The Royal Mail share price has soared 25% in 3 weeks! What next?

The Royal Mail share price has soared by a quarter since late October and has gained 54% in 2021. But would I buy this popular stock at today’s price?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

What an exciting few weeks it’s been for shareholders of Royal Mail Group (LSE: RMG). After falling steeply from June to October, the Royal Mail share price has staged a serious comeback over the past few weeks. Indeed, their recent surge has sent Royal Mail shares to second place among the FTSE 100 index’s winners over the past month.

The Royal Mail share price bounces back

The Royal Mail share price has been an incredible performer since its 2020 lows. On 3 April 2020, during the first stage of the Covid-19 crisis, RMG closed at 124.3p. Thus, it had crashed by more than four-fifths (-80.3%) from its record high in May 2018. However, the stock has exploded since then, more than quadrupling (+318.5%). Wow.

Over the past 12 months, the Royal Mail share price has skyrocketed by more than three-quarters, rising 75.2%. It’s also up by more than half (+54.0%) in 2021. Then again, it has lost 5.4% over the past six months, having hit its 2021 peak in early June. On 7 June, Royal Mail shares hit their 2021 intra-day high of 613.8p. The following day, the stock hit its 2021 closing high of 606.4p. That put it within 25p of its all-time closing high of 631p, set on 11 May 2018.

Should you invest £1,000 in Essentra Plc right now?

When investing expert Mark Rogers has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for nearly a decade has provided thousands of paying members with top stock recommendations from the UK and US markets. And right now, Mark thinks there are 6 standout stocks that investors should consider buying. Want to see if Essentra Plc made the list?

See the 6 stocks

However, over the next four months, the stock went into steep decline. On 6 October, it closed at 404.1p. Thus, in four months, RMG lost exactly a third (-33.3%) of its value. Barely two weeks later, I saw that this widely held and popular stock had plunged in a summer slump. Therefore, on 21 October, I said, “I’d be a willing buyer at the current Royal Mail share price…I’d then cross my fingers and hope for exceptional profits for RMG from a ‘Santa boom’”

Would I buy RMG at the current share price?

Royal Mail shares have soared since I wrote that they were a bargain 31 days ago. As I write, the RMG share price stands at 520.2p, having leapt by almost a quarter (+23.9%) over the past month. What’s more, since the low of 4 October, the stock has soared by 28.7%, making it a star performer within the FTSE 100. Even over the past five days, RMG has gained almost a sixth (+16.6%). That’s an outstanding performance over just one week for a ‘boring’ Footsie stock.

Of course, the Royal Mail is a British institution, having been founded 505 years ago by King Henry VIII in 1516. But longevity is no guarantee of success in this modern age of rampant capitalism. Remember high-street stalwart Woolworths, which collapsed in December 2008 after nearly a century in business? However, the UK’s universal postal service provider is racing to modernise in this age of digital communications. Thus, while letter deliveries are in long-term decline, parcel delivery and online shopping have given Royal Mail a powerful shot in the arm.

At the current share price, RMG trades on a lowly rating of 5.9 times earnings and a bumper earnings yield of 16.9%. Also, the stock offers a cash dividend yield of 3.2% a year (almost one percentage point below the FTSE 100’s 4.1%). I don’t own RMG today, but I’d happily buy the entire group at its current market valuation of £5.2bn. Hence, I would also buy Royal Mail stock at the current share price. I’d then hope for bumper profits from Christmas deliveries!

Should you buy Essentra Plc now?

Don’t make any big decisions yet.

Because Mark Rogers — The Motley Fool UK’s Director of Investing — has revealed 5 Shares for the Future of Energy.

And he believes they could bring spectacular returns over the next decade.

Since the war in Ukraine, nations everywhere are scrambling for energy independence, he says. Meanwhile, they’re hellbent on achieving net zero emissions. No guarantees, but history shows...

When such enormous changes hit a big industry, informed investors can potentially get rich.

So, with his new report, Mark’s aiming to put more investors in this enviable position.

Click the button below to find out how you can get your hands on the full report now, and as a thank you for your interest, we’ll send you one of the five picks — absolutely free!

Grab your FREE Energy recommendation now

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Cliffdarcy has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services, such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool, we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Dividend Shares

Why this stock market correction is great for passive income investors

Jon Smith explains why those looking for passive income from dividends could benefit from the move lower in stock prices…

Read more »

Investing Articles

The FTSE’s tanking. Here’s what I’m doing

In the blink of an eye, the FTSE has fallen more than 10% due to economic uncertainty. Here’s how Edward…

Read more »

US Stock

Apple stock is close to 52-week lows. Should I snap it up now?

Jon Smith discusses the double-digit percentage fall in Apple stock last week and weighs up whether now's the time to…

Read more »

Investing For Beginners

2 FTSE 100 gems that rallied last week as the stock market tumbled

Jon Smith flags up a couple of FTSE 100 shares that actually jumped at a time when most of the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Glencore’s share price is 53% off its 52-week highs. Is it time to consider buying?

Glencore’s share price has tanked due to concerns over an economic slowdown. Is this an amazing buying opportunity for long-term…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Forecast: in 1 year, the Marks and Spencer share price could be…

The Marks and Spencer share price has hit its highest point since 2016 after more than doubling under the new…

Read more »

Hand of person putting wood cube block with word VALUE on wooden table
Investing Articles

Down 34%, does IAG’s share price look an unmissable bargain to me now?

IAG’s share price had fallen a long way even before the latest market rout, but this may mean a bargain-basement…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Forecast: in 1 year, the HSBC share price could be…

The HSBC share price is approaching a 20-year high under its new CEO as he targets $1.5bn of savings. Here…

Read more »