Why did the Avacta share price crash in 2021?

The Avacta share price has crashed by 50% in the last three months. Zaven Boyrazian investigates what’s causing this downward trajectory.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The Avacta (LSE:AVCT) share price has had a pretty rough time recently. Despite reaching an all-time high earlier this year, the stock is down almost 50% in the last three months, wiping out all of the gains made over the previous year. But what caused this growth stock to suddenly make a U-turn? And is this a buying opportunity for my portfolio? Let’s take a closer look.

Progress seen

Despite what the Avacta share price might suggest, the underlying business seems to be making good progress. The latest results from clinical trials show that Avacta’s lateral flow antigen tests can successfully detect the Delta variant of Covid-19. This is particularly exciting as competing tests seems to have a low detection rate for this strain of the virus.

Combining this milestone with the newly signed distribution agreement with Calibre Scientific, it seems Avacta’s revenue growth should be able to continue meeting expectations. Needless to say, that’s fantastic news for this biotech business. So why did the share price crash?

The Avacta share price has its risks

The fall of the Avacta share price

I’ve previously looked at this company and highlighted that the stock was carrying an exceptionally lofty valuation. Shareholder expectations were unreasonably high, in my opinion. And unsurprisingly, at the first sign of trouble, many jumped ship.

Despite efforts to achieve a CE Mark for its antigen testing kit, Avacta could not secure it in May as initially planned. Without this regulatory approval, its products cannot be used throughout Europe. And signing a distribution agreement for a product that can’t be distributed didn’t exactly entice investors. What followed was just over two months of decline for the Avacta share price.

What’s next?

In mid-July, the firm finally received an ISO 13485 certification to use its Affimer reagents in its lateral flow tests. As a result, a CE Mark was transferred to the company allowing its tests to be used by professionals throughout the UK and Europe. That’s one of the main reasons why the share price has started to stabilise. After all, with alternative lateral flow tests being far less effective, the company now has an enormous growth opportunity before it.

That might be an indicator of a buying opportunity for this growth stock. However, upon closer inspection, I’m still not tempted. Why? Because despite the recent crash, the Avacta share price still looks too expensive. Today, the company has a market capitalisation of just over £320m. And yet total revenue for the year is expected to be only around £4.3m with profits nowhere in sight. That places the price-to-sales ratio at an enormous value of 74!

Therefore I’m keeping Avacta on my watchlist for now. As promising as this business and its future potential may be, I believe there are far cheaper growth opportunities to be found elsewhere.

Zaven Boyrazian has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

£10,000 buys 373 shares in this FTSE 100 heavyweight that’s tipped to surve in 2026

With analysts expecting the stock to climb 54% in the next 12 months, is now the perfect time for investors…

Read more »

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

Are BP shares a slam-dunk buy as oil prices rocket – or is there a hidden danger?

As the oil price rises, investors might expect BP shares to follow. But Harvey Jones warns it may not play…

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 growth stocks to consider buying for an ISA in March

Here are two growth stocks I think are worth considering buying. Both have stumbled recently, even though the underlying businesses…

Read more »

Close-up of a woman holding modern polymer ten, twenty and fifty pound notes.
Investing Articles

How long might a Stocks and Shares ISA take to earn a £950 monthly second income?

Christopher Ruane explains how someone could seek to turn a Stocks and Shares ISA into a source of monthly passive…

Read more »

British pound data
Investing Articles

Get yourself ready for a violent stock market crash!

The FTSE 100 is sinking, raising fears of a fresh stock market crash. What are you doing about it? Here's…

Read more »

ISA Individual Savings Account
Investing Articles

Hands up, who’s dreaming of a million in a Stocks and Shares ISA?

How to make a million in a Stocks and Shares ISA, that's what headlines keep banging on about. Let's look…

Read more »

British Pennies on a Pound Note
Investing Articles

OK, who’s dreaming of making a million from red-hot penny shares?

Investors in penny shares can sound like the most upbeat optimists there are. It can work, but hopes need to…

Read more »

Three generation family are playing football together in a field. There are two boys, their father and their grandfather.
Investing Articles

Could this ultra-high-yielding FTSE 100 passive income gem quietly fund my retirement?

With rising payouts, strong cash generation and impressive earnings forecasts, this FTSE 100 dividend gem may be developing into a…

Read more »