Is the Lloyds share price as good as it looks on paper?

The Lloyds share price looks cheap as chips. But is this really the case? This Fool reckons so. Here, he explains why he’s bullish.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Portrait of elderly man wearing white denim shirt and glasses looking up with hand on chin. Thoughtful senior entrepreneur, studio shot against grey background.

Image source: Getty Images

On the surface, the Lloyds (LSE: LLOY) share price looks like one of the best investment opportunities the FTSE 100 has to offer.

As I write, investors can buy a share in the renowned bank for just 55.7p. That seems too good to be true. But is it?

A rising share price

So I want to find out if Lloyds is good value for money. One thing I know for sure is that it isn’t as cheap now as it has been.

That’s because its share price has soared. Year to date, it’s up 15.9%. In the last 12 months, it’s outshone the Footsie and risen 24.4%.

I’ve been a Lloyds shareholder for a while. Like many other investors, I’ve watched it sit still for far too long, patiently waiting for it to make a move. That was always what I found rather annoying with the stock.

Finally, it seems we could be witnessing it gain some momentum. That said, I must remember the stock’s still down 3.4% over the last five years.

Valuation

But even with Lloyds gaining pace, I still think its share price is the bargain it looks on paper.

Trading on just 7.4 times earnings, the stock looks dirt cheap. That’s some way off the Footsie average of 11. For a business of Lloyds’ stature, I reckon that could be a bargain. By 2026, that figure is forecast to fall to just above six.

Looking at its price-to-book ratio, Lloyds also seems undervalued. At 0.7, that’s below 1, which is the benchmark for fair value.

Domestic focus

One of the biggest issues I see with Lloyds is the fact it generates all its revenues from the UK. Unlike some of its international peers, this makes it more prone to a downturn in the domestic economy.

The UK’s struggled for growth in recent times. And with a general election looming, as well as uncertainty surrounding interest rate cuts, that could see Lloyds’ performance suffer.

Investor sentiment

Lower rates will squeeze the firm’s net interest margins. And while I largely suspect that any near future rate cut is priced in already, I’m hoping that in the medium-to-long-term falling rates and the boost they should provide to investor sentiment will reflect onto the stock.

There’s also its dividend yield to take into consideration. At 5%, covered over two times by earnings, that’s attractive. Its dividend is forecast to rise to 5.2% in 2024 and 5.8% in 2025.

Turning a corner?

I’m optimistic the momentum we’ve seen the stock gain over the past few months could be the start of what’s to come. I’m expecting some more bumps along the way, but even if Lloyds produces more volatility this year and next, I’m content with that.

Lloyds is a staple in my portfolio. If I have the cash this month, I’ll be adding to my position. For investors who are in it for the long run, I think Lloyds is a stock to consider buying. I reckon it’s one of the Footsie’s best bargains.

Charlie Keough has positions in Lloyds Banking Group Plc. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Mature black woman at home texting on her cell phone while sitting on the couch
Investing Articles

Want a £1m Stocks and Shares ISA? Step 1 starts before 5 April

Dr James Fox explains why the Stocks and Shares ISA is an incredible vehicle, and why investors may want to…

Read more »

Happy woman commuting on a train and checking her mobile phone while using headphones
Investing Articles

2 dirt-cheap stocks to consider buying for an ISA portfolio in April

This pair of UK shares are down by double digits in recent months. Ben McPoland sees both as stocks to…

Read more »

Front view photo of a woman using digital tablet in London
Growth Shares

I think this undervalued penny stock has serious potential to outperform

Jon Smith points out a penny stock that's started to rise as the company pushes ahead with a transformation that…

Read more »

Close-up of children holding a planet at the beach
Investing Articles

2 dividend-paying investment trusts to consider for a Stocks and Shares ISA

These two London-listed funds source their dividends globally, offering income investors diversification inside an ISA portfolio.

Read more »

Businesswoman calculating finances in an office
Investing Articles

Waiting for a stock market crash? This FTSE 100 superstar just fell 19% in a day

A stock market crash can be a great time to buy shares. But one of the FTSE 100’s leading lights…

Read more »

Road trip. Father and son travelling together by car
Investing Articles

Rolls-Royce shares down 19%. Why is this major broker still as bullish as ever?

Our writer looks into the long-term investment case for Rolls-Royce shares after a 19% dip, and finds at least one…

Read more »

DIVIDEND YIELD text written on a notebook with chart
Investing Articles

9% yield! But a cut’s coming for 1 of the UK’s most reliable dividend stocks

While other housebuilding stocks have had big dividend cuts in recent years, Taylor Wimpey's been incredibly resilient. But that's set…

Read more »

Bearded man writing on notepad in front of computer
Investing Articles

Stock market crash? 1 Nasdaq share I’m keeping an eye on

With the stock market taking the elevator down recently, out writer has his eye on a company hoping to compete…

Read more »