At last, is this the turning point for the Vodafone share price?

The Vodafone share price has plunged by over 40% in the last 12 months. But a positive trading update has sent the shares shooting upwards at last.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Mindful young woman breathing out with closed eyes, calming down in stressful situation, working on computer in modern kitchen.

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The past year has been pretty unpleasant for shareholders of Vodafone Group (LSE: VOD), including my family. The Vodafone share price has pretty much been in freefall since late February, losing more than a quarter of its value in five months.

Vodafone’s share price slumps

At their 52-week high, Vodafone shares peaked at 129.34p on 25 July 2022 — exactly a year ago. Since then, it’s been a torrid tale of trips and tumbles as the share price kept sliding.

Here’s how this popular and widely held FTSE 100 stock has performed over seven different timescales, based on the current share price of 75.78p:

One day-1.0%
Five days+4.7%
One month+8.2%
Year to date-10.2%
Six months-17.9%
One year-41.3%
Five years-57.9%

Although Vodafone stock has staged something of a comeback over the last fortnight, its longer-term direction has been steeply downwards. Indeed, the shares have crashed by two-fifths in the past 12 months, while losing close to three-fifths of their value in half a decade.

For the record, my wife bought Vodafone shares for our family portfolio in early December last year. She paid an all-in price of 90.2p per share, so we’re sitting on a paper loss of 16% today. Oops.

Is this tanker set to turn?

The good news for Vodafone’s long-suffering owners is that its share price has recently taken a turn for the better. At its 52-week low, it plunged to 69.73p on 11 July. Two weeks later, the stock has bounced by 8.7% from this bottom.

The latest price bump came on Monday, 24 July, when the telecoms giant released its latest trading update. At long last, this announcement contained good news, with Vodafone reporting decent organic/adjusted growth within its sprawling global operations.

Overall, total revenue in the first quarter was up 4.8% year on year, with adjusted growth coming in at 3.7%. The star performer was the UK market, which recorded growth of 5.7% following inflation-plus price rises this spring. Also, revenue declined at slower rates in Germany, Italy and Spain.

Of course, as the old saying goes, one swallow does not a summer make. Even so, it’s good to see Vodafone reporting positive, broad-based results under its new CEO Margherita Della Valle. Also, her former role as CFO will be filled by Luka Mucic from 1 September.

Would I buy Vodafone today?

If things really are on the turn for the telecoms firm, then its shares appear undervalued to me today. They trade on a modest multiple of 7.7 times earnings, for an earnings yield of 12.9%. However, the bumper dividend yield of 10.5% a year is covered only 1.2 times by earnings, leaving little room for error.

We won’t be adding to our Vodafone holding any time soon. First, because we already own this battered stock. Second, because I don’t have any spare cash to invest right now. Nevertheless, I’m hopeful that after five years of pain, the next five years could be better for Vodafone shareholders!

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Cliff D’Arcy has an economic interest in Vodafone Group shares. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Vodafone Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services, such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool, we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Google office headquarters
Investing Articles

1 reason I like buying S&P 500 shares – and 1 reason I don’t

Will this investor try to improve his potential returns by focusing more on S&P 500 shares instead of British ones?…

Read more »

Young woman holding up three fingers
Investing Articles

3 SIPP mistakes to avoid

Our writer explains a trio of potentially costly errors he tries to avoid making when investing his SIPP, on an…

Read more »

Smiling white woman holding iPhone with Airpods in ear
Investing Articles

Here’s how (and why) I’d start buying shares with £25 a week

Our writer uses his investment experience and current approach to explain how he would start buying shares on a limited…

Read more »

Aerial shot showing an aircraft shadow flying over an idyllic beach
Investing Articles

Here’s my 5-step approach to earning passive income of £500 a month

Christopher Ruane explains the handful of steps he uses to target hundreds of pounds in passive income each month.

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 UK shares I’ve been buying this week

From a value perspective, UK shares look attractive. But two in particular have been attracting Stephen Wright’s attention over the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

A lifelong second income for just £10 a week? Here’s how!

With a simple, structured approach to buying blue-chip dividend shares at attractive prices, our writer's building a second income for…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d use a £20k Stocks and Shares ISA to help build generational wealth

Discover how our writer would aim to turn a £20k Stocks and Shares ISA into a sizeable nest egg by…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Billionaire Warren Buffett just bought shares of Domino’s Pizza. Should I grab a slice?

Our writer takes a look at a few reasons why Domino's Pizza stock might have appealed to Warren Buffett's Berkshire…

Read more »