Up 22% in a week! Top brokers are tipping this beaten-down FTSE stock to recover

After falling 37% this year, this struggling FTSE 250 stock just posted excellent first-half results, prompting Buy ratings from brokers.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Businesswoman calculating finances in an office

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

St James’s Place (LSE: STJ) jumped 22% last week after posting a spectacular set of first-half results on 30 July. In February, the FTSE 250 financial services company was hit by an overcharging scandal that shredded 37% off the share price in a few weeks.

But after hitting a low of 402p on 16 April, it began a slow recovery. This recent jump means it’s finally recovered the losses, hitting a yearly high of 704p last Thursday.

So what prompted this incredible performance?

Stellar results

The firm’s H1 2024 results revealed record funds under management (FUM) of £182bn boosted by net inflows of £1.9bn. It also posted an IFRS profit after tax of £165m, a 2.2% increase from last year. Revenue increased 97% to £15.8bn but higher expenses slashed profit margins in half to 1%.

But more than just the results themselves, the firm has outlined an impressive recovery and cost-savings plan. It plans to cut £100m in expenses by 2027 with an aim to achieve cumulative net savings of around £500m by 2030. It hopes to reinvest approximately 50% of these savings back into the business.

A rather ambitious plan in my opinion, but one that’s seems to have caught the attention of brokers. Bank of America and UBS put in Buy ratings for the stock last week, followed by Overweight ratings from JP Morgan and Barclays.

Dividend cuts

Despite the good results, it also announced a decreased interim dividend of 6p per share. This is down from 15.8p last year. The full-year payout is yet to be confirmed but will likely be less than last year’s 23.8p — which was already down from 52.8p in 2022.

The yield is now down to 2% after starting the year around 8%.

However, the firm has also initiated a £32.9m share buyback programme. This will likely help to boost the final dividend. The ex-dividend date is 22 August, with payment on 20 September.

Ongoing issues

There are still lingering issues from the overcharging scandal that present risks to the stock. Earlier this year, St James’s Place put aside £426m for potential refunds to disgruntled customers. It’s also had to overhaul its charging structure, which may mean lower profits for the business. 

Cost-cutting exercises are a good start but only go so far if a company isn’t profitable. 

With earnings per share (EPS) now back up to 30p from a 1.2p loss, things are looking up. But the full costs of the overcharging scandal (both financial and reputational) remain to be seen. There’s still a lot of work to be done before the company is in the clear.

Growth potential?

Shareholders who bought the stock during the recent dip will be celebrating. But even for new investors, I think there’s still a lot of room for more growth. The price remains down by 59% from the December 2021 high of £16.83.

If it can claw back some customer confidence with the new cost structure, I think St James’s Place might just have a chance of reliving its glory days. But it’s a bit early to tell. I’m going on holiday this month and if the price is still above 680p when I return, I’ll consider buying the shares.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Bank of America is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Mark Hartley has positions in Barclays Plc. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Barclays Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Here’s how I’m using a £20k ISA to target £11k+ in income 30 years from now

Is it realistic to put £20k in an ISA now and earn over half that amount every year in passive…

Read more »

Young black colleagues high-fiving each other at work
Investing Articles

If I could only keep 5 UK stocks from my portfolio I’d save these

Harvey Jones is running through his portfolio of top UK stocks to see which ones he couldn't bear to do…

Read more »

Midnight is celebrated along the River Thames in London with a spectacular and colourful firework display.
Investing Articles

I’m aiming for a million buying unexciting shares!

By investing regularly in long-established, proven and even rather dull businesses, this writer plans to aim for a million. Here's…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 things to consider before you start investing

Our writer draws on his stock market experience to consider a few vital lessons he would use to start investing…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Will this lesser-known £28bn growth stock be joining the FTSE 100 soon?

As the powers that be plan a reorganisation of Footsie listing rules, this massive under-the-radar growth stock could find its…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Fools wouldn’t touch these 5 FTSE 350 flops with a bargepole – how come I own 3 of them?

Harvey Jones took a chance on three struggling FTSE 350 stocks in the hope that they'd stage a dramatic recovery.…

Read more »

Young black colleagues high-fiving each other at work
Investing Articles

How I’m trying to make a million from passive income

Invest as much as possible, regularly, and use the passive income to plough back into more shares. Here's how millionaires…

Read more »

Investing Articles

I’d buy 30,434 shares of this UK dividend stock to target £175 a month in passive income

A top insider has spent over £1m buying this 9%-yielding passive income share over the last year. Roland Head explains…

Read more »