Provident Financial plc is a growth bargain I’d buy and hold for 25 years

Provident Financial plc (LON: PFG) could have a bright future after a difficult year.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

This year has been hugely challenging for Provident Financial (LSE: PFG). The specialist lender has seen its share price slump by 70% since the start of 2017, with investor sentiment declining after a major profit warning. While further share price falls cannot be ruled out, the company could post a recovery over the medium term. As such, now could be the right time to buy it alongside another stock which has also endured a difficult 2017.

Segment problems

The main cause of Provident Financial’s difficult year has been the performance of one of its four divisions. The Home Credit division has experienced severe problems which culminated in the group’s CEO resigning from his position. The business sought to improve its overall performance through changing the employment status of agents within its Home Credit division, but this had the effect of reducing sales and collections.

Now, the company has changed its management structure and according to its most recent update, there has been an improvement in the division’s performance. This could indicate the start of a turnaround. While it is clearly early days and there is no guarantee of further improved performance, the trend appears to be a positive one. This could act as a positive catalyst on the company’s share price performance in future months.

Value appeal

After falling by such a large amount in a short space of time, the company now trades on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.5. This suggests that there could be upside potential on offer, since the stock is forecast to post a rise in earnings of 64% in the next financial year. This puts it on a price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of 0.2, which suggests that it may offer a wide margin of safety. This could limit its downside and mean that it offers high growth potential in the long run.

More difficulties in 2017

Of course, Provident Financial is not the only stock which has posted disappointing returns in 2017. Technology services and media solutions company iEnergizer (LSE: IBPO) has dropped by 48% since the start of the year, with investors responding negatively to its first-half update on Monday. That’s despite the company making progress in its financial performance, with revenue increasing by 6% and operating profit up 9.1%.

Looking ahead, the company is confident about its future. It seems to have a sound strategy, with a focus on recurring revenue streams from business critical processes, new product launches and improving customer loyalty. It has a strong balance sheet, with cash flow improving and it being capable of reinvesting for future growth as well as engaging in M&A activity. Therefore, with a PEG ratio of just 0.9, it appears to be worth buying for the long haul.

Of course, both stocks could remain highly volatile. Their share prices may fall in the near term. However, with upbeat outlooks, they could offer high growth prospects in the long run.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Peter Stephens has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

After it crashed 25%, should I buy this former stock market darling in my Stocks and Shares ISA?

Harvey Jones has a big hole in his Stocks and Shares ISA that he is keen to fill. Should he…

Read more »

happy senior couple using a laptop in their living room to look at their financial budgets
Investing Articles

How’s the dividend forecast looking for Legal & General shares in 2025 and beyond?

As a shareholder, I like to keep track of the potential dividend returns I could make from my Legal &…

Read more »

artificial intelligence investing algorithms
Investing Articles

Could buying this stock with a $7bn market cap be like investing in Nvidia in 2010?

Where might the next Nvidia-type stock be lurking in today's market? Our writer takes a look at one candidate with…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Is GSK a bargain now the share price is near 1,333p?

Biopharma company GSK looks like a decent stock to consider for the long term, so is today's lower share price…

Read more »

Snowing on Jubilee Gardens in London at dusk
Investing Articles

Could December be a great month to buy UK shares?

Christopher Ruane sees some possible reasons to look for shares to buy in December -- but he'll be using the…

Read more »

Young mixed-race couple sat on the beach looking out over the sea
Investing Articles

Sticking to FTSE shares, I’d still aim for a £1,000 monthly passive income like this!

By investing in blue-chip FTSE shares with proven business models, our writer hopes he can build sizeable passive income streams…

Read more »

Growth Shares

BT shares? I think there are much better UK stocks for the long term

Over the long term, many UK stocks have performed much better than BT. Here’s a look at two companies that…

Read more »

British Pennies on a Pound Note
Investing Articles

After a 540% rise, could this penny share keep going?

This penny share has seen mixed fortunes in recent years. Our writer looks ahead to some potentially exciting developments in…

Read more »