Are Barclays shares undervalued? Here’s what the charts say!

Barclays shares are regularly cited as being among the cheapest on the FTSE 100. Dr James Fox takes a closer look at the giant banking stock.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Portrait of elderly man wearing white denim shirt and glasses looking up with hand on chin. Thoughtful senior entrepreneur, studio shot against grey background.

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Market sentiment towards Barclays (LSE:BARC) shares is particularly negative, even compared to its peers and the rest of the index. This, in itself, is a challenge, because as investors we need these momentum shifts to make our value investing strategies come good.

However, it’s widely recognised that Barclays is particularly cheap. So just how cheap are the shares, and is this an opportunity for investors?

P/E

The most simple of valuation metrics is the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. And this is where Barclays’ discount versus its peers first becomes apparent. Currently, it trades at just 4.27x earnings. That’s a fraction of the index average, around 13x, and substantially below the financial sector average, around 10.5x.

UK banks are among the cheapest. That broadly reflects the negative sentiment surrounding the UK economy and cyclical, UK-focused stocks like Barclays.

It’s also worth noting that any good news seems to be largely ignored by the market, with investors focusing on issues such as falling net interest margins over the next two years, rather than a more positive outlook on impairment charges.

Barclays is the cheapest FTSE 100 bank using the P/E ratio. Its valuation comes in at just a fraction of Bank of America (8.98x), Goldman Sachs (14.8x), and even HSBC (6.75x). Interestingly, Barclays broadly trades in line with Georgian bank TBC Bank (4.7x).

P/B

Price-to-book (P/B) ratio is a simple financial metric used to understand how the market values a company compared to the value of its assets. In a nutshell, the P/B ratio gives investors an idea of whether a stock is trading at a higher or lower value than what its assets suggest.

Once again, Barclays looks undervalued here versus its peers. Its P/B ratio is just 0.43, indicating a huge 57% discount versus book value. This is a truly exceptional valuation.

The below chart highlights this phenomenal discount versus its peers. UK-focused lender Lloyds is closest at 0.74x. Meanwhile, we can see that other banks, notably those that are US-listed, trade near or above their book value.

Created at TradingView

Performance

Barclays is less efficient at generating returns than some of its peers. This is demonstrated by the company’s lower-than-average Return on Tangible Equity (RoTE). This is a financial metric that measures a company’s profitability in relation to its tangible equity, essentially how efficiently a company is generating profits using its tangible assets.

The below chart highlights how Barclays compares with its peers. It’s worth highlighting that HSBC has recently upgraded its RoTE guidance to the mid-teens.

Created at TradingView

Conclusion

Although Barclays demonstrates comparatively lower efficiency in delivering returns compared to its peers, it stands out as the most affordably-priced major universal bank I’ve encountered.

However, it’s important to note that an undervalued stock doesn’t inherently guarantee a positive investment outcome. A positive investment trajectory for Barclays hinges on a necessary change in investor sentiment towards the bank, along with a broader upturn in the fortunes of the UK economy.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Bank of America is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. HSBC Holdings is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. James Fox has positions in Barclays Plc and Lloyds Banking Group Plc. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Barclays Plc, HSBC Holdings, and Lloyds Banking Group Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Smiling white woman holding iPhone with Airpods in ear
Investing Articles

Here’s how (and why) I’d start buying shares with £25 a week

Our writer uses his investment experience and current approach to explain how he would start buying shares on a limited…

Read more »

Aerial shot showing an aircraft shadow flying over an idyllic beach
Investing Articles

Here’s my 5-step approach to earning passive income of £500 a month

Christopher Ruane explains the handful of steps he uses to target hundreds of pounds in passive income each month.

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 UK shares I’ve been buying this week

From a value perspective, UK shares look attractive. But two in particular have been attracting Stephen Wright’s attention over the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

A lifelong second income for just £10 a week? Here’s how!

With a simple, structured approach to buying blue-chip dividend shares at attractive prices, our writer's building a second income for…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d use a £20k Stocks and Shares ISA to help build generational wealth

Discover how our writer would aim to turn a £20k Stocks and Shares ISA into a sizeable nest egg by…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Billionaire Warren Buffett just bought shares of Domino’s Pizza. Should I grab a slice?

Our writer takes a look at a few reasons why Domino's Pizza stock might have appealed to Warren Buffett's Berkshire…

Read more »

Yellow number one sitting on blue background
Investing For Beginners

My number 1 tip for Stocks and Shares ISA investors

This strategy has improved Edward Sheldon’s ISA returns dramatically and he thinks it could help other investors have more financial…

Read more »

White female supervisor working at an oil rig
Investing Articles

Down 20% in a year, is the BP share price simply too cheap to ignore?

After sliding for months, is the BP share price as low as it'll go? Even with the risk of more…

Read more »