Is the Boohoo share price seriously undervalued?

The Boohoo share price looks cheap compared to its trading history, but the company’s fundamentals are deteriorating, says this Fool.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Smiling young man sitting in cafe and checking messages, with his laptop in front of him.

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The Boohoo (LSE: BOO) share price has faced significant selling pressure over the past year. The stock is currently changing hands at just under 90p, slightly off the multi-year low of around 70p printed at the beginning of March.

Following this performance, the stock looks cheap, compared to its trading history. Indeed, back at the end of June 2020, shares in the online fast-fashion retailer were trading at more than 400p.

Considering this performance, I have been wondering if I should add the stock to my portfolio. As a contrarian value investor, I am always on the lookout for undervalued opportunities. The Boohoo share price looks like an undervalued opportunity, but do the fundamentals stack up?

Boohoo share price valuation

The company’s performance was nothing short of outstanding between fiscal 2016 and 2021. Group net profit increased at a compound annual rate of 50%. Considering this growth, it was no surprise that the market was willing to pay a high price to buy into the expansion.

Between 2016 and 2019, the stock traded at an average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 80. While this might look expensive, compared to the company’s overall growth, it was not that outlandish.

However, recently Boohoo’s growth has slowed. Even though sales continue to expand, rising costs will hit profitability in its current financial year. Analysts have pencilled in a decline of 35% for the group’s earnings this year. I think this is the main reason why the market has re-rated the Boohoo share price lower over the past couple of months.

At the time of writing, the stock is trading at a forward P/E multiple of 19. That looks quite expensive for a company that is expected to report a 35% decline in earnings. Put simply, it seems as if the story has changed here.

The story has changed

The company is no longer a fast-growing tech story. Instead, it has become a retailer struggling with rising costs.

It seems likely this trend will continue. Cost pressures across the retail industry are only becoming more pressing. The cost of living prices could also hammer consumer spending power. This could have a significant impact on the company’s sales. These are some of the biggest challenges the group is going to have to deal with over the next couple of years.

Considering these issues, I do not think that the Boohoo share price looks particularly undervalued at current levels.

I think the stock reflects all of the headwinds the corporation has to deal with. The value of the shares could remain depressed until growth returns. And with that being the case, I am not going to add the stock to my portfolio.

I would rather wait on the sidelines and see how the company’s growth story develops over the next couple of years.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended boohoo group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Bearded man writing on notepad in front of computer
Investing Articles

Could a 2025 penny share takeover boom herald big profits for investors?

When penny share owners get caught up in a takeover battle, what might happen? Christopher Ruane looks at some potential…

Read more »

Young woman working at modern office. Technical price graph and indicator, red and green candlestick chart and stock trading computer screen background.
Investing Articles

3 value shares for investors to consider buying in 2025

Some value shares blew the roof off during 2024, so here are three promising candidates for investors to consider next…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Can this takeover news give Aviva shares the boost we’ve been waiting for?

Aviva shares barely move as news of the agreed takeover of Direct Line emerges. Shareholders might not see it as…

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 cheap FTSE 250 growth shares to consider in 2025!

These FTSE 250 shares have excellent long-term investment potential, says Royston Wild. Here's why he thinks they might also be…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

Has the 2024 Scottish Mortgage share price rise gone under the radar?

The Scottish Mortgage share price rise has meant a good year for the trust so far, but not as good…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Will the easyJet share price hit £10 in 2025?

easyJet has been trading well with rising earnings, which reflects in the elevated share price, but there may be more…

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 FTSE shares I won’t touch with a bargepole in 2025

The FTSE 100 and the FTSE 250 have some quality stocks. But there are others that Stephen Wright thinks he…

Read more »

Dividend Shares

How investing £15 a day could yield £3.4k in annual passive income

Jon Smith flags up how by accumulating regular modest amounts and investing in dividend shares, an investor can build passive…

Read more »