Crest Nicholson upgrades FY forecasts! Here’s why I’d buy the UK share today

The Crest Nicholson share price has climbed again following the release of fresh financials. Here’s why I think it’s a great UK stock to buy.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The Crest Nicholson Holdings (LSE: CRST) share price was having no problems moving northwards on a quiet trading day Thursday. The UK housebuilding share rose 3% on the day to 444p per share. It is now 102% more expensive than it was at this time last year.

Sales leap at Crest Nicholson

Crest Nicholson’s share price has risen following the release of sunny trading numbers. The FTSE 250 firm saw sales 35% higher during the six months to April, it said, to £324.5m. This was driven by a sharp increase in home completions, to 1,017 units from 775 in the same period in financial 2020.

Crest Nichsolson has also seen an impressive improvement in its forward order book. As of 18 June, forward sales stood at 2,771 units with a gross development value of £691.8m. This compares with readings of 2,715 units and £575.1m in the first six months of last year.

Strong trading up to April meant that Crest Nicholson swung to a £36.3m pre-tax profit from a £51.2m loss a year previously.

Profits forecasts upgraded

Chief executive Peter Truscott said that “market conditions have been favourable and consistent” thanks to the government’s stamp duty holiday and rules that have allowed the sector to remain open despite Covid-19 restrictions.

Encouragingly Truscott noted that Crest Nichsolson is witnessing strong demand for homes that are due to complete after the 30 September 2021 stamp duty deadline. He said that this provides confidence that trading should remain solid when the tax holiday is rolled back.

Truscott added that “consumer confidence in the stability of the housing market, coupled with changing working patterns and lifestyle choices, have underpinned demand, and meant both sales rates and prices have exceeded the pre-pandemic level.”

Business at the UK share has been so solid, in fact that Crest Nicholson has lifted its full-year forecasts. It now expects to record adjusted pre-tax profit of at least £100m in the 12 months to October 2021. This is up from the £85m the company had predicted just three months ago.

Why I’d buy this UK share

There simply aren’t enough homes to go around in the UK. The sharp economic rebound on the back of the successful Covid-19 vaccination drive has helped lift homebuyer confidence, sure. But trading at Crest Nicholson and its peers was robust even during the depth of the public health emergency in 2020.

Newbuild sales have remained strong for a number of reasons. Massive government support through the Help to Buy equity loan scheme and the stamp duty holiday has driven demand. So have ultra-low interest rates that have brought down borrowing costs. Intense competition between the mortgage lenders has also encouraged people to jump on the property ladder.

And these factors look set to persist long into the future, too, meaning that demand should continue outstripping supply. Okay, housebuilders like Crest Nicholson face the threat of building product shortages that could push up costs and delay build rates. But all things considered, I think UK shares such as this are in great shape to deliver exceptional long-term returns.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Royston Wild has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young female business analyst looking at a graph chart while working from home
Investing Articles

Forget Lloyds shares! I’d rather buy this FTSE 100 dividend growth stock

Dividends on Lloyds shares are tipped to rise strongly through to 2026. But Royston wild thinks this passive income hero…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s the growth forecast for Phoenix Group shares through to 2026!

Looking for top growth stocks to buy on the FTSE 100? Phoenix Group shares aren't just about big dividends, argues…

Read more »

Smart young brown businesswoman working from home on a laptop
Top Stocks

5 FTSE flops Fools think have further to fall

These FTSE 350 companies haven't fared too well. And unfortunately, five of Fool.co.uk's freelance writers don't have much confidence in…

Read more »

One English pound placed on a graph to represent an economic down turn
Investing Articles

FTSE 100 shares yield under 4%. Here’s why that matters!

A higher dividend yield and share price growth do not necessarily come together. So, why is this writer happy to…

Read more »

Bus waiting in front of the London Stock Exchange on a sunny day.
Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d start buying shares with £5 a day

Our writer uses his market experience to consider how he might start buying shares from scratch today, for just a…

Read more »

Investing Articles

By investing £80 a week, I can target a £3k+ second income like this

By putting £80 each week into carefully chosen shares, our writer hopes to build a second income of over £3,000…

Read more »

Dividend Shares

Here’s a simple 4-stock dividend income portfolio with a 7.8% yield

With these four British dividend stocks, an investor could potentially generate income of around £780 a year from a £10,000…

Read more »

A young black man makes the symbol of a peace sign with two fingers
Investing Articles

2 FTSE shares that could get hit by Trump tariffs

Many FTSE shares rely on the US for business and the potential introduction of tariffs on foreign imports could hurt…

Read more »