Small-cap stocks: should I buy this turnaround share now?

Would I avoid this small-cap stock? Or Is this a share I think can transform my portfolio with outsized returns in the years ahead?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The trend to move away from using cash is problematic for FTSE Small Cap stock De La Rue (LSE: DLAR). The company derives a big chunk of its revenue printing cash for countries around the world. And that line of business may be falling out of fashion. The long-term trend for using cash isn’t the friend of De La Rue.

Mixed fortunes for this small-cap stock

Today’s half-year results report for the period to 26 September reveals 73% of the company’s revenue came from its currency division. However, the process of making physical money produced a pre-tax loss of £5.7m. But a profitable operation in the area of Authentication contributed to offsetting that loss to produce an overall pre-tax gain of £2.5m.

And the full-year results released in June revealed a similar outcome. Indeed, the currency operation made a loss and other divisions saved the day to produce an overall profit for the company. All that effort and resource used to generate a big turnover in Currency only succeeded in worsening the profit outcome for De La Rue. It’s a dire situation for any business to find itself in.

Needless to say, the company is engaged in a turnaround strategy, which it announced early in the year. But it seems the troublesome currency division is holding back the profitable areas of the business. Nevertheless, De La Rue raised almost £93m net by issuing new shares in July. And the directors reckon the money strengthened the balance sheet and helps the company to move forward and deliver its turnaround plan.

Strong order books and positive cash generation

In today’s report, chief executive Clive Vacher said the two ongoing divisions of Authentication and Currency “are performing well.” The order books are “strong” and there have been a number of important strategic wins in the first half of the year.” Meanwhile, the firm saw “positive” cash generation in H1.

And optimistic City analysts have pencilled in an uplift in earnings of just over 30% for the trading year to March 2022. So, with the share price near 169p, that puts the forward-looking earnings multiple at about 11. However, my guess is much of the increase in earnings will likely arise because of cost-cutting efforts and efficiency gains due to the turnaround strategy. And such gains may not be repeatable in years to come.

If the authentication business stood alone, I think it would be an attractive enterprise. But the combination with the currency business makes De La Rue unattractive to me. I’ll watch the turnaround process from the sidelines in this case.

But I think small-cap investing is still an attractive area of the stock market. One way of allocating part of my portfolio to the sector would be to invest in some of the several small-cap trackers or managed funds available today. Another way would be to keep researching shares until I find a company with more attractive prospects and a reasonable valuation.

Kevin Godbold has no position in any share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

What on earth’s happening to the Greggs share price?

Harvey Jones says Greggs’ share price has shown surprising resilience in the recent stock market turmoil, but the FTSE 250…

Read more »

Mature black woman at home texting on her cell phone while sitting on the couch
Investing Articles

Barclays shares are down 18%. Time to consider buying?

Barclays’ shares have plummeted in recent weeks. Edward Sheldon looks at what’s going on and provides his view on the…

Read more »

Hand flipping wooden cubes for change wording" Panic" to " Calm".
Investing Articles

Ready for a stock market crash? Here’s what Warren Buffett says to do

There are several reasons to think a stock market crash might not be far off. But it’s times like these…

Read more »

Passive income text with pin graph chart on business table
Investing Articles

How many Barclays shares do I need to buy for a £1,000 passive income?

Dividends from Barclays shares are about to skyrocket as management outlines plans to return £15bn to shareholders. Is this a…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Investing Articles

This fallen FTSE 100 darling could be one of the best shares to buy in March

There was a time when investors couldn’t get enough of this FTSE 100 stock. Now I reckon it might be…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Around £16 now, here’s why Greggs shares ‘should’ be trading just over £25

Greggs shares are trading at a serious discount to where they ‘should’ be, based on record sales, iconic branding and…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

This FTSE 250 turnaround story is now delivering a standout 7.3% dividend yield!

This FTSE 250 income play has held its payout steady for years and is now showing early signs of renewed…

Read more »

Two white male workmen working on site at an oil rig
Investing Articles

BP shares surge on energy prices, yet still look cheap. What’s the market missing?

Despite a recent energy-price-led spike, BP shares look deeply undervalued just as cash flows strengthen and dividends climb. So, is…

Read more »