BP share price: here’s what I think the future holds

With low oil prices, job losses and asset write-downs, what could the future hold for the battered BP share price?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

It’s been a tough few months for BP (LSE: BP). Oversupply in the oil market was exacerbated when coronavirus hit. Crude prices plummeted, and as it stands, the market is still unsure what the post-lockdown world will look like.

That’s why, this month, the company was forced to write down about $17.5bn from its oil and gas assets. Specifically, it reduced its outlook on crude oil prices in the wake of coronavirus. Despite this, however, the BP share price has managed to hold on fairly well.

Job cuts, debt and dividends

The week before its asset write-down, BP announced it would be cutting 10,000 jobs – about 15% of its workforce – by the end of this year. Most of this number will come from office-based staff, “protecting the front line of the company”.

The share price was actually higher on this news for a few days. Cost-cutting efforts being seen by investors as a sensible move. Interestingly too, BP is still maintaining its dividend.

Personally I agree with my fellow Fool Edward Sheldon, I expect at some point in the future BP will be forced to cut its dividend. It’s hard to justify cutting staff while maintaining investor payouts.

I suspect BP is simply waiting for a more opportune time. In a fearful market, it makes sense to not give investors any extra reasons to go running for the door. I suspect when things calm down towards the latter half of 2020, it will be reviewing its payout.

Interestingly, just days after the asset write-down, BP announced it would be raising $12bn through the issuance of hybrid bonds. The main aim of this is to strengthen BP’s balance sheet  — the firm having some of the highest levels of debt in the industry.

BP oil or BP green energy?

With concern for the environment being stronger than ever, oil majors having been making greater efforts to go green. On the image front, oil companies need to be seen as trying to move towards greener energy.

From a practical perspective, if oil runs out or becomes too expensive to extract, renewable energy sources could be a massive profit maker. Companies like BP and Royal Dutch Shell have known the writing was on the wall for a while.

Accordingly, both companies have been making greater efforts in the green market. This kind of adaptability has been a selling point for me as an investor. With this latest asset write-down, BP has suggested the expected fall in demand for oil will bring these efforts forward.

I think that with its cost-cutting efforts, investments in a greener economy and an understanding investor base if its reduces tis dividend, the BP share price may be able to see better times ahead.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Karl owns shares of BP and Royal Dutch Shell. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Value Shares

Can Lloyds shares double investors’ money in 2025?

Lloyds shares look dirt cheap today. But are they cheap enough to be able to double in price in 2025?…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How realistic is the 10%+ dividend yield from this FTSE 250 stock?

The FTSE 250 is brimming over with forecast dividend yields of 10% and even higher as we head into 2025.…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here are the latest Rolls-Royce share price and dividend forecasts for 2025

Our writer takes a look at the Rolls-Royce share price target and valuation to determine if he should buy more…

Read more »

Young brown woman delighted with what she sees on her screen
Investing Articles

Here’s why the Legal & General share price could soar in 2025!

Legal & General's share price has slumped in 2024. Here's why it might be one of the FTSE 100's best…

Read more »

smiling couple holding champagne glasses and looking at camera at home with christmas tree
Investing Articles

2 of my favourite exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for 2025!

Royston Wild thinks these exchange-traded funds could soar again next year. Here's why he's considering them for his portfolio.

Read more »

Value Shares

These FTSE 100 stocks tanked in 2024. Can they rebound in 2025?

Edward Sheldon highlights three of the FTSE 100’s worst performers in 2024. Do they have the potential for a huge…

Read more »

Top Stocks

5 stocks Fools have bought for growth and dividends

Sometimes, an investor doesn't have to make the choice between buying a growth stock or dividend shares! Some investments offer…

Read more »

New year resolutions 2025 on desk. 2025 resolutions list with notebook, coffee cup on table.
Investing Articles

1 investment I’m eyeing for my Stocks and Shares ISA in 2025

Bunzl is trading at a P/E ratio of 22 with revenues set to decline year-on-year. So why is Stephen Wright…

Read more »