A bearish forecast: JPMorgan’s list of nine FTSE 250 stocks to avoid

Big money managers have smelt blood in the water, and they’re circling these nine FTSE 250 stocks. Our writer owns one of them: will he sell or hold?

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Frustrated young white male looking disconsolate while sat on his sofa holding a beer

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

JPMorgan has gone bearish on nine FTSE 250 stocks, betting big money against them.

The bank’s decision to short these nine stocks could trigger big shareholders to re-evaluate their positions.

Short-selling involves borrowing shares to sell them in the market, with the goal of repurchasing them at a lower price.

Watch out below

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) makes funds disclose their net short positions once they meet or exceed 0.5% of a company’s issued share capital.

A disclosure from 14 December shows JPMorgan has shorted nine stocks in the FTSE 250 index.

Company Name                                       % of share capital shorted as at 14 December 2023
FD Technologies1.13
Vertu Motors0.75
Supermarket Income REIT0.61
Renishaw0.60
Primary Health Properties0.60
Pennon Group0.55
ME Group International0.54
The Gym Group0.54
Essentra0.52
Financial Conduct Authority disclosures, as at 14 December 2023

JPMorgan’s most heavily shorted stock is FD Technologies, a data solutions provider. In second place is Vertu Motors, an automotive dealership group. In third position is Supermarket Income REIT, an investment trust focusing on supermarket real estate.

Worryingly, I have a sizeable position in my own portfolio of Primary Health Properties, a REIT that owns clinics in the UK and Ireland. JPMorgan is currently selling 0.6% of this particular REIT’s share capital short. Should I sell before it’s too late?

Please note that tax treatment depends on the individual circumstances of each client and may be subject to change in future. The content in this article is provided for information purposes only. It is not intended to be, neither does it constitute, any form of tax advice.

Different strokes for different folks

I invested more than 10% of my portfolio in Primary Health Properties in early 2023. I made that move because I believe ageing demographics in the UK will cause demand for health services to skyrocket. It also sweetened the deal that the REIT was trading at a beaten-down price with a chunky dividend yield of 6.7%. I was left impressed by the fact the company has a 26-year streak in year-on-year dividend growth.

Traders at JPMorgan clearly don’t share my enthusiasm. Given Supermarket Income REIT is also on the list of most-shorted stocks, it could reflect in part pessimism towards the UK property market more generally. Indeed, the Bank of England might shock investors by raising interest rates again. In that case, UK REITs like Primary Healthcare Properties could experience a vicious bear market.

Comfortingly, I’m not alone in my optimism for UK REITs. Morgan Stanley called UK property stocks “compelling” in a research note back in October.

And, not to jinx it, but I’m pleased to report that – so far – most of JPMorgan’s shorts are in the red. Below are the nine shorted stocks along with their price changes since the position was opened.

Company NameShort position openedPrice change since short was opened (to 14 December 2023)
Essentra16-Nov-230.3%
FD Technologies05-Dec-238.6%
ME Group International08-Dec-23-0.4%
Pennon Group21-Aug-2319.63%
Primary Health Properties13-Oct-2314.2%
Renishaw07-Dec-230%
Supermarket Income REIT21-Jun-238.8%
The Gym Group19-May-230%
Financial Conduct Authority disclosures, as at 14 December 2023; price data from Yahoo Finance

Five of the nine positions have increased in price, the opposite of what JPMorgan had hoped. Two have flat-lined. One (ME Group International) has nudged down by -0.4%.

To conclude, I’ll be holding onto my shares in Primary Health Properties. I like the company’s financials and track record. I think it’s well positioned to ride some powerful demographic tailwinds over the next decade and beyond.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Mark Tovey has positions in Primary Health Properties Plc. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Primary Health Properties Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Smiling family of four enjoying breakfast at sunrise while camping
Investing Articles

£20,000 in an ISA? Here’s how I’d aim to make £1,250 a month in passive income

Our writer thinks one rare FTSE 100 stock could help drive an ISA portfolio higher, resulting in a sizeable passive…

Read more »

Black father holding daughter in a field of cows
Investing Articles

£25k of savings? Consider aiming for a £1k+ monthly passive income via this strategy

With a long-term mindset, investors could target a four-figure monthly passive income by investing £25k in low-volatility blue-chip stocks.

Read more »

Investing Articles

The Rolls-Royce share price hit new highs in November. What next?

November has been another record-breaking month for the Rolls-Royce share price. And the outlook for 2025 still looks bright.

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s the growth forecast for Sage Group shares to 2026!

Sage Group shares have rocketed following the tech firm's stunning third-quarter update. Is now the time to consider buying in?

Read more »

Investing Articles

10%+ dividend growth! 2 FTSE 250 shares tipped to turbocharge dividends

These FTSE 250 income shares look in great shape to grow their dividends by double-digit percentages, says our writer Royston…

Read more »

Frustrated young white male looking disconsolate while sat on his sofa holding a beer
Investing Articles

Would it be madness to buy this FTSE stock smashed by Donald Trump’s team picks?

Ben McPoland takes a look at one FTSE share inside his portfolio that has been battered lately due to a…

Read more »

Investing Articles

After it crashed 25%, should I buy this former stock market darling in my Stocks and Shares ISA?

Harvey Jones has a big hole in his Stocks and Shares ISA that he is keen to fill. Should he…

Read more »

happy senior couple using a laptop in their living room to look at their financial budgets
Investing Articles

How’s the dividend forecast looking for Legal & General shares in 2025 and beyond?

As a shareholder, I like to keep track of the potential dividend returns I could make from my Legal &…

Read more »