I’d buy 15,625 shares of this FTSE dividend stock for £1,000 a year in passive income

This FTSE stock is out of favour but I think it’s worth considering for passive income and the recovery potential of the business.

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As part of a diversified passive income portfolio, I’d consider buying shares in Warehouse REIT (LSE: WHR).

With the share price near 90p, the property business has a market capitalisation around £380m and resides in the FTSE SmallCap index.

As the name describes, the company is a real estate investment trust (REIT) and runs a diversified portfolio of UK commercial property warehouse assets. 

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The sector’s been facing difficulties for some time. And higher interest rates have caused a tougher trading environment for the firm. But the investment team has been managing the portfolio to support the shareholder dividend. In some cases, that strategy involves careful asset sales and financial re-engineering to realise cash and value.

Nevertheless, the share price has been beaten down.

But that situation has led to what looks like a keener valuation with the dividend yield running above 7%.

A stream of passive income

The dividend record has been steady since 2019. And the company even kept up shareholder payments through the depths of the pandemic. Looking ahead, City analysts expect a dividend of around 6.4p per share for the current trading year to March 2024. And they’ve pencilled in the same for the following year.

To target around £1,000 of annual passive income from the dividends, I’d need to buy about 16,120 shares. That’s assuming the share price is close to 90p. And the cost to buy those shares would likely be just under £15,000, including likely trading costs.

Not all my eggs would go in the one basket. But as part of a larger portfolio, I think the stock offers reasonable recovery potential over the medium-to-long term. And providing the directors manage to keep up the dividend payments, there’ll be passive income along the way.

However, as with any investment, there are risks. And one is the company’s debt-load.

In November’s half-year report, chairman Neil Kirton said Interest rates will likely be high for longer than previous expectations.

That situation — if it plays out – will likely keep finance costs elevated and it also affects the firm’s tenants leading to increased risk of unpaid rent. However, in the first half of the year the company restructured its debt. Kirton said the move positions the business well for the second half.

Meanwhile, the US central bank decided to hold base rates in December and hinted that rates would be cut in the new year. And where the US goes, the UK often follows.

Shedding assets

The company is pursuing a plan to sell or part-sell non-core assets. And the focus is on “rebuilding dividend coverage”.

The directors have “conviction” in the plan. However, for the time being, predicted earnings fall a little short of covering the forecast dividend payments.

Kirton said the business benefits from “supportive” long-term trends, such as those in online retail and supply chain resilience. On top of that, the company serves many other industries. And Kirton sees the diversity as a key benefit of the business model.

Warehouse REIT looks like a business facing short-term challenges but with longer-term potential. So on balance and despite the risks, I think it’s worth my further research time now with a view to buying some of the shares.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Kevin Godbold has positions in Warehouse REIT Plc. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Warehouse REIT Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

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