FTSE 100 member HSBC is down 16% in a year. Here’s what I’d do now

Shares in HSBC have slumped during the past 12 months, but this could be a great opportunity for long-term investors, writes Rupert Hargreaves.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Over the past 12 months, the HSBC (LSE: HSBA) share price has fallen a staggering 16%, excluding dividends. That’s a massive decline for an FTSE 100 blue-chip stock.

However, following these declines, shares in the bank now appear cheap. As such, now could be the time to take advantage of the market’s volatility and snap up some shares in this FTSE 100 income champion.

Under pressure

There are a handful of reasons why the HSBC share price has underperformed during the past year. The biggest is a lack of leadership. The lender’s chairman sacked HSBC’s former CEO, John Flint, in August. Since then, it has been without a lead executive. In the interim, Noel Quinn has been running the shop.

For Europe’s largest lender and one of the world’s largest banks to be without a permanent CEO for seven months is shocking. The preferred candidate, Jean Pierre Mustier, the chief executive of UniCredit, ruled himself out of the running last week.

HSBC had said that it would be able to find a replacement for Flint in six months to a year. It has so far failed to meet this target, and I think that’s bad news for investors.

Without a permanent leader, the lender lacks long-term focus and strategic direction. In the meantime, Quinn has commissioned one of the “deepest restructurings” in the bank’s long history. He’s outlined plans for 35,000 job cuts over the next three years. Unfortunately, there’s no guarantee he’ll be around long enough to carry out the proposed plan.

On top of the management uncertainty, the City is also worried about the impact the protests in Hong Kong and coronavirus outbreak will have on the lender’s earnings.

Uncertainty prevails

This uncertainty has weighed on the bank’s share price for the past 12 months. However, it could be an excellent opportunity for long-term investors.

HSBC might be without a CEO for the time being, but it remains one of the world’s largest lenders. It’s also one of the world’s most connected banks, especially between the US, Europe and Asia. There are only a few other banks that can provide the same service.

That gives HSBC a vast competitive edge, and it’s unlikely to change anytime soon, considering its presence in Asia and long history of working with the region’s regulators.

Therefore, long-term investors would do best to look past HSBC’s shorter-term issues and concentrate on its potential further down the line. The stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.1, which suggests it offers a margin of safety at current levels.

On top of this attractive multiple, the bank also offers investors a 7.5% dividend yield. So investors will be paid to wait for HSBC to find its way again and return to growth.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended HSBC Holdings. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Are Diageo shares ready to do a Rolls-Royce?

Things have got so bad for Diageo shares that Harvey Jones says they remind him of the struggles Rolls-Royce faced…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Down 60%! A once-in-a-decade opportunity to buy these 2 beaten-down UK stocks?

Harvey Jones highlights two UK stocks that are cheaper than they were 10 years ago and offer juicy dividend yields…

Read more »

Businessman hand stacking money coins with virtual percentage icons
Investing Articles

Why do 2 of my favourite second income stocks look so cheap right now?

Our writer was shocked to find two dividend stocks in his second income portfolio trading at prices far below fair…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Investing Articles

Just Released: A Higher-Risk, High-Reward Stock Recommendation For Your ISA? [PREMIUM PICKS]

Fire stock picks will tend to be more adventurous and are designed for investors who can stomach a bit more…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£10k invested in BP and Shell shares just 1 month ago is now worth…

Conflict in Iran has rattled global stock markets but it's been helpful for FTSE 100 oil giants. Harvey Jones says…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Investing Articles

Down 25%, are Barclays shares too cheap to miss?

Nobody expected Barclays' shares to fall so hard after their big multi-year gains. So the dip does make the valuation…

Read more »

A senior man and his wife holding hands walking up a hill on a footpath looking away from the camera at the view. The fishing village of Polperro is behind them.
Investing Articles

ISA or SIPP? Here’s 1 advantage and 1 disadvantage of both

SIPPs and Stocks and Shares ISAs both have potentially attractive features, as well as downsides. Christopher Ruane looks at some…

Read more »

Portrait of pensive bearded senior looking on screen of laptop sitting at table with coffee cup.
Investing Articles

£1,000 invested in Lloyds shares 6 weeks ago is now worth…

Lloyds shares have been on a huge run in the last couple of years. But is a 15% pullback in…

Read more »