Will rising profits continue to bolster the Greggs share price?

As January saw the fifth rise in its profit forecast in a year, can the good news continue for Greggs shares?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

It was hard to imagine, not that many years ago, that a seemingly meat-loving, old-fashioned and perhaps even cheap bakery like Greggs (LSE: GRG) would be able to move with the times. Trendy, artisan bakeries and shops were becoming the norm, while a growing market of vegetarian and vegan consumers seemed highly unlikely to be the backbone of a company whose number one product – the sausage roll – was king.

Of course we know how this went. As well as outfitting some of its stores in a more café-like, sit-in-and-enjoy style, the introduction of the vegan sausage roll has taken on an almost cultural significance. It’s perhaps a sign of Greggs’ overall popularity that just one addition to its product line could garner such interest.

Greggs delivery

Yet another modern arena it now seems to be making moves into is delivery service. Specifically, it recently announced it would be partnering with Just Eat to offer its products exclusively – much to the chagrin of UberEats and Deliveroo. The company is also trialling electronic pads that allow for click & collect.

I think from an investor’s standpoint these are good signs. Greggs has so far managed to move with the times, and yet somehow maintain, for better or worse, its previous image. 

Interestingly, I think in terms of its products at least, in many ways Greggs can be compared to the US giant McDonald’s. The original concept behind McDonald’s was that a consumer could walk into a store anywhere in the US (and now, of course, the world), and know exactly what they were getting – a Big Mac in New York tastes the same as a Big Mac in Hong Kong.

Greggs’ food is very much the same. When you go into a Greggs in any part of the country, you know exactly what you’re getting – it will taste identical to the Greggs you had the week before in a different city. This is a very successful business model.

As long as we like pasties…

As I said, a few years ago, I couldn’t have imagined Greggs being able to move with the times with the success that it has managed. The fact that it has been able to do this encourages me on two major fronts for the future of its shares.

Firstly, the management of the company has shown a willingness to change and adapt – always key to the success of any firm. What’s more, it has seemingly done this in the right way, with well-picked choices regarding what to change and what to preserve.

Secondly, and perhaps more importantly, has been its continued sales growth in a period when more people are more health-conscious, as well as more vegan and more interested in ‘artisan’ products. Most people know Greggs’ baked products are not the healthiest, but we like them just the same. I can’t see this changing any time soon.

The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Karl has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

I asked ChatGPT to settle the ISA v SIPP debate once and for all. It said…

Instead of working out whether an ISA or SIPP is the better tax wrapper, Harvey Jones called the robots in.…

Read more »

Middle-aged white male courier delivering boxes to young black lady
Investing Articles

Amazon shares: overpriced or a possible bargain?

Christopher Ruane thinks Amazon shares look pricier than he normally likes -- but also reckons they could be a potential…

Read more »

Female Tesco employee holding produce crate
Investing Articles

In a jittery market, could Tesco shares be a defensive choice?

Could Tesco shares be a safe haven in nervous markets, given that consumers always need to eat? Our writer is…

Read more »

British coins and bank notes scattered on a surface
Investing Articles

How much might £10,000 in Rolls-Royce shares soon be worth? Let’s ask the experts

Do Rolls-Royce shares look like a good buy after recent price falls? City analysts still appear bullish, but global events…

Read more »

Queen Street, one of Cardiff's main shopping streets, busy with Saturday shoppers.
Investing Articles

Take a deep breath! £10,000 invested in Greggs shares a year ago is now worth…

Someone who bought Greggs shares a year ago is nursing a paper loss. Our writer digs into the reasons why…

Read more »

Mature black woman at home texting on her cell phone while sitting on the couch
Investing Articles

Whatever happened to the stock market crash?

The stock market refuses to crash, despite the Iran war. But Harvey Jones says lots of FTSE 100 shares have…

Read more »

Petrochemical engineer working at night with digital tablet inside oil and gas refinery plant
Investing Articles

BP’s share price will keep surging in 2026, according to this broker

BP’s share price is in a strong upward trend right now. And one City brokerage firm seems to believe that…

Read more »

Picture of an easyJet plane taking off.
Investing Articles

These 4 red flags mean I’m avoiding easyJet shares like the plague!

easyJet shares have slumped by around a quarter during the past month. Does this represent a dip-buying opportunity? Royston Wild…

Read more »