One growth stock I’d avoid like the plague right now and one I’d buy in a shot

Every investor dreams of buying a growth stock just before it roars into life, but this one’s too risky for me. However, there’s one I would buy.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Asian man looking concerned while studying paperwork at his desk in an office

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

I’ve mostly been buying dirt cheap FTSE 100 shares lately, but now it’s time to inject some excitement into my portfolio with a growth stock or two. While I love seeing my dividends roll up over the years, I’d also like to enjoy some capital growth.

A few weeks ago, there was a flurry of excitement around fast fashion group boohoo (LSE: BOO). After a nightmare couple of years, the AIM-traded stock suddenly jumped 18% in a week, as it emerged that Frasers Group owner Mike Ashley was building a position.

What’s Ashley up to?

Ashley has made a habit of snapping up struggling rivals and adding to them to his conglomerate. He’s doing the same with boohoo’s rival ASOS too. Frasers already owns House of Fraser, Sports Direct and Flannels, and it clearly isn’t finished yet.

Private investors who decided Ashley’s purchase was a trigger signal to buy boohoo will have been disappointed so far. The initial excitement has faded and it’s down 5.61% over the last week. Investors keep losing money on this stock. The share price is down 24.26% over one year and 88.05% over two years.

boohoo still generated revenue of £1.77bn last year, although it fell 11%. It made a profit too, of £895.2m, albeit down 14%. It ended the year with net cash of £5.9m, when markets had forecast £55m net debt.

It’s a leaner, lighter operation, and now there’s a fresh source of demand for its shares. I’m almost talking myself into buying it here, but I need to keep a level head. We don’t know Ashley’s intentions. He’s also buying shares of Currys and electrical goods specialist AO World. Plus he holds shares in high street fashion giant Next. His strategy is all over the shop.

Frasers now owns 10.4% of boohoo. He owns 19.3% of ASOS, but that hasn’t stopped its share price from falling 38% over the last 12 months. I know too many investors who’ve lost too much money on boohoo. I’m steering clear.

I’ll drink to this stock

I don’t have the same qualms about FTSE 100 spirits giant Diageo (LSE: DGE), even though its share price has also done badly, falling 16.87% over the last year.

Diageo has also been tipped to recover, but with the share price down 4.46% in the last month, investors are having to be patient here too. Yet it’s clearly a much less risky proposition than boohoo. It’s a huge £70bn company whose product are sold in more than 180 countries and not just over the internet.

Diageo can be cyclical and recent slippage looks like the perfect time for me to buy. Today’s valuation of 19.2 times earnings is relatively low by its standards, although naturally, I wish it was a bit lower.

A long-term threat is that young people in the West are drinking less alcohol (even if a Friday night on my local high street suggests otherwise). If that trend continues, Diageo could struggle. However, we’re a long way from that point. I still think it’s a great ‘buy-and forget’ stock. By contrast, if I held boohoo, I wouldn’t forget about it. I’d be watching it like a hawk and frankly I don’t need the stress.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Harvey Jones has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

6 stocks that Fools have been buying!

Our Foolish freelancers are putting their money where their mouths are and buying these stocks in recent weeks.

Read more »

Google office headquarters
Investing Articles

1 reason I like buying S&P 500 shares – and 1 reason I don’t

Will this investor try to improve his potential returns by focusing more on S&P 500 shares instead of British ones?…

Read more »

Young woman holding up three fingers
Investing Articles

3 SIPP mistakes to avoid

Our writer explains a trio of potentially costly errors he tries to avoid making when investing his SIPP, on an…

Read more »

Smiling white woman holding iPhone with Airpods in ear
Investing Articles

Here’s how (and why) I’d start buying shares with £25 a week

Our writer uses his investment experience and current approach to explain how he would start buying shares on a limited…

Read more »

Aerial shot showing an aircraft shadow flying over an idyllic beach
Investing Articles

Here’s my 5-step approach to earning passive income of £500 a month

Christopher Ruane explains the handful of steps he uses to target hundreds of pounds in passive income each month.

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 UK shares I’ve been buying this week

From a value perspective, UK shares look attractive. But two in particular have been attracting Stephen Wright’s attention over the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

A lifelong second income for just £10 a week? Here’s how!

With a simple, structured approach to buying blue-chip dividend shares at attractive prices, our writer's building a second income for…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d use a £20k Stocks and Shares ISA to help build generational wealth

Discover how our writer would aim to turn a £20k Stocks and Shares ISA into a sizeable nest egg by…

Read more »