Is Warren Buffett preparing for a stock market crash?

Warren Buffett’s enormous pile of cash suggests he’s getting ready to capitalise on the next stock market crash, in my opinion.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM

Image source: The Motley Fool

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.B) investment vehicle has always held a large cash balance on its books. And even after the billionaire investor’s latest $51bn shopping spree earlier this year, the firm’s cash balance is still above $100bn!

This degree of financial liquidity is one of the main reasons some shareholders are pushing for a dividend. But with fears of stagflation on the rise, is he actually planning ahead for a potential stock market crash?

Warren Buffett’s treasure hoard

At the end of 2021, Berkshire Hathaway held just over $146bn in cash & equivalent assets and short-term treasury bills. Following the start of the stock market correction in 2022, Buffett and his team spent over $51bn buying stocks.

The list of companies included Chevron, Occidental Petroleum, HP Inc, Apple, and Activision Blizzard. The decision to invest in Activision raised a few eyebrows since it appears to be an arbitrage investment, betting on Microsoft’s successful acquisition of the company. That’s quite an unusual move that has yet to pay off.

Overall, it was one of his most active buying quarters since the 2008 financial crisis. Skip ahead to the second quarter, and the spending pattern changes a bit. Berkshire remained a net buyer of stocks, spending a net $3.8bn on acquiring more shares in Apple, Chevron, Occidental Petroleum, and a handful of others. But that’s significantly less than a quarter ago.

Looking at the second quarter earnings, the impact of the 2022 stock market correction can be clearly felt, with the group posting a $53bn loss on its investments. It’s possible that as the economic situation worsened, Buffett and his team began tightening their belts. And then plan on buying more shares once the stock market tumbles further, or potentially even crashes.

It’s worth reiterating that even after all the investments made so far this year, the group still has around $105bn in cash at its disposal.

Planning for the next stock market crash

Looking at the latest activity from Berkshire Hathaway, it’s clear that Buffett continues to deploy his famous strategy of “be greedy when others are fearful, and fearful when others are greedy”.

The firm may be taking big hits to its equity portfolio today, but in the long-term, the group has a tendency to realise enormous gains from buying when prices are in free-fall.

Some investors like to buy shares in Berkshire, or copy its portfolio to tap into the proceeds of Buffett’s investing tactics. However, personally, I prefer to apply his principles to search for explosive long-term winners. Even here in the UK there are undoubtedly countless high-quality businesses with wide competitive moats currently trading at a discount.

Being able to identify these stocks is easier said than done. But by having some cash in reserve, as Buffett does, investors can capitalise on stock market downturns. And by buying top-tier businesses while they’re cheap, they can enjoy impressive returns once the stock market rally inevitably begins. At least, that’s what I think.

Zaven Boyrazian has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Apple and Microsoft. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

A senior man and his wife holding hands walking up a hill on a footpath looking away from the camera at the view. The fishing village of Polperro is behind them.
Investing Articles

Is 50 too old to start buying shares?

Christopher Ruane explains why 'better late than never' is key to his thinking about whether 50's too old to start…

Read more »

Two male friends are out in Tynemouth, North East UK. They are walking on a sidewalk and pushing their baby sons in strollers. They are wearing warm clothing.
Investing Articles

Here’s what £150 a month in a Junior ISA could be worth by 2045…

You might be surprised to learn by how large a Junior ISA portfolio could become inside 20 years from modest…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This red hot equity fund in my SIPP returned 12.6% in the first 2 months of 2026

This global equity fund is delivering huge returns for Edward Sheldon’s SIPP in 2026, despite all the risks and uncertainty…

Read more »

Friends at the bay near the village of Diabaig on the side of Loch Torridon in Wester Ross, Scotland. They are taking a break from their bike ride to relax and chat. They are laughing together.
Investing Articles

Want to retire richer? Here’s Warren Buffett’s golden rule to build wealth

If you want to build wealth for a richer retirement, then following Warren Buffett’s golden rule might be the best…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Investing Articles

Get ready for stock market volatility…

As conflict in the Middle East makes share prices fluctuate, what strategies can investors use to try and find opportunities…

Read more »

British Isles on nautical map
Investing Articles

Why the FTSE 100 fell almost 5% this week

Declines in mining shares dragged the FTSE 100 down after a strong start to the year. Is the pullback an…

Read more »

Middle aged businesswoman using laptop while working from home
Investing Articles

How much do you need to invest in US stocks to earn a £2,000 monthly passive income?

Is it possible to target several thousand pounds of passive income each month by buying US growth stocks? Absolutely –…

Read more »

A mature woman help a senior woman out of a car as she takes her to the shops.
Investing Articles

How big does your ISA need to be to earn £1,000 a month in passive income?

Andrew Mackie explains how a long-term ISA strategy can help investors build a chunky £12,000 passive income in less than…

Read more »