caucasian woman with pink her studying from her laptop screen
Investing Articles

Does a 9.7% yield and a P/E under 10 make the Legal & General share price a no-brainer?

With a very high dividend yield and a falling P/E forecast, could the Legal & General share price really be…

Read more »

Young woman working at modern office. Technical price graph and indicator, red and green candlestick chart and stock trading computer screen background.
Investing Articles

This growth stock is up 2,564% over 6 months! Is this FOMO?

This growth stock has experienced an incredible appreciation in its share price. It’s not a meme stock, but investors might…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This bank’s dividend yield will grow to 6.9% in 2026! And analysts say its undervalued

Analysts say this FTSE 100 stock’s dividend yield will continue to rise over the medium term. With the stock also…

Read more »