After a $790m rights issue, is Tullow Oil plc living on borrowed time?

Tullow Oil plc (LON: TLW) could be coming to the end of the road.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Tullow Oil (LSE: TLW) shocked the market at the end of last week. The company announced that it was undertaking a $790m rights issue in an attempt to shore up its balance sheet that’s been left in tatters after years of hefty capital spending and low oil prices. 

The rights issue announcement came from out of nowhere, but the capital raising wasn’t wholly unexpected. Tullow has been struggling since the price of oil plunged below $100 a barrel in 2014. So far, the company has managed to dodge any cash calls thanks to management’s quick reactions in slashing costs. However, as it turns out, these cost cuts have not been enough and now, with the price of oil once again on the back foot, it looks as if management is panicking. 

Cash crunch 

The sheer size of the rights issue says a lot about Tullow’s financial position. The cash call, which amounts to £607m, is being done at 130p, a 45% discount to the firm’s share price before the announcement. The issue is being done on a 25 for 49 basis, so for every 49 shares investors currently own they’ll be able to subscribe for an additional 25.

With a market value of only £1.8bn at time of writing, the cash raised from the issue will comprise nearly half of Tullow’s market value after the deal. Furthermore, the discount of 45% to Tullow’s prevailing share price shows how desperate the company is to win over investors.

Debt mountain 

Tullow is saddled with $4.8bn debt and is pulling all available levers to try and reduce this mountain. 

As well as the rights issue, Tullow announced it would reduce its stake in the Lake Albert oil project in Uganda earlier this year. The $900m deal is being struck to help the company finance the development of the project. Tullow also issued $300m in long-term bonds last year to reduce its dependence on bank lending. Management recently started discussions with its banks over refinancing a $3.3bn reserve-based lending facility. 

It looks as if Tullow is now in the same position that Premier Oil (LSE: PMO) was a few month ago. Premier’s management has always maintained that the company has the full support of its lenders, despite the fact that its debt refinancing was dragged out for more than six months. However, unlike Tullow, Premier hasn’t (yet) asked shareholders to help finance the business. The company successfully reached an agreement with its lenders last month, avoiding significant equity dilution. 

Running out of time

Premier’s £2.2bn debt mountain is a lot smaller than that of Tullow, but compared to the company’s size (market cap of £320m) it is relatively significant. 

So, the fact that lenders have been prepared to give Premier some leeway, while Tullow has been forced to ask for extra cash is concerning. The latter’s management is adamant that the rights issue was not pushed by lenders, but it’s difficult to believe that the issue was not in some way influenced by ongoing debt discussions. These actions lead me to believe that perhaps Tullow is in a tighter financial position than it is willing to admit. 

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

This FTSE sell-off gives me an unmissable chance to buy cut-price UK stocks!

The last few months have been tough for UK stocks and their troubles aren't over yet, but Harvey Jones isn't…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s the forecast for the Tesla share price as Trump’s policies take focus

The Tesla share price surged following Donald Trump’s election victory, but the stock is trading far above analysts’ targets. Dr…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£15,000 in cash? I’d pick growth stocks like these for life-changing passive income

Millions of us invest for passive income. Here, Dr James Fox explains his recipe for success by focusing on high-potential…

Read more »

Passive income text with pin graph chart on business table
Investing Articles

Here’s my plan for long-term passive income

On the lookout for passive income stocks to buy, Stephen Wright is turning to one of Warren Buffett’s most famous…

Read more »

artificial intelligence investing algorithms
Growth Shares

Are British stock market investors missing out on the tech revolution?

British stock market investors continue to pile into ‘old-economy’ stocks. Is this a mistake in today’s increasingly digital world?

Read more »

Fireworks display in the shape of willow at Newcastle, Co. Down , Northern Ireland at Halloween.
Investing Articles

My 2 best US growth stocks to buy in November

I’ve just bought two US growth companies on my best stocks to buy now list, and I think they’re still…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£2k in savings? Here’s how I’d invest that to target a passive income of £4,629 a year

Harvey Jones examines how investing a modest sum like £2,000 and leaving it to grow for years can generate an…

Read more »

Renewable energies concept collage
Investing Articles

Down 20%! A sinking dividend stock to buy for passive income?

This dividend stock is spending £50m buying back its own shares while they trade at a discount and also planning…

Read more »