Are Hargreaves Lansdown shares set to surge?

Over the last four years, Hargreaves Lansdown shares have been awful, losing two-thirds of their value. But I predict better times ahead for this stock.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.

Image source: Getty Images

Since mid-2019, things have been tough for shareholders of Hargreaves Lansdown (LSE: HL). This stock has been one of the FTSE 100 index’s worst performers in recent years. Could this terrible trend reverse? Also, are Hargreaves Lansdown shares ready to rebound?

This FTSE 100 share slumps

Go back four years and this Footsie stock was doing great. On 17 May 2019, the Hargreaves Lansdown share price closed at 2,419p. Alas, it’s been pretty much downhill ever since.

To show how hard shareholders have been hit, here’s Hargreaves Lansdown shares’ performance over eight timescales (excluding cash dividends):

One week-1.0%
One month-5.7%
Three months-9.6%
Six months-11.3%
One year-23.3%
Two years-52.0%
Three years-40.4%
Five years-52.8%

Over all periods ranging from one week to five years, this Footsie stock has declined. Over two and five years, it has more than halved. Ouch.

On Thursday, this stock closed at 785.2p. This values the investment platform at £3.7bn, making it the fourth-smallest company in the FTSE 100. At this much-reduced valuation, the risk of relegation to the mid-cap FTSE 250 index at the next quarterly reshuffle is rising.

Five facts about Hargreaves Lansdown

1. The group was co-founded by Peter Hargreaves and Stephen Lansdown in July 1981.

2. Based in Bristol, the company is one of the city’s largest employers, with over 2,000 employees.

3. The firm floated in London in May 2007 and has been in the FTSE 100 since 2011.

4. Today, this business administers around £140bn of assets for 1.8m customers.

5. The company’s reputation took suffered after the collapse of Neil Woodford’s equity income fund.

This group grows with financial markets

As the UK’s largest direct-to-consumer investment platform, Hargreaves is there to be shot at. Rivals are winning new customers by undercutting its fees. And zero-commission share-dealing will surely undermine the firm. Hence, future revenue growth might be weaker.

Then again, as we save and invest more for retirement and the future, Hargreaves stands to benefit from this trend. Also, as asset prices rise, so too do the group’s management fees and other revenues.

Furthermore, Hargreaves customers are loyal, with few switching platforms from one year to the next. For example, everyone in my immediate family has HL accounts. In addition, the firm generates a market-beating return on capital, which it can reinvest into future growth.

I like the dividend

In its last financial year, Hargreaves Lansdown paid dividends totalling 39.7p. Based on the current share price of 785.2p, this equates to a tasty dividend yield of 5.1% a year.

What’s more, it has a track record of raising dividends over time. Thus, I expect these payouts to keep climbing. And its strong balance sheet has no debt to weigh it down.

Also, the shares’ forward price-to-earnings ratio of 12.5 equate to an earnings yield of 8%. This covers the dividend almost 1.6 times.

I expect this stock to soar

Despite the negatives, I’ve added Hargreaves Lansdown shares to my buy list. I expect it overcome any hurdles to thrive once more. Indeed, when I next have spare cash, I aim to buy these shares for my family portfolio. And then I hope to see this stock soar in the years ahead!

Cliff D'Arcy has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Hargreaves Lansdown Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services, such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool, we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Middle aged businesswoman using laptop while working from home
Investing Articles

Is Legal & General a top bargain after its 8% share price drop?

Looking for brilliant dividend shares to buy on the cheap? Royston Wild takes a look at Legal & General following…

Read more »

Silhouette of a bull standing on top of a landscape with the sun setting behind it
Investing Articles

Up 19% in a day, is there more to come from the surging Diploma share price?

Diploma’s share price is storming higher. But does the stock offer safety in an uncertain market, or is buying at…

Read more »

Portrait Of Senior Couple Climbing Hill On Hike Through Countryside In Lake District UK Together
Investing Articles

How much do you need in a Stocks and Shares ISA to target £2,000 a month of passive income?

With a bit of maths, our writer illustrates how an investor could shrink their initial ISA investment while supersizing dividend…

Read more »

Number three written on white chat bubble on blue background
Investing Articles

The FTSE 100’s full of value shares at the moment. Here are 3 to consider

Recent events have taken their toll on the share prices of some of the UK’s biggest companies. But it also…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Should I buy beaten-down UK growth stocks today or conserve my cash for even bigger bargains?

Harvey Jones says the FTSE 100 is packed with cut-price growth stocks after recent volatility. Should investors buy now or…

Read more »

Number 5 foil balloon and gold confetti on black.
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Fresnillo shares 5 weeks ago is now worth…

Fresnillo shares have pulled back sharply from recent highs in the FTSE 100. Is this a chance to consider buying…

Read more »

Three signposts pointing in different directions, with 'Buy' 'Sell' and 'Hold' on
Investing Articles

Down 15%, are Lloyds shares simply too cheap to miss now?

Have the wheels come off the long-term growth story for Lloyds Bank shares, or are they dipping into bargain territory…

Read more »

Business manager working at a pub doing the accountancy and some paperwork using a laptop computer
Investing Articles

Are investors taking a massive gamble by chasing the BP share price higher?

Investors who thought the BP share price would continue to rocket as the Iran war intensifies may have been surprised…

Read more »