Why I’d buy Diageo for more than its dividend

In addition to its history of dividend growth, Jay Yao explains why he’d buy beer and spirit maker Diageo.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Diageo (LSE: DGE) is a leading spirits and beer maker with a portfolio of well-known brands such as Smirnoff and Captain Morgan

Earlier in the year, Diageo shares fell due to the pandemic. Because of Covid-19-related lockdowns, people haven’t visited restaurants and bars as often and that’s hurt alcohol consumption. 

Lately, however, shares have risen as optimism over Covid-19 vaccine candidates has increased. 

Tasty dividend

One reason why many investors like Diageo is its dividend. 

Thanks to great management execution and the company’s competitive advantages, Diageo has increased its annual total normal dividend every year for over two decades. Including this year’s dividend raise, the company now has a dividend yield of around 2.38% at current prices.

Given the vaccine candidate optimism, I think the odds that Diageo will increase its dividend next year are also pretty high. While Diageo has a great dividend history, I think there’s a lot more to like about the company than the dividend. 

Here are two more reasons why I’d buy the stock:

Leading brands

I like Diageo because the company has many leading brands. In this sector, brands can be pretty profitable when done correctly. 

One of Elon Musk’s side ventures is a great example of the profit potential of branding in the industry. Recently, Musk’s Tesla sold out of its very own liquor, Tesla Tequila. Enclosed in a very stylish looking bottle, Tesla Tequila cost $250. This was a steep price when a comparable bottle from another company could be bought for a fraction of that. To me, the ‘mark up’ illustrates the power of Musk and Tesla’s brand. 

To me, this also illustrates that the returns on capital in the liquor industry can be pretty decent given the right execution. 

In terms of the returns on capital, Diageo does pretty well in my opinion. According to Fidelity, Diageo had a return on equity of 34.52% and a return on invested capital of 16.39% for 2019. In 2012, the company had a return on equity of 35.30% and return on invested capital of 15.58%. 

For many investors, a stock with consistently high returns on capital can potentially illustrate a company with competitive advantages. Given great management and enough positive long-term trends, the stock could be a great holding. 

Emerging and developing markets 

Speaking of positive long-term trends, I like Diageo because the company has exposure to a number of emerging and developing markets. For the year ended 30 June 2020, for example, 19.3% of the company’s sales came from its Asia Pacific region. Another 11.5% came from Africa and 7.8% from Latin America and the Caribbean. 

With up and coming trends such as AI and 5G, I think productivity in emerging and developing markets could potentially rise faster than expected. With more productivity, incomes could rise. As the middle class grows, demand for the type of premium beer and liquor Diageo sells could outperform. 

Although Diageo doesn’t trade for a cheap valuation, I think the company’s growth potential outside the West makes the stock worth owning in the long run. It’s a stock I’d buy and hold for the long term. 

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Jay Yao has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended Tesla. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Diageo. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Closeup of "interest rates" text in a newspaper
Investing Articles

Here’s why 2025 could give investors a second chance at a once-in-a-decade passive income opportunity

Could inflation hold up interest rates in 2025 and give income investors a second opportunity to buy Unilever shares with…

Read more »

Investing Articles

As analysts cut price targets for Lloyds shares, should I be greedy when others are fearful?

As Citigroup and Goldman Sachs cut their price targets for Lloyds shares, Stephen Wright thinks the bank’s biggest long-term advantage…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Is passive income possible from just £5 a day? Here’s one way to try

We don't need to be rich to invest for passive income. Using the miracle of compounding, we can aim to…

Read more »

Middle-aged black male working at home desk
Investing Articles

If an investor put £20k into the FTSE All-Share a decade ago, here’s what they’d have today!

On average, the FTSE All-Share has delivered a mid-single-digit annual return since 2014. What does the future hold for this…

Read more »

Hand of person putting wood cube block with word VALUE on wooden table
Investing Articles

One FTSE 100 stock I plan to buy hand over fist in 2025

With strong buy ratings and impressive growth, this FTSE 100 could soar in 2025. Here’s why Mark Hartley plans to…

Read more »

Investing For Beginners

If a savvy investor puts £700 a month into an ISA, here’s what they could have by 2030

With regular ISA contributions and a sound investment strategy, one can potentially build up a lot of money over the…

Read more »

artificial intelligence investing algorithms
Investing Articles

2 top FTSE investment trusts to consider for the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution

Thinking about getting more portfolio exposure to AI in 2025? Here's a pair of high-quality FTSE investment trusts to consider.

Read more »

Young Asian woman with head in hands at her desk
Investing Articles

Do I need to know how Palantir’s tech works to consider buying the shares?

Warren Buffett doesn’t know how an iPhone works. So why should investors need to understand how the AI behind Palantir…

Read more »