AstraZeneca plc: Why $4.20 Is The Magic Number

AstraZeneca plc’s (LON: AZN) management will be keeping a keen eye on the company’s earnings.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Executive compensation plans have always drawn shareholders criticism but AstraZeneca’s (LSE: AZN) (NYSE: AZN.US) ‘Azip’ plan has been designed with shareholders in mind. 

Azip was put together in order to safeguard Astra’s dividend payout to investors, as well as encouraging the company’s management to grow the payout at a sustainable rate and grow earnings per share.  

The criteria are simple. In order for the Azip plan to remain in effect, the dividend must not be cut and earnings per share must not fall below 1.5 times the dividend. If either of these targets are not met, then benefits are forfeited. Astra’s CEO, Pascal Soriot, stands to lose a bonus of 89,960 shares, roughly £4.1m worth of stock if the company fails to maintain these standards. 

 So, there’s a lot at stake but why is $4.20 such an important number?

The magic number 

The Azip plan states that Astra’s dividend must be covered one-and-a-half times by earnings per share. For the last three years Astra has paid out a dividend per share of $2.80. Multiply $2.80 by 1.5 and you get $4.20. 

What’s more, as part of the Azip plan, Astra cannot cut the dividend. With this being the case, the payout cannot be lowered in order to maintain cover of one-and-a-half times.

So overall, Astra’s earnings per share must stay above the key $4.20 level. At this level the payout is covered one-and-a-half times and rewards promised under the Azip plan are safe. However, if Astra cuts its dividend to save cash, or the company’s earnings per share fall below $4.20, then awards promised under the Azip plan are forfeit. 

Full steam ahead

Unfortunately, Astra’s management are running out of time to ensure that they meet the Azip criteria. Indeed, as Astra struggles with falling sales of its key products, earnings have been falling over the past five years. Full-year 2013 earnings per share were $5.05, down from $7.28 as reported for full-year 2011.

Moreover, within the group’s recently published third-quarter earnings announcement, management revealed that full-year 2014 earnings would be 15% lower than those reported for 2013, in part because of the stronger dollar. According to my figures, these forecasts suggest that Astra is set to report earnings per share of $4.29 for 2014, only just above the key $4.20 threshold. 

And with that key $4.20 threshold looming, Astra’s management have picked up the pace driving multiple deals through over the past month alone.

For example, since the beginning of October the company has revived the go-ahead from regulators for the development of several new, key drugs. An asset swap with peer Almirall has also been completed and Astra’s global biologics research and development arm, MedImmune, has entered into an agreement to acquire Definiens, a world-leading medical data analysis technology firm. 

Astra’s management knows that they stand to lose a lot if the dividend payout comes under pressure, so they’re working hard to ensure that the company returns to growth.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

£2k in savings? Consider putting it here for maximum passive income

Where’s the best place to park a £2k lump sum for maximum passive income? This Fool knows exactly where his…

Read more »

Young Caucasian woman with pink her studying from her laptop screen
Investing Articles

Where will the ITV share price go in 2025? Here’s what the experts say

The ITV share price has been heading up and down as the TV producer and broadcaster has been making the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 rules I followed to start investing

Christopher Ruane shares a trio of considerations he used to start investing in the stock market -- and continues to…

Read more »

Investing Articles

UK investors are obsessed with Nvidia stock! Here’s why

This writer considers a few reasons why Nvidia stock has gone up so dramatically in recent years and whether he'd…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Cheap FTSE 100 shares to consider buying after the Black Friday sales

Whatever bargains retailers are offering for Black Friday, stock brokers aren't joining in. I reckon I see enough cheap shares…

Read more »

Petrochemical engineer working at night with digital tablet inside oil and gas refinery plant
Investing Articles

P/E ratio of 6! Is the Centrica share price a bargain?

This writer reckons the current Centrica share price could be a real bargain. But as a former shareholder, will he…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

What sort of British companies has Warren Buffett invested in – and why?

Warren Buffett has fished on both sides of the pond over the decades in a hunt for bargain shares. Our…

Read more »

Long-term vs short-term investing concept on a staircase
Investing Articles

Here’s how I’m investing in dividend shares to aim for long-term wealth

Our writer plans to turn investments in dividend shares into a retirement pot by implementing a structured, long-term approach.

Read more »