I think this AIM stock’s price could surge…but I am being patient

Amryt Pharma (LSE: AMYT) might just have the revenues to get its exciting pipeline assets to market now.

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The big pharmaceutical companies typically avoid developing drugs for rare diseases as the markets are small, and sales do not typically cover the costs. If a rare disease is not having treatments developed for it, then it is described as being an ‘orphan’.

Governments offer incentives beyond what is typically available such as tax credits, extended rights, and fast-tracking of applications to stop this happening, and smaller drug makers have stepped in.

Strength in numbers

After acquiring Aegerion, formerly a subsidiary of NASDAQ-listed Novelion Therapeutics, Amryt Pharma (LSE: AMYT) will be a significant player in the rare and orphan disease market. The coming together has united the lomitapide brands Lojuxta and Juxtapid, which treat an inherited cholesterol disorder, and brought Myalept and Myalepta, which treat leptin deficiency, into the fold.

Sales of Lojuxta in Europe, the Middle East, and North Africa grew by 23% in 2018, and Amryt hopes to use its expertise to drive Juxatapid sales just as hard in North and Latin America, with patent protection in place until 2028 in the EU, and 2027 in the US.

Applications for paediatric applications and other indications are also in process. Myalept/Myalepta is already licensed for the treatment of generalised lipodystrophy in the EU and US, and partial lipodystrophy in the EU with an application in process for the US.

Amryt has made a loss every year since listing. Normally I would run a mile but the revenues and cost synergies from the combined commercial portfolio could make a real improvement here, and support Amryt’s existing pipeline in getting to market.

Potential in the pipeline

Amryt’s lead development asset promotes wound healing when applied with dressings in patients with epidermolysis bullosa (EB), better than the dressing alone. Approval for partial-thickness wound treatment in Europe has been gained, and more applications could follow. The general wound market is much larger than anything Amryt has targetted before.

Also being developed for EB sufferers is a non-viral gene therapy platform that works to restore collagen production of skin cells in pre-clinical models with topical application. Now, this has been in-licensed from University College Dublin, but think of in-licensing as an acquisition where you only get the bits of a company that you want.

The underlying gene delivery technology, which is a special polymer that binds the gene and delivers it into cells, could have application in other disorders and could be a real game-changer.

Seeking approval

I’m just looking at this stage. At the moment we have 2018 numbers in dollars for Aegerion, reported numbers for Amryt in euros, and the deal itself is complicated (in part because Aegerion had filed for bankruptcy on the back of regulatory action). In addition, there is a partial US listing planned for this year.

What I want to see is the first quarterly report as a combined company. This should come in early 2020 and deliver updated numbers reported in a single currency, and give me the opportunity to see if the chances of getting the pipeline assets to market have indeed increased from a financial standpoint. There will also be a little more time to see if there are any skeletons in the closet that Amryt has bought.

You can be patient when making investment decisions.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

James J. McCombie has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

After it crashed 25%, should I buy this former stock market darling in my Stocks and Shares ISA?

Harvey Jones has a big hole in his Stocks and Shares ISA that he is keen to fill. Should he…

Read more »

happy senior couple using a laptop in their living room to look at their financial budgets
Investing Articles

How’s the dividend forecast looking for Legal & General shares in 2025 and beyond?

As a shareholder, I like to keep track of the potential dividend returns I could make from my Legal &…

Read more »

artificial intelligence investing algorithms
Investing Articles

Could buying this stock with a $7bn market cap be like investing in Nvidia in 2010?

Where might the next Nvidia-type stock be lurking in today's market? Our writer takes a look at one candidate with…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Is GSK a bargain now the share price is near 1,333p?

Biopharma company GSK looks like a decent stock to consider for the long term, so is today's lower share price…

Read more »

Snowing on Jubilee Gardens in London at dusk
Investing Articles

Could December be a great month to buy UK shares?

Christopher Ruane sees some possible reasons to look for shares to buy in December -- but he'll be using the…

Read more »

Young mixed-race couple sat on the beach looking out over the sea
Investing Articles

Sticking to FTSE shares, I’d still aim for a £1,000 monthly passive income like this!

By investing in blue-chip FTSE shares with proven business models, our writer hopes he can build sizeable passive income streams…

Read more »

Growth Shares

BT shares? I think there are much better UK stocks for the long term

Over the long term, many UK stocks have performed much better than BT. Here’s a look at two companies that…

Read more »

British Pennies on a Pound Note
Investing Articles

After a 540% rise, could this penny share keep going?

This penny share has seen mixed fortunes in recent years. Our writer looks ahead to some potentially exciting developments in…

Read more »