The BHP share price soars after strong FY21 report. Is now the time to buy?

The BHP share price has risen after nearly doubling profits since 2020. Here, I examine if I should consider making an investment.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The BHP (LSE: BHP) share price gained some serious momentum on Tuesday. At the time I’m writing, the share price has jumped by around 7% and has risen by 32% since this time last year. 

The rise in price has followed the release of BHP’s very solid looking FY21 report. Here’s why I’m considering buying shares in this blue chip FTSE 100 share. 

BHP profits jump by 80%

BHP Group is a global resources and mining company involved in producing commodities such as metallurgical coal, copper, uranium, and iron ore. According to BHP Chairman Ken MacKenzie, BHP’s diversified portfolio is one of the reasons why its FY21 report is so strong.  

The company’s profits from operations has risen to US$25.9bn, up 80% from 2020, and net operating cash flow was up by 73% to US$27.2bn. BHP has also managed to reduce net debt by more than half from US$12bn in 2020 to US$4.1bn in 2021. 

The company is rewarding investors on the back of these results. The BHP board announced that shareholders will receive a record final dividend of US$2 per share. This brings BHP’s total return to shareholders to over US$15bn for the past year. 

The FY21 report also said that BHP is continuing with its plan to avoid future high carbon emission penalties by offloading its petroleum business to Woodside Petroleum. This could avoid any potential losses if petroleum reserves become an obsolete asset. 

I think these factors are good indicators for investors that BHP could continue to be a world leader in the mining resources industry. On top of that, the dividend share increase is a tempting incentive for me as a passive income investor. 

Risks for the BHP share price

There could, however, be a stunt in BHP’s revenue growth as China is planning to reduce emissions and costs from importing iron ore. For instance, China’s biggest steel producer, Baowu, has announced that it plans to cut production. Not to mention this could also be part of a much larger trade war between Australia and China. 

While the price of iron was holding above US$200 per tonne between May and July this year, China’s steel squeeze has been followed by a drop in the price of iron to US$167 per tonne. As China is one of the biggest export targets for Australia, this could seriously hurt Australian-owned BHP. 

Time to buy?

I’m tempted to make an investment based on BHP’s outstanding FY21 report, because it could be set for another year of high performance. But, the cut-back in iron ore is a major concern for me as China has a strong influence on the Australian export market. Iron ore pulls in the highest amount of revenue for BHP. It accumulated to US$34bn between 2020 and 2021. Therefore, I’m unwilling to invest until the effects of China’s pullback are realised. 

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

John Town has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Surely, the Rolls-Royce share price can’t go any higher in 2025?

The Rolls-Royce share price was the best performer on the FTSE 100 in 2023 and so far in 2024. Dr…

Read more »

A young woman sitting on a couch looking at a book in a quiet library space.
Investing Articles

Here’s how an investor could start buying shares with £100 in January

Our writer explains some of the things he thinks investors on a limited budget should consider before they start buying…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Forget FTSE 100 airlines! I think shares in this company offer better value to consider

Stephen Wright thinks value investors looking for shares to buy should include aircraft leasing company Aercap. But is now the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Are Rolls-Royce shares undervalued heading into 2025?

As the new year approaches, Rolls-Royce shares are the top holding of a US fund recommended by Warren Buffett. But…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£20k in a high-interest savings account? It could be earning more passive income in stocks

Millions of us want a passive income, but a high-interest savings account might not be the best way to do…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 tried and tested ways to earn passive income in 2025

Our writer examines the latest market trends and economic forecasts to uncover three great ways to earn passive income in…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s what £10k invested in the FTSE 100 at the start of 2024 would be worth today

Last week's dip gives the wrong impression of the FTSE 100, which has had a pretty solid year once dividends…

Read more »

Investing Articles

UK REITs: a once-in-a-decade passive income opportunity?

As dividend yields hit 10-year highs, Stephen Wright thinks real estate investment trusts could be a great place to consider…

Read more »