At 19%, can the Diversified Energy dividend yield really last?

The Diversified Energy dividend means that the shares offer an unusually high yield. Christopher Ruane considers whether it might last.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Tanker coming in to dock in calm waters and a clear sunset

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

When a company has a high yield it can sometimes be a red flag – or a brilliant opportunity. So what to make of Diversified Energy (LSE: DEC)? After recent share price turbulence, the Diversified Energy dividend yield is now just under 19%.

That sounds like it might be too good to be true. But is it?

Strong dividend history

The company pays out dividends quarterly.

Should you invest £1,000 in JD Sports right now?

When investing expert Mark Rogers has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for nearly a decade has provided thousands of paying members with top stock recommendations from the UK and US markets. And right now, Mark thinks there are 6 standout stocks that investors should consider buying. Want to see if JD Sports made the list?

See the 6 stocks

Last year it raised its annual dividend, as it has done for the past six years in a row.

Past performance is not necessarily a guide to what might come next, however. With the annual Diversified Energy dividend approaching close to a fifth of its current share price, I think understanding the Diversified business model is crucial to considering the sustainability of the unusually lucrative payout.

Novel business model

The company operates tens of thousands of gas wells. It typically buys them near the end of their operational lives from oil and gas firms that no longer want to keep them.

That has allowed the business to build up a sizeable asset base relatively quickly.

One might ask: if an oil major with economies of scale regards such wells as surplus to requirements, why would Diversified be able to turn a profit from them? After all, volumes can be small and the cost of capping a well once it ends its productive life could eat into profitability.

On the other hand, Diversified might be able to give more focus to a ragtag collection of relatively modest gas wells than would be the case if they were owned by a massive producer like Exxon.

Dividend economics

How does Diversified fund a dividend? After all, it reported its third annual loss in a row last year. At £621m, that loss was not far off the company’s entire current market capitalisation of £722m.

The company is also cash flow negative. Last year it did record operating cash flows of $388m. But investing cash flows were -$386m while financing cash flows were -$7m. All things considered, more cash went out the door than came in.

Of that, $143m went on dividends, which can always be cut.

But the financing cash flows that concern me as a potential investor are those related to borrowings. The business repaid $2.1bn of borrowings, but still saw cash inflows of $2.6bn from borrowings. At the end of last year, net debt stood at $1.4bn, an increase of 42% over the prior 12 months.

A juicy dividend may attract investor attention. But even with fairly high energy prices, Diversified had a negative free cash flow last year, borrowed heavily, and is carrying a sizeable net debt.

Energy market pricing

I continue to have doubts about the long-term viability of such a business model and what it means for the Diversified Energy dividend.

If energy prices crash at some stage, revenues will be hit badly. But with its large debt pile, the company needs funds to service and ultimately pay down its borrowings.

The novel strategy has rewarded shareholders with large dividends to date and they could continue, especially if energy prices rise.

I see the energy market as cyclical, though, which could spell bad news for the Diversified Energy dividend. I have no plans to invest.

AI Revolution Awaits: Uncover Top Stock Picks for Massive Potential Gains!

Buckle up because we're about to dive headfirst into the electrifying world of AI.

Imagine this: you make a single savvy investment in some cutting-edge technology, then kick back and watch as it revolutionises entire industries and potentially even lines your pockets.

If the mere thought of riding this AI wave excites you and the prospect of massive potential returns gets your pulse racing, then you’ve got to check out this Motley Fool Share Advisor report – 'AI Front Runners: 3 Surprising Stocks Riding The AI Wave’!

And here’s the kicker – we’re giving you an exclusive peek at ONE of these top AI stock picks, absolutely free! How’s that for a bit of brilliance?

Get your free AI stock pick

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

C Ruane has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Pound coins for sale — 51 pence?

This seems ridiculous, but we almost never see shares looking this cheap. Yet this recent ‘Best Buy Now’ has a price/book ratio of 0.51. In plain English, this means that investors effectively get in on a business that holds £1 of assets for every 51p they invest!

Of course, this is the stock market where money is always at risk — these valuations can change and there are no guarantees. But some risks are a LOT more interesting than others, and at The Motley Fool we believe this company is amongst them.

What’s more, it currently boasts a stellar dividend yield of around 8.5%, and right now it’s possible for investors to jump aboard at near-historic lows. Want to get the name for yourself?

See the full investment case

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Prediction: 12 months from now, £5,000 invested in Tesla stock could be worth…

Tesla stock has endured a miserable year so far, falling by 29%. Muhammad Cheema takes a look at how it…

Read more »

Investing Articles

See what £10,000 invested in Tesla shares at their mid-December peak is worth today 

As the world absorbs the full scale of Donald Trump's tariffs, Tesla shares are reeling. Investors who bought the stock…

Read more »

Hand flipping wooden cubes for change wording" Panic " to " Calm".
Dividend Shares

2 ‘safe’ LSE dividend stocks to consider as global markets sell off

As global markets experience high levels of volatility due to economic uncertainty, investors are piling into these ‘safe-haven’ dividend stocks.

Read more »

Investing Articles

US stock market rout: an unmissable opportunity for investors?

His tech-heavy portfolio has been smashed by Trump’s tariffs. However, Dr James Fox believes there could be some opportunities in…

Read more »

Investing Articles

After a 13% ‘Trump tariff’ fall, is the Barclays share price too cheap to miss?

Does the Barclays share price fall mean we should all panic and run screaming from the stock market? Nah, of…

Read more »

Mature Caucasian woman sat at a table with coffee and laptop while making notes on paper
Investing Articles

2 investment trusts to consider for a Stocks and Shares ISA

These two investment trusts have a different focus -- but our writer sees both as worth considering, one more for…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Deutsche Bank reiterates Buy rating on 9.6% yielding FTSE 250 stock that was “most shorted in UK”

Our writer investigates why a major broker remains optimistic about a FTSE 250 stock that was once the most shorted…

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 things to remember when stock markets are turbulent

US trade policy has rattled the stock markets in New York, London and elsewhere. Our writer outlines a couple of…

Read more »