Why Aviva plc could be the Footsie buy of the decade

With growth prospects hotting up, Aviva plc (LON: AV) could be seriously undervalued today.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Of all the stocks in the FTSE 100, I believe Aviva (LSE: AV) could be one of the best companies to own for the next decade, a view supported by today’s results from the group. 

For the year to the end of December, the value of new business booked by the insurance giant expanded 25% to £1.2bn, thanks to the strong demand for insurance products and asset management services. Total assets under management grew by 9% during the year to £490bn, making the firm one of the largest asset managers in the UK.

Meanwhile, the total value of net written insurance premiums rose 11% to £9.1bn, and operating profit grew 2%, or by 6% in its eight major markets, excluding discontinued operations. Earnings per share increased 7% to 54.8p. 

Simpler, stronger group

These results show that Aviva is now finally back on track after its near-death experience in the 2011 eurozone debt crisis. According to management, today Aviva is now a “simpler, stronger group” that is seeing growth across the board, particularly in the UK which has “gone from strength to strength, growing sales, market share and profit.” Six of the company’s other eight major markets also delivered a “double-digit profit improvement” in 2017. 

What’s more, Aviva’s focus on simplicity and cash generation means that the firm is now cash rich. Management is planning to deploy £2bn of excess funds to investors this year “including £900m in debt reduction, in excess of £500m of capital returns to shareholders, and about £600m for bolt-on acquisitions.” The group’s 2017 full-year dividend payout has also been hiked by 18% to 27.4p, up from 2016’s level of 23.3p, giving a current dividend yield of 5.5%

Set for growth 

Looking at the numbers above, what I’m excited about is the outlook for Aviva if it continues to grow at its current rate. There’s no reason why it can’t achieve this. The demand for pension products is growing and so is the need for wealth management advice. 

According to a recent report on the state of the UK pensions market, it was worth £10.8bn annual premium equivalent (APE) in 2016 and is forecast to reach £17.5bn APE by 2021, implying a double-digit annual increase in pensions demand for the next five years. As one of the largest related providers in the UK, Aviva should be able to grab a large chunk of this new business. 

This potential growth, as well as the company’s current dividend payout, which is almost certain to increase in the years ahead as earnings grow further, is enough to convince me that the group is one of the best investments to own for the next decade. And right now, the shares are on sale despite today’s upbeat results release. Based on 2017’s earnings figure, shares in Aviva are trading at a P/E of just 9, significantly below the market average of 14.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Surely, the Rolls-Royce share price can’t go any higher in 2025?

The Rolls-Royce share price was the best performer on the FTSE 100 in 2023 and so far in 2024. Dr…

Read more »

A young woman sitting on a couch looking at a book in a quiet library space.
Investing Articles

Here’s how an investor could start buying shares with £100 in January

Our writer explains some of the things he thinks investors on a limited budget should consider before they start buying…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Forget FTSE 100 airlines! I think shares in this company offer better value to consider

Stephen Wright thinks value investors looking for shares to buy should include aircraft leasing company Aercap. But is now the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Are Rolls-Royce shares undervalued heading into 2025?

As the new year approaches, Rolls-Royce shares are the top holding of a US fund recommended by Warren Buffett. But…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£20k in a high-interest savings account? It could be earning more passive income in stocks

Millions of us want a passive income, but a high-interest savings account might not be the best way to do…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 tried and tested ways to earn passive income in 2025

Our writer examines the latest market trends and economic forecasts to uncover three great ways to earn passive income in…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s what £10k invested in the FTSE 100 at the start of 2024 would be worth today

Last week's dip gives the wrong impression of the FTSE 100, which has had a pretty solid year once dividends…

Read more »

Investing Articles

UK REITs: a once-in-a-decade passive income opportunity?

As dividend yields hit 10-year highs, Stephen Wright thinks real estate investment trusts could be a great place to consider…

Read more »