This FTSE 250 share used to yield 10%. Is now the moment to buy?

Here’s one from the FTSE 250 that started the year with a double-digit dividend yield. Could buying it now offer a potential bargain if the business recovers?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

One English pound placed on a graph to represent an economic down turn

Image source: Getty Images

The FTSE 250 contains some fast-growing companies on their way up. But some of the shares in the index are fallen stars that used to be in the benchmark FTSE 100 group.

One such business is insurer Direct Line (LSE: DLG). Its shares had been getting cheaper for a while, meaning they had a double digit yield at the start of this year. Then the company issued a profit warning, abruptly cancelled its dividend and the shares plummeted.

Looking forward though, could now be a good moment for investors to reconsider the merits of owning Direct Line?

Improving business prospects

The FTSE 250 company is under new management since the dividend cancellation. It has also been making steps to right the ship and focus its business strategy.

This month, the firm announced it has agreed to sell its brokered commercial insurance business. That involves Direct Line receiving an initial payment of £520m, equivalent to more than a fifth of its current market capitalisation.

It could also earn up to £30m based on how the business perform in future, as well as being able to release capital of up to £270m over time. The deal will not stop Direct Line continuing to sell insurance to small businesses directly.

Although the number of in-force policies fell in the first half compared to the prior year period, gross written premiums and fees from ongoing operations rose by almost 10%. That suggests the firm may be tackling one of the areas it was struggling with before, namely covering rising costs by pushing up premiums.

Still not out of the woods

However, some things about the FTSE 250 firm continue to concern me. The loss before tax for the first half was far higher than in the prior year period, at £76.3m. Direct Line also announced that it would set aside around £30m to compensate policyholders who had been historically mischarged.

That charge came in at a lower level than some City analysts had feared. Still, it brings to mind for me the Warren Buffett aphorism that there is never only one cockroach in the kitchen.

Direct Line shocked investors by cancelling its juicy dividend this year. The historical misselling costs also came as a nasty surprise. The company remains lossmaking and I am still not entirely clear I understand why Direct Line suffered quite so badly in a market where rival underwriters facing similar challenges continued to perform fairly well.

Ongoing turnaround situation

The Direct Line share price has moved up lately as investors greeted the brokered commercial insurance disposal positively.

I think there could be more share price rises ahead as the business has a lot of experience, huge customer base, and well-known brands including Churchill as well as the eponymous Direct Line brand.
if it can get its motor insurance business performance into gear, the company has indicated that it could restart dividends.

But despite the promise, this still feels like a turnaround situation to me. When it comes to my own portfolio, I will hold off buying this FTSE 250 share until there is clearer evidence the business’s performance has turned the corner.

C Ruane has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

UK supporters with flag
Investing Articles

Why I think this super-cheap growth stock will lead the charge when the FTSE 100 recovers

Harvey Jones is seriously excited by this FTSE 100 growth stock but he also cautions that it can be very…

Read more »

Hydrogen testing at DLR Cologne
Investing Articles

Rolls-Royce’s share price is rallying again! But for how long?

Rolls-Royce's share price is the FTSE 100's best performer at the start of the new month. The question is, can…

Read more »

Lady taking a bottle of Hellmann's Real Mayonnaise from a supermarket shelf
Investing Articles

Value investors: Unilever shares are down 7% in a day!

Has the stock market’s reaction to Unilever’s deal to sell its food businesses left the reamining company as an undervalued…

Read more »

Close-up of children holding a planet at the beach
Investing Articles

The stock market is changing fundamentally — and most investors haven’t noticed

Andrew Mackie argues the FTSE 100 is being misread — beneath the volatility, investors are rotating into cash-generating businesses, not…

Read more »

British flag, Big Ben, Houses of Parliament and British flag composition
Investing Articles

FTSE 100 shares: the ‘old economy’ trade the market may be misreading

Andrew Mackie argues recent FTSE 100 volatility is masking a deeper shift, as investors rotate into cash-generative 'old economy' winners.

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

Down 19% to under £1, here’s why Lloyds shares look a bargain to me anywhere up to £1.80

Lloyds' shares are down a lot in a short time, but the price doesn’t reflect how well the business is…

Read more »

Hydrogen testing at DLR Cologne
Investing Articles

£20,000 invested in Rolls-Royce shares 3 years ago is now worth…

Rolls‑Royce shares are down after a huge surge from 2023, but the numbers suggest this rare dip could be a…

Read more »

ISA Individual Savings Account
Investing Articles

How big must an ISA be to aim for a £25,000+ a year second income?

Ahead of the 5 April ISA deadline, I double-checked I had fully utilised my tax-free allowance by topping up my…

Read more »