Why I’d buy Lloyds shares now

We could soon be facing a potential banking crisis. However, let’s take a deeper dive below to see why I still like Lloyds shares.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Young Black woman using a debit card at an ATM to withdraw money

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Over the last six months, Lloyds Banking Group (LSE: LLOY) shares have declined by 15%. This is much worse than the wider FTSE 100, which only declined by 1.2% in the same period.

However, if I had the spare cash to do so, I would still buy shares in Lloyds today. I’ll explain why below.

Banking crisis

First, it is important to note the recent banking crisis in the US. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March, followed by a further two banking failures, has put investors on edge.

Further turmoil occurred when UBS was made to buy out its struggling rival, Credit Suisse, by the Swiss government.

This led to a sell-off across the entire banking industry. Therefore, I may experience some unwanted volatility by holding Lloyds shares, due to the uncertainty of the banking sector.

However, I believe this is unjustified with respect to Lloyds shares.

This is because the banking failures have largely been contained within the US, with the UK financial system still looking fairly healthy.

Moreover, Lloyds recently passed its stress tests conducted by the Bank of England. This indicates its ability to withstand tough economic conditions, should they arise.

There are also plenty of other reasons for me to like its shares.

Recent strong performance

Lloyds released its interim results on 26 July. Pre-tax profit increased considerably to £3.9bn, up from £3.1bn a year ago. As interest rates rise, this has led to higher net interest income.

All this sounds like good news, right? However, the market doesn’t seem to agree, with Lloyds shares continuing to fall.

This is mainly due to a £662m impairment charge it has taken out on itself, denting the company’s profit. Higher interest rates make the cost of living less affordable, which inevitably results in people defaulting on their loans and mortgages.

However, this isn’t an actual loss, it’s a reserve to cover the risk of customers not paying their debts. It’s not as bad as it seems either, as some of this may be credited back in the future if the losses don’t materialise. It makes sense for Lloyds to cover for this potential eventuality.

Despite this, pre-tax profit growing by 23% is still impressive.

Dividend

As someone who loves dividends, Lloyds displayed more good news in its interim results. The interim dividend was raised by 15% to 0.92p. This is higher than the rate of inflation. With a yield of 6.1%, its shares also present a great opportunity to generate a second income.

Cheap valuation

Lloyds shares also look very cheap right now, trading with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just 5.8. Given the average P/E ratio for a FTSE All-Share company is 14.4, this is definitely in bargain territory. With its strong performance and dividend, this looks very appealing to me.

Now what?

There might have been a few banking collapses earlier in the year. However, the UK financial system still looks healthy, and Lloyds also passed its recent stress test.

Moreover, the recent interim results show that Lloyds is actually thriving under the high-interest rate environment. There may be some loan and mortgage defaults, but Lloyds has already created a provision for this.

Combined with the dirt-cheap valuation and strong dividend, Lloyds shares are looking very attractive. That is why I would buy its shares if I had the spare cash to do so.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Muhammad Cheema has no positions in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Three signposts pointing in different directions, with 'Buy' 'Sell' and 'Hold' on
Investing For Beginners

The Barclays share price keeps surging! Was I wrong to sell the stock?

Jon Smith explains why the Barclays share price is still rising, even though he feels that further gains could be…

Read more »

Investing Articles

1 stock set to gatecrash the FTSE 100 in 2025!

Our writer considers a quality stock that's poised to join the FTSE 100 next year. Could there also be a…

Read more »

Businesswoman calculating finances in an office
Investing Articles

As earnings growth boosts the Imperial Brands share price, is it a top FTSE 100 dividend choice?

The Imperial Brands share price has come storming back as investors piled in for the big dividends. What's next, after…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
US Stock

Warren Buffett just bought and sold these stocks. Here’s why I don’t agree

Jon Smith takes a look at the recent regulatory filing for Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett and comments on recent…

Read more »

US Stock

My favourite US growth stock’s up 33% this year. I think it’s just getting started

Edward Sheldon's taken a large position in this well-known S&P 500 growth stock. And so far, it’s working very well…

Read more »

Silhouette of a bull standing on top of a landscape with the sun setting behind it
Investing Articles

The Diploma share price falls 7% as revenues and profits keep growing. Time to buy?

As Diploma continues its impressive growth, its share price is faltering. Stephen Wright takes a closer look at one of…

Read more »

Growth Shares

Directors at this FTSE 100 company just bought over £2m worth of shares

Shares in this FTSE 100 pharma company have plummeted in recent months. And company insiders are betting on a potential…

Read more »

Snowing on Jubilee Gardens in London at dusk
Investing Articles

Down 24%! As the Glencore share price falls like snow, is it finally time to let it go?

Harvey Jones thought the Glencore share price was in bargain territory when he bought the FTSE 100 commodity giant last…

Read more »