Lloyds’ share price is up 20% in a year so have investors missed out? Here’s what the charts say

In the last year, Lloyds has been a top Footsie performer. But is there still value left in its share price? This Fool reckons so.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Smart young brown businesswoman working from home on a laptop

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

In the last 12 months, FTSE 100 stalwart Lloyds‘ (LSE: LLOY) share price has put on a show. During that time it’s risen from 45.3p to 54.3p, a 20% jump.

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3Lloyds Banking Group Plc PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALLwww.fool.co.uk

As a shareholder, this strong performance comes as a pleasant change. The stock hasn’t budged for years. And when it did, it often retreated. So to see the bank finally gain some momentum is nice.

But where does it go from here? If it keeps surging, it’ll have the 60p mark in its sights. So have investors who were still considering the stock missed out?

Price-to-book

There are a few ways to answer that. One is to value a bank is by looking at its price-to-book (P/B) ratio.

As the chart below highlights, Lloyds’ current P/B is 0.85. That’s higher than some of its Footsie peers. For example, Barclays‘ P/B is 0.53 while Standard Chartered’s is 0.55. Over the last 12 months, the lowest Lloyds has been is 0.65.

Created with TradingView

Nevertheless, its current P/B is below the benchmark value of 1. As such, I reckon the stock still looks good value, despite its recent rise.

Return on equity

There are other ways I can see if Lloyds is still a smart investment. For example, I can look at its profitability. One way to explore this is by looking at the firm’s return on equity. As seen below, it currently sits at 11.4%.


Created with TradingView

That’s been trending lower since June 2023. However, it’s higher than the current average of its peers on the Footsie, which is 9.9%.

What next?

But where do we go from here? Well, I’m optimistic we’ll keep seeing the Lloyds share price rise in the times ahead. Analysts seem to agree too. Its 12-month target price is 59.3p. That’s an 8.8% premium from today.

Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is just 7.3, which is cheap for a business of Lloyds’ quality, in my opinion. The Footsie average is 11, while Its forward P/E is 8.6.

What’s more, I like owning Lloyds shares as they provide passive income. The stock yields 5.1% covered over two times by trailing earnings. That’s above the average Footsie yield of 3.6% and with the income I’ve received, I’ve simply reinvested it back into buying more cheap shares.

Issues along the way

That’s not to say I don’t see its share price meandering up and down along the way. Lloyds faces multiple issues.

For example, the bank generates all of its revenues from the UK. That means, unlike some of its competitors, it’s heavily reliant on the domestic economy to perform. I’m expecting further uncertainty surrounding the economy’s performance in the months to come, given issues such as interest rate cuts and the general election. So investors could see Lloyds produce large amounts of volatility in the near term.

Long-term buy

But Lloyds looks undervalued to me today. As such, if I had the cash, I’d add to my position. I’m not expecting a smooth journey. Nonetheless, I’m hopeful we’ll continue to see the stock rise in the years to come.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Charlie Keough has positions in Barclays Plc and Lloyds Banking Group Plc. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Barclays Plc, Lloyds Banking Group Plc, and Standard Chartered Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

ISA Individual Savings Account
Investing Articles

Thinking of starting a Stocks and Shares ISA this April? Avoid these 4 mistakes!

A Stocks and Shares ISA can be a way for an investor to try and build wealth over the long…

Read more »

ISA coins
Investing Articles

Here’s how to build a £100k ISA starting with £5k today

Increase an ISA's value 20-fold? It need not just be the stuff of dreams, according to this writer -- though…

Read more »

A senior man and his wife holding hands walking up a hill on a footpath looking away from the camera at the view. The fishing village of Polperro is behind them.
Investing Articles

6.9% yield! I just added this share to my SIPP

In a turbulent stock market, our writer has been hunting for bargains to add to his SIPP. After a 31%…

Read more »

piggy bank, searching with binoculars
Investing Articles

With Rolls-Royce shares moving up again, is a £10 price target back on the horizon?

Rolls-Royce shares wobbled when President Trump dropped his tariff bombshell on us. But three weeks is a short time in…

Read more »

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

2 UK stocks to consider buying as the market sell-off continues

Stephen Wright thinks investors looking for opportunities might be able to take advantage of short-term weakness in some UK stocks.

Read more »

Closeup of "interest rates" text in a newspaper
Investing Articles

1 stock for passive income investors to consider buying before the Bank of England cuts interest rates

With the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee set to meet in May, passive income investors should think about how…

Read more »

Tesla building with tesla logo and two teslas in front
Investing Articles

Is Tesla about to become the ultimate passive income machine?

Our writer discusses whether Tesla stock might be worth him buying, just in case the EV giant enables passive income…

Read more »

Rolls-Royce's Pearl 10X engine series
Investing Articles

Will the Rolls-Royce share price collapse? Here’s what the charts say

The Rolls-Royce share price has pulled back following the announcement of Donald Trump’s trade policy, but supportive trends remain.

Read more »