FTSE 100: keep calm and buy cheap bank stocks

The FTSE 100 is dropping as investors fear a potential financial crisis. But here’s why it’s an opportunity to buy bank stocks on the cheap.

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Hand flipping wooden cubes for change wording" Panic " to " Calm".

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The UK’s flagship index hit an all-time high last month. However, the Footsie has since dropped by more than 5% as fears of a repeat of the global financial crisis loom. Nonetheless, here’s why such fears are overblown and why this could be an opportunity to buy FTSE 100 bank stocks at a discount.

Why is the FTSE 100 down?

Aside from the nerves surrounding Jeremy Hunt’s spring budget, investors have been panicking over the recent administrations of a number of US banks, namely Silicon Valley Bank (SVB).

Fears surrounding the company’s liquidity had spread across Silicon Valley, leading to a bank run. In the span of a week, the California-based bank had liquidated all its assets. Since then, the company has ceased trading.

To make matters worse, Silvergate Capital and Signature Bank also collapsed in the panic caused by SVB. The fall of a one bank often sets a domino effect in motion.

As such, it’s no surprise to see the fears from the US ripple across the Atlantic, affecting FTSE 100 bank stocks too. The likes of Lloyds, Barclays, and NatWest have seen their shares drop since Thursday as investors fear a contagion event.

Is there reason to panic?

Despite the events across the pond, there isn’t much reason to panic for the UK’s financial institutions, at least for the time being. This is because they have a much less risky deposit base. In other words, the likelihood of a liquidity crisis is much lower.

FTSE 100 - UK Banks Loan-to-Deposit Ratios.
Data sources: Lloyds, Barclays, NatWest, HSBC, Santander UK, SVB, Signature Bank, First Republic

One of the main reasons for this is that the more established British banks have a higher proportion of their deposits from retail customers. This means that even if a bank run were to occur, it would be more manageable, given the higher numbers of customers with smaller individual deposits. Furthermore, customer funds of up to £85k per account are insured in the UK.

Secondly, the FTSE 100 stalwarts have much lower risk-weighted assets. This is crucial because it means that UK lenders have more certainty and access to their capital. This could provide ample liquidity without incurring big losses. SVB, in contrast, had to sell long-dated government bonds at a big loss.

It’s for the above reasons that brokers from Citi, JP Morgan, and Liberium have all come out to quash fears of a banking sector collapse, especially in Europe.

Should I buy Footsie bank stocks?

It goes without saying that investing in bank stocks is a risky affair. Thus, finding a firm with a solid balance sheet with low risk exposure is crucial. And having assessed the fundamentals of FTSE 100 banks, the risk-reward proposition is certainly lucrative given the recent drop in their share prices.

On aggregate, most of them are trading on rather lucrative valuation multiples when compared to the industry’s average. Hence, it’s worth considering starting a position in one or even some of them. In fact, I’m planning to buy more Lloyds shares to capitalise on the current weakness and lucrative dividend.

MetricsLloydsBarclaysNatWestHSBCSantanderIndustry average
Price-to-book (P/B) ratio0.70.30.70.70.60.7
Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio6.64.77.39.26.19.5
Forward price-to-earnings (FP/E) ratio6.94.96.25.65.88.0
Data source: Google Finance

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

HSBC Holdings is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. SVB Financial provides credit and banking services to The Motley Fool. Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. John Choong has positions in Lloyds Banking Group Plc. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Barclays Plc, HSBC Holdings, and Lloyds Banking Group Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Value Shares

Investing Articles

Here’s the stunning BP share price forecast for 2025

The BP share price enters 2025 in poor shape, after a tricky year for energy stocks. Harvey Jones looks at…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Here’s how I’m finding bargain shares to buy for 2025!

Our writer takes a fairly simply approach when it comes to hunting for cheap shares to buy for his portfolio.…

Read more »

Young female business analyst looking at a graph chart while working from home
Investing Articles

Is the BP share price set for a 75% jump?

The highest analyst target for BP shares in 2025 is 75% above the current price. So should investors consider buying…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Where can the BAE Systems share price go in 2025? Let’s ask the experts

The BAE Systems share price has had a strong year in 2024, but it's started slipping back a bit as…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

What can Warren Buffett teach an investor with £1,000?

Although Warren Buffett’s a billionaire, his investing lessons can be applied to far more modest portfolios. Our writer explains some…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Analysts are saying the AstraZeneca share price looks cheap despite China turmoil

The AstraZeneca share price could be considerably undervalued according to analysts. Dr James Fox takes a closer look at the…

Read more »

Pink 3D image of the numbers '2025' growing in size
Investing Articles

1 FTSE 100 stock I expect to outperform in 2025

Can the integration of its big acquisition from 2022 finally lead Rentokil Initial to outperform the FTSE 100 next year?…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s my FTSE 250 share index prediction for 2025

The FTSE 250 index of shares has endured disappointing growth in recent times. Could 2025 be the year that it…

Read more »