Top stocks for an ISA! 2 UK shares I’d buy for a long economic downturn

These two UK shares have specific traits that should allow them to prosper in a harsh economic climate, says Rupert Hargreaves.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

As much of the UK enters a second lockdown, it looks as if the dangers to the economic recovery are growing by the day. However, I don’t think we should stop buying UK shares. 

The beauty of investing is the wide choice on offer. This means I can invest in companies that should thrive and avoid those that may struggle in the weeks and months ahead. 

With that in mind, here are two UK shares I’d buy right now for an economic downturn. 

UK shares to buy in an ISA

The first company I’d buy for a downturn is insurance group RSA (LSE: RSA). For many consumers, insurance is an essential item. For products such as home insurance or pet insurance, users have little choice but to shell out for these essentials. If they don’t, they’re running the risk of a potential hefty bill in the future. 

That’s why I think RSA is well-positioned for a prolonged economic downturn. The firm has registered some impact from the pandemic, but these losses have been contained. So far, management is optimistic that costs won’t exceed initial projections

As such, the firm recently announced it would be resuming dividend payouts to investors. Analysts have pegged a total dividend for this financial year of 28p. That implies the stock could provide a yield of 6.2%. 

Based on RSA’s defensive nature, I think it’s likely the firm will be able to maintain this level of income for the foreseeable future. Therefore, based on all of the above, I’d buy this business as part of a basket of UK shares in an ISA.

Investing in the home 

The other company I’ve my eye on right now is HomeServe (LSE: HSV). I think most readers would agree that when we’re confined to our homes, we want to be as comfortable as possible. That’s where this outfit comes in handy. The group provides home emergency, repair and heating installation services to the UK, US and European markets. 

Firm profits are expected to surge this year. Analysts have pencilled in a 44% increase in earnings for the current fiscal period. I think that makes HomeServe one of the fastest-growing companies on the London market. 

And as we settle into a second lockdown, I reckon this trend can continue particularly as we approach winter. There could be a rush in demand for the group’s services as customers, who are confined to their homes, request improvements. 

What’s more, HomeServe has a good record of acquiring other businesses to boost growth. I believe 2020’s influx in profits will provide additional firepower for the group to pursue this strategy in the years ahead, further improving the company’s growth trajectory. That’s why I’d buy the business as part of a portfolio of UK shares to weather the current economic turbulence. 

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves owns RSA Insurance. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Homeserve. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button
Growth Shares

Watch out, this UK stock’s already jumped out of the blocks for 2025!

Jon Smith flags up a UK stock that popped almost 13% last week following some positive news about a new…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Helium One’s a penny share I wouldn’t want to touch with a bargepole in 2025!

Despite successfully flowing gas in Tanzania, our writer explains why Helium One’s a penny share he doesn’t want to buy.

Read more »

Investing Articles

Shares in this UK Dividend Aristocrat could be a once-in-a-decade passive income opportunity

With shares trading at their lowest price-to-book multiple for 10 years, could UK dividend aristocrat be a once-in-a-decade passive income…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Up 8% in 2024, what will 2025 bring for the Aviva share price?

Andrew Mackie assesses the impact on Aviva’s share price following the buy-out of Direct Line Group.

Read more »

Investing Articles

This FTSE 100 stock’s forecast to grow 67% this year – and I’m betting it will!

FTSE 100-listed trainer and sportswear specialist JD Sports Fashion was on the back foot through most of 2024. But Harvey…

Read more »

Investing Articles

These FTSE 250 shares could soar over the next year

FTSE 250 stocks could surge with more rate cuts looming. History tells us that stocks tend to perform extremely well…

Read more »

Man smiling and working on laptop
Investing Articles

2 high-yield dividend stocks to consider for a £2k passive income in 2025

With a lump sum investment, these UK dividend stocks are worth considering for a brilliant second income this year and…

Read more »

Runner standing at the starting point with 2025 year for starting in new year 2025 to achieve business planing and success concept.
Investing Articles

These FTSE stocks could surge in 2025

FTSE stocks have broadly disappointed investors in recent years. However, with interest rates falling, some stocks may receive a much-needed…

Read more »