Share your opinion and earn yourself a free Motley Fool premium report!

We are looking for Fools to join a 75 minute online independent market research forum on 15th / 16th December.

To find out more and express your interest please click here

Should I quit my day job and use AI to predict the stock market?

This Fool put various AI models to the test, checking their stock market prediction skills. The results however were questionable.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Business woman creating images with artificial intelligence inside office

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The stock market isn’t a casino and shouldn’t be treated like one. When investing, hours of research should always precede any decision to buy or sell. With a wealth of data at its disposal, investors might think artificial intelligence (AI) could reduce this research to mere minutes. 

But I don’t believe it’s ready yet to fully replace human analysis.

With everybody jumping on the AI bandwagon lately, I decided to give it a go. After using the same prompt on several platforms, I found ChatGPT to provide the most comprehensive response.

Rather than simply answering the question, it took the time to consider several investment themes. It highlighted an increased focus on renewable energy transition, along with ageing populations. Green energy, healthcare and pharmaceuticals were noted as potential winners in the years to come.

Naturally, it was also enthusiastic about AI and automation.

The picks

Overall, it made some fairly obvious choices and appeared to err on the side of caution. Top S&P 500 leaders such as Meta, Citigroup and Nvidia were key recommendations. In the UK, Diageo, AstraZeneca and BAE Systems were unsurprising picks.

However, among the ever-popular leaders were some interesting outliers, such as Rocket Pharmaceuticals and DXP Enterprises. One I found particularly notable was Oxford Metrics (LSE: OMG). Unlike the other FTSE 100 stalwarts, it’s a tiny £72.6m UK company selling shares at 56p a pop.

Specialising in AI-enhanced motion sensor technology, its clients include big names in aerospace, entertainment, pharmaceuticals, research and sports. 

Sounds impressive — but does it convert to profits?

A long road to recovery

Oxford Metrics rode a wave of success from 2017 to 2019 but performance lately’s been anything but impressive. After two slow years, it issued a profit warning in September.

Earnings fell to a five-year low, with net profit margins slipping below 8%. The shares are down 47.5% in five years but still don’t look undervalued, with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 30.

So I had to wonder why ChatGPT would think this struggling penny stock has any future.

Despite a volatile share price, revenue in 2023 hit a new high of 44.24m. In 2024, it introduced a new division, Smart Manufacturing, bolstered by the acquisition of Sempre Group. The group’s known for providing highly specific micro-measuring solutions to aerospace and biomedical companies.

Spending on expansion is a necessary but risky part of business. If it pays off, the firm could turn around. But with barely any cash flow and £3.7m in debt, it needs to tread carefully. Pushing itself too far could be catastrophic.

One attractive value proposition that may help turn the tide is the 5.7% dividend yield. Payments are reliable and growth’s been steady for the past five years. Unfortunately, volatile small-cap stocks don’t make great additions to a passive income portfolio. There are too many chances of cuts or big price swings. 

For that reason, I’ll have to disagree with ChatGPT on this recommendation. It seems like a decent stock with potential, and it may well be the next big thing. But right now, I think it’s too soon to tell.

AI may know a thing or two, but I’ll stick to my slow and diligent research methods.

Citigroup is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Mark Hartley has positions in AstraZeneca Plc, BAE Systems, and Diageo Plc. The Motley Fool UK has recommended AstraZeneca Plc, BAE Systems, Diageo Plc, Meta Platforms, and Nvidia. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young woman holding up three fingers
Investing Articles

Want to start investing in 2026? 3 things to get ready now!

Before someone is ready to start investing in the stock market, our writer reckons it could well be worth them…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Can the stock market continue its strong performance into 2026?

Will the stock market power ahead next year -- or could its recent strong run come crashing down? Christopher Ruane…

Read more »

Businessman hand stacking money coins with virtual percentage icons
Investing Articles

Here’s how someone could invest £20k in an ISA to target a 7% dividend yield in 2026

Is 7% a realistic target dividend yield for a Stocks and Shares ISA? Christopher Ruane reckons that it could be.…

Read more »

A quiet morning and an empty Victoria Street in Edinburgh's historic Old Town.
Investing Articles

How little is £1k invested in Greggs shares in January worth now?

Just how much value have Greggs shares lost this year -- and why has our writer been putting his money…

Read more »

Businessman using pen drawing line for increasing arrow from 2024 to 2025
Investing Articles

This cheap FTSE 100 stock outperformed Barclays, IAG, and Games Workshop shares in 2025 but no one’s talking about it

This FTSE stock has delivered fantastic gains in 2025, outperforming a lot of more popular shares. Yet going into 2026,…

Read more »

Close-up of British bank notes
Investing Articles

100 Lloyds shares cost £55 in January. Here’s what they’re worth now!

How well have Lloyds shares done in 2025? Very well is the answer, as our writer explains. But they still…

Read more »

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window
Investing Articles

How much do you need in an ISA to target £2,000 a month of passive income

Our writer explores a passive income strategy that involves the most boring FTSE 100 share. But when it comes to…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in a FTSE 250 index tracker at the start of 2025 is now worth…

Despite underperforming the FTSE 100, the FTSE 250 has been the place to find some of the UK’s top growth…

Read more »