Forget the Cash ISA! I’m buying the Shell share price in 2020

The Royal Dutch Shell share price could take off in 2020 argues this Fool.

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The Royal Dutch Shell (LSE: RDSB) share price really stands out as a blue-chip income stock.

The company has paid a dividend every year since the second world war and as a result, is considered to be one of the most trustworthy dividend stocks in the FTSE 100.

However, the group is currently experiencing a turbulent period. Volatile oil prices coupled with environmental concerns have weighed on the stock. The Shell share price currently trades on a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just 11.3. This suggests that it offers a wide margin of safety at current levels.

Overcome challenges

Shell’s future depends on the company’s ability to be able to overcome the challenges facing the business.

Historically, the company has coped quite well with whatever the market has thrown at it. In 2014, when the price of oil collapsed, management acted without delay to slash costs and reposition the business for the new environment.

The firm has continued to follow this approach since, which has helped its bottom line immensely. While the company’s results fell year-on-year for the three months to September, it still beat expectations.

The group reported earnings of $4.8bn on a current cost of supply basis — the measure tracked most closely by analysts — whereas analysts were calling for income of $3.9bn. Better energy trading results helped Shell smash expectations.

Management has said that the company requires oil prices to be above $66 a barrel in 2020 to meet its debt reduction targets and maintain its share repurchase activity. So far, the oil price has not reached this level, but rising geopolitical tensions could see it return to $66 soon.

Actions by the world’s largest oil producers to try to reduce production to force prices higher have also had an impact on prices over the past few weeks. This suggests producers will be proactive in keeping prices up throughout the rest of 2020.

Renewable energy

Shell is also making progress in its transition towards renewable energy. The firm has invested billions of dollars over the past 24 months, and management has earmarked billions more for the next few years. These actions imply that Shell isn’t going to stand still as the world changes.

As such, it could be a good time for long-term investors to take advantage of the current value on offer with the Shell share price. Not only does the stock’s valuation offer a wide margin of safety, but the share price also supports a market-leading dividend yield of 6.2%, which is covered 1.2 times by earnings per share.

Rising oil prices in 2020 could help turbocharge the company’s performance and put its debt reduction plans back on track. Therefore, now could be the right time to buy a slice of the business for the long run and pick up that 6.2% dividend yield while you wait.

Rupert Hargreaves owns shares in Royal Dutch Shell. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Two employees sat at desk welcoming customer to a Tesla car showroom
Investing Articles

Tesla stock’s down 19% this year. Time to buy?

Tesla stock has tumbled almost a fifth in less than three months. But the company has proven its mettle before.…

Read more »

piggy bank, searching with binoculars
Dividend Shares

How to turn a stock market correction into a £10k passive income

Jon Smith points out why the stock market correction could provide a great opportunity to start building a dividend portfolio,…

Read more »

Smiling white woman holding iPhone with Airpods in ear
Investing Articles

These legendary growth stocks are down 40% or more. Time to consider buying?

History shows that buying high-quality growth stocks when they’re well off their highs can be financially rewarding in the long…

Read more »

Portrait Of Senior Couple Climbing Hill On Hike Through Countryside In Lake District UK Together
Investing Articles

Is it worth investing in a SIPP in 2026?

Ben McPoland highlights a high-quality FTSE 100 stock that he thinks is worth considering as part of a SIPP portfolio…

Read more »

A rear view of a female in a bright yellow coat walking along the historic street known as The Shambles in York, UK which is a popular tourist destination in this Yorkshire city.
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Greggs shares 10 days ago is now worth…

After falling yet again in March, are Greggs shares really worth the hassle today? Ben McPoland takes a look at…

Read more »

Rear view image depicting a senior man in his 70s sitting on a bench leading down to the iconic Seven Sisters cliffs on the coastline of East Sussex, UK. The man is wearing casual clothing - blue denim jeans, a red checked shirt, navy blue gilet. The man is having a rest from hiking and his hiking pole is leaning up against the bench.
Investing Articles

With a spare £380, here’s how someone could start investing before April!

Can someone start investing fast with a spare few hundred pounds? Our writer explains how they could -- and some…

Read more »

Renewable energies concept collage
Investing Articles

Here’s a top dividend share to consider buying for your ISA right now

Looking for dividend shares to tuck away in a long-term Stocks and Shares ISA? This trust is offering one of…

Read more »

Close-up of British bank notes
Investing Articles

Is this a once-in-a-decade chance to buy this top passive income stock cheaply?

When's the best time to consider buying passive income stocks? When share prices are down and dividend yields are up,…

Read more »