2 UK shares I’d buy for a prolonged economic downturn!

Many UK shares could struggle as Britain’s economy flails. But I think these FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 stocks can thrive in the current climate.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Middle-aged white man wearing glasses, staring into space over the top of his laptop in a coffee shop

Image source: Getty Images

I’m searching the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 for the best UK shares to buy for these tough economic times. Here are two I’ll be looking to add to my portfolio when I have extra cash to invest.

B&M European Value Retail

Inflation is tipped to remain sky-high in the UK throughout most of 2023. It’s a scenario that, while threatening most UK-focused retail shares, should benefit value retailers like B&M (LSE:BME) as shoppers try to stretch their budgets.

The OECD reckons British inflation will average 6.9% this year. It also predicted today that the domestic economy will grow just 0.3% and 1% in 2023 and 2024 respectively.

Such a recipe should continue to drive significant footfall into B&M and its Heron Foods grocery stores. Revenues growth has already been impressive here and like-for-like sales in its flagship stores rose an impressive 8.3% in the first nine weeks of the new financial year beginning April.

Value retail has become massively popular of late. But in truth it’s growing strongly over the past decade. This FTSE 100 business remains committed to strongly expanding its store estate to capitalise on this long-term trend too.

It plans to have “at least” 950 B&M shops running eventually, up from just over 700 at present. It also has scope to grow its Heron Foods footprint and its network of bargain stores in France. I’d buy its shares even though lack of an e-commerce channel could cost it sales.

Grainger

Purchasing property stocks could be another good idea in this era of high inflation. Businesses like these can effectively protect profits by raising rents to cover increased costs.

Residential landlord Grainger (LSE:GRI) is one such UK share on my radar today. In fact this FTSE 250 firm offers an extra layer of safety for investors. Accommodation-related expenses are one of the last things people cut back on when times get tough.

This all explains why Grainger still grew like-for-like rents by a robust 6.8% during the six months to March. This was almost double the 3.5% it recorded a year earlier.

Rents in the private housing sector are soaring due to a worsening supply situation. According to HomeLet, the average monthly rent for new tenancies hit £1,213 in May. This was up a staggering 10% year on year, the property services firm says.

Like B&M, this is a company I expect to deliver strong returns for years to come. Development pipelines for new properties remain weak, meaning supply should lag continue lagging strong tenant demand in the coming years.

Construction activity on new homes actually slumped to its lowest level since 2009 (excluding the pandemic) in May. Strict planning rules and cooler buyer interest could keep homebuilding on the back foot too.

Higher-than-usual build costs could continue eating into Grainger’s profits. But as rents rise I still expect the firm to record impressive growth.

Royston Wild has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended B&M European Value. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Artillery rocket system aimed to the sky and soldiers at sunset.
Investing Articles

£7,500 invested in BAE Systems shares 10 days ago is now worth…

Why have BAE Systems shares experienced a sudden double-digit pullback? And does this present a buying opportunity for my portfolio?

Read more »

Picture of an easyJet plane taking off.
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in easyJet shares 4 weeks ago is now worth…

It's been a crazy month for easyJet shares. Here's what would have happened to an investor's £10,000 stake put to…

Read more »

CEO Mark Zuckerberg at F8 2019 event
Investing Articles

Down 31%, is this a rare chance to buy Meta stock for my ISA cheaply?

After rising to near $800 in 2025, Meta stock has pulled back to around $550. Edward Sheldon looks at whether…

Read more »

Santa Clara offices of NVIDIA
Investing Articles

18% off its peak, is Nvidia stock now attractively priced?

Nvidia stock has given up almost a fifth of the price it commanded at its peak over the past year.…

Read more »

Aston Martin DBX - rear pic of trunk
Investing Articles

The Aston Martin share price destruction helps illustrate 5 common investing mistakes!

The Aston Martin share price has been a disaster for investors. Christopher Ruane highlights a handful of lessons we can…

Read more »

DIVIDEND YIELD text written on a notebook with chart
Dividend Shares

How this stock market correction can help boost a second income by 25%

Jon Smith explains how rising dividend yields across some existing income shares can be seen as an opportunity to grow…

Read more »

Middle-aged Caucasian woman deep in thought while looking out of the window
Investing Articles

Considering a SIPP? Today’s market could provide an excellent opportunity to start

Mark Hartley breaks down the benefits of using a SIPP for retirement, and how current market conditions could offer a…

Read more »

Calendar showing the date of 5th April on desk in a house
Investing Articles

Looking for last-minute ISA ideas? Check out these UK stocks before April 3

Easter bank holidays mean the deadline to put cash into a Stocks and Shares ISA might be closer than UK…

Read more »