With IAG down 36%, is it time to buy more shares?

Demand for international travel is quickly recovering, so I want to know if I should buy more IAG shares in advance of a busy summer period.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Key Points

  • IAG says passenger capacity to hit 80% of 2019 levels in 2022
  • It also expects to return to profit this year
  • Between 2020 and 2021, pre-tax losses shrunk from just under €8bn to around €3.5bn

International Consolidated Airlines Group (LSE:IAG) is an airline conglomerate. It owns well-known brands including British Airways and Iberia. The IAG share price was battered during the pandemic as international travel ground to a halt. Down 36% in the past year, it is currently trading at 124p. I already own IAG shares, but should I now buy more as demand recovers? Let’s take a closer look. 

Demand for international travel is growing

In recent months, the operating environment for IAG has improved markedly. As the pandemic has mutated into less severe variants, a vast number of countries have rolled back entry requirements, like vaccination certificates and testing.

This means that international travel is much easier than it has been over the last two years. IAG also holds the advantage over short-haul competitors, like easyJet and Wizz Air, because it operates on a global level through British Airways, Iberia, and Aer Lingus. This means that it is less vulnerable to regional issues, like the war in Ukraine.

The figures also show that demand is recovering. For the three months to 31 March, passenger capacity was 65% of 2019 levels. This was an improvement from 58% in the previous quarter. 

The company expects capacity for 2022 to average at 80%. While the uptick in demand is great news for IAG, it has struggled to keep up. 

When the pandemic struck, it was forced to reduce its workforce to survive. It is now working against the clock to recruit new cabin crew, with British Airways even offering a £1,000 sign-on bonus.

The staff shortages have inevitably led to flight cancellations and, until recruitment is complete, this trend of cancelled flights may continue. This could be bad news for IAG shares.

Nevertheless, I think that trying to meet heightened demand is a good problem to have for the firm.

Improving financial results

Recent financial results also indicate that things are going in the right direction. Between 2020 and 2021, revenue increased from €7.8bn to €8.4bn. 

What’s more, pre-tax losses shrunk from just under €8bn to around €3.5bn over the same time period. The company has also stated that it expects to return to profit in 2022 amid increased demand for international travel. 

I’m also thinking of buying more IAG shares because they may be cheap. By comparing forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios, I can better understand if a business is under- or overvalued. 

IAG has a forward P/E ratio of 34.25, which is significantly less than competitor easyJet. The latter has a forward P/E ratio of 227.27.

Overall, I’m going to buy more shares in IAG soon. Demand is recovering at pace and financial results are improving. I expect the second-quarter results, for the three months to 30 June, will be strong following a period of uninterrupted flying. While I would like to see the recruitment and cancellation issues resolved, I think these are short-term problems that will soon subside.     

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Andrew Woods owns shares in International Consolidated Airlines Group. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Bearded man writing on notepad in front of computer
Investing Articles

Could a 2025 penny share takeover boom herald big profits for investors?

When penny share owners get caught up in a takeover battle, what might happen? Christopher Ruane looks at some potential…

Read more »

Young woman working at modern office. Technical price graph and indicator, red and green candlestick chart and stock trading computer screen background.
Investing Articles

3 value shares for investors to consider buying in 2025

Some value shares blew the roof off during 2024, so here are three promising candidates for investors to consider next…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Can this takeover news give Aviva shares the boost we’ve been waiting for?

Aviva shares barely move as news of the agreed takeover of Direct Line emerges. Shareholders might not see it as…

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 cheap FTSE 250 growth shares to consider in 2025!

These FTSE 250 shares have excellent long-term investment potential, says Royston Wild. Here's why he thinks they might also be…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

Has the 2024 Scottish Mortgage share price rise gone under the radar?

The Scottish Mortgage share price rise has meant a good year for the trust so far, but not as good…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Will the easyJet share price hit £10 in 2025?

easyJet has been trading well with rising earnings, which reflects in the elevated share price, but there may be more…

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 FTSE shares I won’t touch with a bargepole in 2025

The FTSE 100 and the FTSE 250 have some quality stocks. But there are others that Stephen Wright thinks he…

Read more »

Dividend Shares

How investing £15 a day could yield £3.4k in annual passive income

Jon Smith flags up how by accumulating regular modest amounts and investing in dividend shares, an investor can build passive…

Read more »