The Scottish Mortgage share price looks like a no-brainer buy for me

The Scottish Mortgage share price is on the up a bit now, but the discount is still huge. I probably shouldn’t, but I want to buy more.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (LSE: SMT) share price has gained a bit in July. In fact, it’s up 15% since a 52-week low in April.

But the trust is still way down from its 2021 peaks, as US growth stocks listed on the Nasdaq are out of fashion. And that’s mostly where Scottish Mortgage puts its cash.

What a discount!

Here’s an interesting thing about investment trusts. They put their shareholders’ cash into other investments, and they regularly publish the value of those investments.

That value comes in the form of a net asset value per share (NAV). This tells us the underlying value of the assets covered by one share in the trust. So we’d expect the share price to be pretty close to that figure, right?

Well, investment trusts often trade at a fair bit more (a premium) or less (a discount) than the NAV figure.

And for months, the Scottish Mortgage share price has been on a discount of around 20%. Right now, it’s 21%.

That’s cheap, right?

So we can buy a pound’s worth of US and international high-tech growth stocks for 79p. And that’s got to be cheap, yes?

Some will argue that investors will value a trust’s shares based on where they think its assets will go in the future. So if they expect growth stocks to fall further, they might pay even less for Scottish Mortgage shares.

And that seems to make sense. But wait.

Don’t Tesla shareholders already value their stock on where they think its future lies? And aren’t ASML, Moderna, and all the other stocks the trust holds already valued on their future prospects?

Extra pessimism

There are other reasons for a discount or a premium, but a big margin like this makes no real sense to me.

I guess part of it might be that Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust shares are mostly held by UK investors. And we tend to be more pessimstic than our US friends (often to our cost, I think).

But if someone offered me pound coins for 79p, I think I’d be nuts to turn them down. (Though if it was in a pub here in Liverpool, I might bite them first to check.)

For me, the same goes for the Scottish Mortgage share price. I think it looks like a sale price sticker on an item worth a fair bit more.

Not for everyone

Saying all this, Scottish Mortgage shares are not for everyone. In fact, going by my usual liking for safe dividend shares, they probably shouldn’t be for me either.

I expect those growth stocks to still be very volatile. And I could see more wild swings in the years to come. And that’s why I think a lot of investors might be wise to stay away.

But the chance to buy up some of these US stocks at knock-down prices makes Scottish Mortgage shares a no-brainer for me.

The main reason I’m not buying more today is that I think I’ve already bought enough. But it is tempting.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Alan Oscroft has positions in Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust Plc. The Motley Fool UK has recommended ASML and Tesla. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

These FTSE 100 shares could soar over the next year

FTSE 100 shares show strong potential as rate cuts loom. History shows stocks could gain more than 70% in the…

Read more »

Young Black woman using a debit card at an ATM to withdraw money
Investing Articles

“If I’d put £5,000 into Santander shares just 2 years ago, here’s what I’d have now”

Our writer considers whether he thinks Santander shares still look good value after a strong period for the global Spanish…

Read more »

Illustration of flames over a black background
Investing Articles

Could this FTSE 250 stock be the next Rolls-Royce?

With an ongoing probe into the motor finance industry, the share price of this member of the FTSE 250 has…

Read more »

Investing Articles

My 3 favourite FTSE dividend stocks give me a mind-blowing 9.82% yield!

Harvey Jones is surprised to learn that he owns the three highest-yielding dividend stocks on the FTSE 100. So is…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Following strong 2024 results, this 6.1%-yielding FTSE 100 gem looks a bargain to me

With good 2024 results delivered, and a buyback and dividend increase announced, this high-yielding FTSE 100 heavyweight looks very cheap…

Read more »

Investing Articles

I’m not surprised the IAG share price is surging, it’s the top-rated UK stock

The IAG share price is up 57% since the start of the year, but remains undervalued. This bull run could…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Is the stock market set for a crash in 2025?

Could antitrust lawsuits derail US tech stocks and cause a stock market crash next year? Stephen Wright thinks the risks…

Read more »

Investing Articles

As Rolls-Royce’s share price falls 8%, is it time for me to buy on the dip?

Rolls-Royce’s share price has dropped after a stellar rise this year. I think this leaves it looking even more discounted…

Read more »