The stock market is at a record high: 3 reasons why now is NOT the time to get out

Here’s why investing in stocks could continue to be a shrewd move even after a decade-long bull market.

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Major indices such as the S&P 500 and FTSE 100 have enjoyed a decade-long bull market. Following the financial crisis, stock prices have surged higher as the global economy has benefitted from a loose monetary policy and improving confidence among investors.

Following their gains, many investors may now be wondering if it is the right time to sell stocks and pivot towards other assets. After all, no bull market has lasted in perpetuity, and risks such as a global trade war remain in play.

However, now may prove to be the wrong time to become bearish on stocks. They could offer continued long-term growth for these three reasons.

Macroeconomic growth prospects

The world economy may face a period of uncertainty due to the US/China trade war. However, global growth forecasts continue to be relatively encouraging. For example, major economies such as China and India are expected to report GDP growth that is in excess of 6% per annum over the next few years. This suggests that there will continue to be growth opportunities for businesses that have exposure to the emerging world, which could catalyse their valuations and the wider stock market.

Furthermore, monetary policy looks set to remain dovish across major economies such as the US. Fears surrounding the global growth outlook may cause policymakers to adopt a cautious stance on monetary policy tightening in order to avoid choking off future growth prospects. This could lead to favourable operating conditions for many sectors, as well as higher valuations for stocks.

Value opportunities

Major indices may have experienced over ten years of growth, but there are still many appealing value investing opportunities on offer. One of the key reasons for this is that the financial crisis caused a severe decline in valuations that ultimately proved to be overdone. In other words, indices such as the FTSE 100 and S&P 500 declined to exceptionally low levels so that even after a decade of growth, they do not appear to be especially overvalued.

This could mean that investors do not find it difficult to unearth stocks that offer improving growth prospects and which offer margins of safety. Buying such stocks today could lead to high returns in the long run.

Relative appeal

Investors who wish to sell their stocks may find it difficult to find better opportunities elsewhere. For example, low interest rates mean that the returns on assets such as cash and bonds are relatively low, while property yields may prove to be disappointing in many cases.

Therefore, the stock market could offer the most appealing risk/reward ratio among mainstream assets at the present time. This could mean that now is the right time to consider purchasing high-quality stocks that trade at fair prices in order to boost your returns over the coming years.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

More on Investing Articles

Storytelling image of a multiethnic senior couple in love - Elderly married couple dating outdoors, love emotions and feelings
Investing Articles

Is the 12.3% yield on this UK dividend stock too good to be true?

The impressive double-digit yield on this dividend stock recently grabbed the attention of our writer. But how sustainable is it?

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 dividend growth stocks analysts think are strong buys right now

Growth stocks that also distribute cash offer investors the best of both worlds. Stephen Wright looks at two that have…

Read more »

Investing Articles

I asked Anthropic’s Claude for the best FTSE 100 stock to buy right now. I’m impressed with what it said

Can artificial intelligence identify the best FTSE 100 stock to buy right now? Stephen Wright tried it out – and…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£1k in savings? Here’s how investors can aim to turn that into a £9,600-a-year second income

Harvey Jones invests small, regular sums in FTSE 100 dividend stocks in an attempt to build a second income stream…

Read more »

Runner standing at the starting point with 2025 year for starting in new year 2025 to achieve business planing and success concept.
Investing Articles

5 investment trusts to consider for a new 2025 ISA

The biggest challenge when starting an ISA is choosing which stocks to buy. Investment trusts can make it a whole…

Read more »

Smart young brown businesswoman working from home on a laptop
Investing Articles

Have I left it too late to buy Nvidia shares?

When the whole world was racing to buy Nvidia shares, Harvey Jones decided they were overhyped. Does the recent dip…

Read more »

Dividend Shares

I asked ChatGPT to pick me the best passive income stock. Here’s the result!

Jon Smith tries to make friends with ChatGPT and critiques the best passive income pick the AI tool suggested for…

Read more »

The flag of the United States of America flying in front of the Capitol building
Investing Articles

Hargreaves Lansdown’s clients are buying loads of this US growth stock. Should I?

Our writer's noticed that during the week after Christmas, many investors bought this US growth stock. He asks whether he…

Read more »