The Rolls-Royce share price is rallying! Should I buy?

The Rolls-Royce share price has rallied this month after its latest earnings report, but can it keep climbing? Zaven Boyrazian investigates.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

It’s been a good few weeks for the Rolls-Royce (LSE:RR) share price. The UK aerospace company saw its stock rise by a respectable 10%, pushing its 12-month performance to just under 22%. That’s hardly stellar growth in comparison to some of the tech stocks out there. But for a struggling business that was significantly impacted by the pandemic, it’s some encouraging progress. So, what’s behind this upward movement? And should I be adding it to my portfolio?

The rising Rolls-Royce share price

The financial position of Rolls-Royce seems to be heading in a positive direction. The management team recently released its half-year earnings report with some promising results. First and foremost, the risk of bankruptcy that Rolls-Royce was facing in 2020 seems to have subsided. The net debt position is still firmly in the red at around £3.1bn. However, thanks to successful re-negotiations with creditors, the company has no debt maturities until 2024.

This certainly provides some breathing space to get the balance sheet in a stronger position. And the reinvigoration process has only been accelerated thanks to the successful sale of Bergen Engines to Langley Holdings. As a reminder, the sale of Bergen is part of a refocusing effort to raise £2bn through disposals. This is a particularly exciting milestone, as an earlier attempt to sell the business had been blocked out of national security concerns.

While travel restrictions are slowly being eased, the airline industry continues to suffer from disruptions. Consequently, revenue for Rolls-Royce over the last six months fell by 9% compared to a year ago. But thanks to the firm’s operational restructuring, it actually managed to turn a modest underlying profit of £307m versus a loss of £1.63bn last year. So, I’m not surprised to see the Rolls-Royce share price taking off.

The Rolls Royce share price has its risks

There’s still a long road ahead

As encouraging as these latest figures are, Rolls-Royce is not out of the woods yet. The next debt maturity may be a couple of years out, but the interest bills will keep on coming. With such a vast surge in borrowings to keep the company afloat in 2020, interest expense has risen considerably.

Rolls-Royce has had to pay out £116m on loan interest fees in the last six months. Combining this with the £171m paid to cover lease expenses, 93% of its underlying profits are being gobbled up. That only leaves a tiny portion left to reinvest, pay down debt or return capital to shareholders. That’s not a healthy sign in my experience. And consequently, it could lead to the Rolls-Royce share price delivering lacklustre performance over the long term.

Final thoughts

Overall, Rolls-Royce looks like it’s in a much stronger position since I last looked at this business. And with the vaccine rollout enabling the recovery of the travel industry, the firm’s revenue from the sale and maintenance of aircraft engines could be swiftly returning.

Having said that, I’m still not tempted to add this business to my portfolio at the moment. Why? Because I think there are far better and safer investing opportunities to be found elsewhere.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Zaven Boyrazian has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

After FY results, why is the easyjet share price still less than half what it used to be?

After a strong set of results, our writer digs into why the easyJet share price is still far lower than…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Can the Aviva share price get above £5 and stay there?

With the Aviva share price edging towards the £5 level, our writer weighs some pros and cons that might influence…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s the BT share price forecast up to 2027

After a long slide, the BT share price has finally started to pick up a bit in 2024. And analysts…

Read more »

Investing Articles

If I’d invested £10,000 in a FTSE 100 index fund 5 years ago, here’s how much I’d have now

The FTSE 100’s recent performance isn't quite what it was back in the 90s. But it still hosts several fantastic…

Read more »

Frustrated young white male looking disconsolate while sat on his sofa holding a beer
Investing For Beginners

Why I believe this cheap stock is fundamentally doomed

Jon Smith points out a cheap stock that he's personally not going to get involved with due to a risk…

Read more »

Shot of a young Black woman doing some paperwork in a modern office
US Stock

How an investor could aim for a million buying only 8 shares

Jon Smith reveals how someone could aim for a million pound portfolio by considering a mix of growth stocks, including…

Read more »

Environmental technology concept.
Investing Articles

Back at its 2019 level, has the ITM share price fallen too far?

After a rough couple of years, the ITM share price is now back to where it stood in 2019. As…

Read more »

Man writing 'now' having crossed out 'later', 'tomorrow' and 'next week'
Investing Articles

Here’s how Warren Buffett says he’d start investing today

Warren Buffett says if he was starting again with investing, he’d try to find undervalued opportunities where other investors aren’t…

Read more »