Terry Smith sells Sage shares. Here’s what I’m doing

If a high-profile investor sells their holding of Sage shares, should I steer clear of the stock? Here’s my view of the company.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

A graph made of neon tubes in a room

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Terry Smith in one the UK’s highest-profile fund managers. But according to the website of his asset management firm Fundsmith, he has sold his holding of  accountancy software specialist Sage (LSE: SGE) shares.

Smith held the software company in his flagship global portfolio, Fundsmith Equity Fund. The factsheet for May 2021, indicates that the fund manager completed the sale of his stake last month. There was no other comment on the disposal.

Why did he sell?

I reckon Smith may have lost his patience with the FTSE 100 stock. After all, it’s undergoing a turnaround. The company is converting to offering cloud-based software via a subscription model. This makes commercial sense. In my view, recurring revenue is always a good thing as it offers sales visibility and transparency.

In Smith’s latest annual letter to shareholders in January, Sage was among the top five losers within the fund. The stock delivered a -0.6% return last year.

He even mentioned that “Sage’s share price remains in the doldrums as we wait to see whether the new management team can make the product fit for purpose in the age of the cloud and subscription software and compete effectively with those who can”.

I guess Smith wasn’t impressed by the company’s recent interim results. Sage delivered organic recurring revenue growth of 4.4% during the six-month period.

My view

I disagree with the fund manager’s sale of Sage shares. I actually think now is a buying opportunity. But I must admit that investors like me will have to be patient with the firm’s turnaround. Unfortunately, this can’t happen overnight.

I believe the company is taking the right steps. It’s selling its non-core businesses, which in turn has boosted the strength of its balance sheet. The board expects “organic recurring revenue growth for FY21 to be towards the top end of our guidance range of 3% to 5%”.

So far, I’m pleased with the path the firm is taking. The phrase “short-term pain for long-term gain” springs to mind. And I think this is true for Sage.

Other investors

While Smith, may not be bullish on Sage shares, there are other high-profile UK investors who are. Nick Train, the investment brain behind the Finsbury Growth & Income Trust, still likes the stock.

In fact, according to the investment trust’s April 2021 factsheet, he still owns it. Sage accounts for 5.1% of his portfolio. To me, that shows that Train still has a strong amount of conviction in the company.

But it’s worth noting that he did say in the trust’s recent interim results that “we have had to be patient with our investment in Sage, as the company sacrifices short-term profitability to invest in its cloud software services. We think there are signs Sage’s investment is paying off, but other investors evidently need more certainty”.

Risks

The stock does come with risks. As I mentioned, the turnaround is likely to take time and investors will have to wait and see. There’s also no guarantee that it will be successful.

As Train highlighted, the transition has taken its toll on profitability in the short term, which may impact the stock.

But for now, as a long-term investor, I’d buy Sage shares

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Nadia Yaqub has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Sage Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

2 ISA strategies for success in 2025

The ISA is a great vehicle for our investments, sheltering our returns from tax and providing us with the opportunity…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how an investor could start building a £10,000 second income for £180 per month in 2025

Our writer illustrates how an investor could put under £200 each month into shares and build a long-term five-figure passive…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Here’s how I’m finding bargain shares to buy for 2025!

Our writer takes a fairly simply approach when it comes to hunting for cheap shares to buy for his portfolio.…

Read more »

A graph made of neon tubes in a room
Investing Articles

Up 262%! This lesser-known energy company is putting other S&P 500 stocks to shame

Our writer delves into the rationale behind the parabolic growth of this under-the-radar S&P 500 energy company. The reason isn’t…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Just released: December’s small-cap stock recommendation [PREMIUM PICKS]

We believe the UK small-cap market offers a myriad of opportunities across a wide range of different businesses and industries.

Read more »

Aerial shot showing an aircraft shadow flying over an idyllic beach
Investing Articles

£20k of savings? Here’s how an investor could turn that into passive income of £5k a year

A £20k lump sum, invested in a mix of blue-chip shares with a long-term approach, could generate thousands of pounds…

Read more »

Young female business analyst looking at a graph chart while working from home
Investing Articles

Is the BP share price set for a 75% jump?

The highest analyst target for BP shares in 2025 is 75% above the current price. So should investors consider buying…

Read more »

UK money in a Jar on a background
Investing Articles

An investor could start investing with just £5 a day. Here’s how

Christopher Ruane explains how an investor could start investing in the stock market with limited funds, by following some simple…

Read more »